Saturday racing in Brisbane will take place at Doomben, with a strong eight race program, where the feature race is the $100,000 Listed Recognition Stakes (1600m). The weather is fine, the track is good (3) and the rail is out two metres for the entire circuit.
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Race One (13:28) : Sky Racing Handicap 2200m:
Back Me: Perplexity (Best Odds: $2.70) is the form stayer in Brisbane at the moment, winning two on the bounce, both of which have come from him sitting on speed and fighting on. He is a hard horse to get past, and he will be in it for a long way.
Big Danger: Highly Gentle (Best Odds: $4.00) will be a month between runs. His last effort was a second to Perplexity where he looked the winner halfway down the straight, but he couldn’t quite put the Chris Munce trained stayer away and had to settle for second. Good record at the distance and stable is in form.
Roughie: The step up in trip should suit Code Word (Best Odds: $41.00), who is on the back up from Sunday when racing over 1500m at Warwick where he plugged into sixth, but he will be far better suited up to this sort of distance and getting down in the weights.
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Race Two (14:03) : A M Giles & Co Handicap 1110m:
Back Me: Game Of Dreams (Best Odds: $5.50) for me here. He looked sharp in his lone public appearance on November 12 on his home track at the Gold Coast when winning a trial by three lengths. Drawn awkwardly but well bred and strikes a winnable race.
Big Danger: The Lass KissΒ (Best Odds: $2.00) is a well bred first starter for Steve O’Dea by Sebring out of the very good mare Kiss Me Katy, who was trained by O’Dea and won a couple of Stakes races for him. No trials, but on breeding, she should be respected.
Roughie: Burn NoticeΒ (Best Odds: $17.00) bolted up two back on the Gold Coast before racing over 1050m here and was simply no match for Boom Shucka, who was beaten by a serious Magic Millions contender last week, so the form reads well.
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Race Three (14:38) : AG Designer Jeweller Handicap 1050m:
Back Me: Rocky King (Best Odds: $2.90) for me here. He resumes after a 105 day spell, the latest run being a fourth to Architect over this track/distance on August 8. He runs well first up and most importantly has gate one, so I doubt he will be crossed, and he loves racing from the front.
Big Danger: Mr Favulous (Best Odds: $5.00) is the Weetwood winner who resumes. Hasn’t raced since finishing behind Whittington in the Lightning over this track/distance back in May. Looked very sharp in a trial win on his home track at Toowoomba and he is a two time first up winner who has gate two, so he should be on the back of Rocky King.
Back Me: Tisani Tomso (Best Odds: $7.00) is a talented gelding who steps up in grade after contesting 0MW and Class 6 races, either winning or running very well. Toughest test here, but he drops big time in weight and is rock hard fit.
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Race Four (15:17) : Winning Edge Presentations Handicap (0MW) 1600m:
Back Me: Yoho (Best Odds: $13.00) did a little bit too much work on speed when racing over this track/distance a fortnight back and faded late to run seventh to Chillin With Dylan, who is a leading chance in the Recognition. Drops in weight here and in form apprentice takes over.
Big Danger: O’Reilly’s Revenge (Best Odds: $4.60) ran fourth in that race mentioned above, and his run was full of merit considering he was wide no cover for the entire trip. Had every right to drop out but he stuck on very well. Blinkers back on and he gets gate one.
Roughie: Scotty Be Gotti (Best Odds: $10.00) steps back up to Saturday metro level after a couple of runs at the Gold Coast, the latest resulting in a barnstorming win over 1400m a fortnight back. Gives the impression he will run the mile out, and there is plenty of upside left.
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Race Five (15:53) : Carlton Mid Handicap 1350m:
Back Me: Hesitation (Best Odds: $10.00) for me here. She produced a barnstorming finish to win first up at the Gold Coast before running over this track/distance three weeks back when making ground to run fourth to Man Of His Word. Meets that horse 3.5kg better, has more upside and most importantly gets a decent gate. Confident she can turn the tables.
Big Danger: Man Of His Word (Best Odds: $3.60) was far from disgraced two back in the Stan Fox behind Press Statement before returning home and off a five week freshen up, he powered clear for a dominant win. The rise in weight is a worry, as does the horror gate, but if he can overcome those, then he is clearly the horse to beat.
Roughie: TamrookumΒ (Best Odds: $34.00) has had three runs back from a spell, the latest resulting in an eighth to Man Of His Word, beaten just under ten lengths. Plenty of scratchings here, and he is eligible for Maiden company, but the trainer is persisting with this 3YO Open Handicaps. Should be noted that Wiggins is on and he rode the horse to its lone placing.
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Race Six (16:32) : Tattersall’s Arcade Classic 1200m:
Back Me: Bede Murray has had a pretty good run in recent times when sending horses to Brisbane and I think he will be successful once again courtesy of Fine Mist (Best Odds: $2.50). Her three runs this time in have been fantastic, the latest coming at Rosehill when a close up second to Religify. 1200m is ideal and is so well weighted given her rating.
Big Danger: Golden FallsΒ (Best Odds: $3.30) is a very talented mare that resumes for Kelly Schweida. Her last start came at Rosehill where she was heavily backed and duly saluted in impressive fashion. First up here with no trials, but she is classy and has an excellent fresh record.
Roughie: Little Brown HorseΒ (Best Odds: $26.00) is another proven Stakes performer. She resumes for Kelly Doughty after a successful Winter prep, with the highlight being a second to Jetset Lad in the Tatts Mile (1640m). Recent trial on her home track at the Gold Coast was sharp and she has a very good first up record.
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Race Seven (17:12) : Tattersall’s Recognition Stakes 1600m:
Back Me: Finding it hard to tip against Jumbo Prince (Best Odds: $5.00). He was super in winning first up before being bloused late by Victory Hotel a fortnight back. Meets that horse 2.5kg off and has the race fitness on his side, plus the class. Extremely hard to beat.
Big Danger: Very keen here to see how Chillin With Dylan (Best Odds: $5.00) shapes up. He is a serious stayer who is growing with confidence after each win. He looked in a bad spot 600m out last start but Wiggins got him to the outside and the horse just attacked the line like a potential Stakes horse. Remains at the mile which is the query, because I thought he was a moral in the staying race, but nonetheless, he will take some beating here.
Roughie: Victory Hotel (Best Odds: $11.00) was unwanted in betting when resuming here two weeks back, but he unleashed his customary brilliant finishing burst to nab Jumbo Prince right on the peg. Badly treated at the weights, but he has a booming finish on him and has done it before with a similar weight, so he is certainly right in contention.
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Race Eight (17:50) : Singapore Airlines Handicap (0MW) 1110m:
Back Me: Prince Mayted (Best Odds: $6.50) was very good when resuming at Canterbury, running a close up third to impressive winner Adjective in a pretty solid race on face value. Was scratched from Canterbury on Wednesday and has been saved for this, so I’ll respect the stables judgement.
Big Danger: Britalia Kate (Best Odds: $5.50) was having his first run for Steve O’Dea a couple of weeks back over 1050m here when making up ground late to run fifth to Espritu, who goes around as a leading chance in the Fillies and Mares Stakes race. This mare is a second up winner and she will appreciate the step up in trip.
Roughie: Mary’s DawnΒ (Best Odds: $5.50) ran over this distance at Ipswich last start and led all the way for a narrow but impressive win. Draws to get every chance from a good gate and this race doesn’t carry much depth.
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BEST BET: Race Six Number 4 Fine Mist
NEXT BEST: Race One Number 1 Perplexity
VALUE: Race Seven Number 7 Victory Hotel
Quaddie Tips (Races Five Through To Eight):
Leg One: 1, 3, 5, 6, 7, 10, 16
Leg Two: 4
Leg Three: 1, 3, 4, 7, 8, 9, 14
Leg Four: 3, 5, 7, 9, 11, 22
$50 Investment= 17% of the dividend if successful.
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All odds are subject to change. Odds listed are correct at the time of the latest update.
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