The second of the Group 1 races on Golden Slipper day at Rosehill the Vinery Stud Stakes is a prominent lead up race into the Australian Oaks in a fortnights time. Crown Oaks winner Brazilian Pulse heads the betting ahead of the Peter Moody trained Do Ra Mi but i feel its a race that should throw up some value. View my full runner by runner Vinery Stud Stakes preview.
1. Brazilian Pulse – A very consistent and quality filly who had won five of her eight starts including the Group 1 Crown Oaks and perhaps unlucky in all three of her defeats. Had her first start in Sydney on the weekend and was ultra impressive winning the Keith Nolan from the fast finishing Fibrilation. Should improve from the run and has the ability to go forward or sit midfield in her runs. Faces tougher opposition here and probably slightly under the odds at her current quote of $2.70. Majoy player but a bit short for a quality packed field like this one.
2. Pinker Pinker – Talented filly who has won her previous two starts, jumps up in grade here but looks to be an improving type that should be able to test it with Australia’s best fillies. Has drawn barrier 10 which looks to be a massive disadvantage for her here as she would be looking to run midfield so its likely she will be caught wide in the run. Place chance at best.
3. Do Ra Mi – Explosive last start victory beating Brazilian Pulse at Flemington in the Kewney Stakes, jumps up sharply in distance here from 1400m to 2000m which is a surprise as Brazilian Pulse stepped up to 1800m in a lead up race but who’s to questions arguably the best trainer in Australia at present ‘Peter Moody’. Stable has a huge wrap on her and she’s expected to be a major player in the race. Currently the second favourite but untested in Sydney and at the distance. Strong claims.
4. Sworn To Secrecy – New Zealand filly who was brought across to contest the Autumn Carnival and she looks to be an improving type, she is coming out of the Phar Lap Stakes which was won by follow NZ runner Blackie. She hit the line strongly in the race and the step up in distance looks like it will suit. Probably would have preferred more rain to be a big winning chance but she handles the good going quite comfortably. Currently at $7 which looks to be good each way value.
5. Mirjulisa Lass – Steps up massively in grade here but is coming out of a very good form race which Iron Lace won, doesnt look to have the quality of some of the other fillies and i dont think she will figure in the race. Likely to get a good run from barrier 3 but i doubt she will be in the finish. Happy to leave her out of my selections.
6. Fibrillation – Hit the line very strongly last start in the Keith Nolan behind Brazilian Pulse where she was held up multiple times in the straight. The extra distance looks like it wont be an issue but she would have preferred for more rain. Jumps from an awkward barrier (8) and will need to luck not to be posted wide throughout running. If she can find a good in run position she should be right in the finish at good odds. Great each way value.
7. Iron Lace – Has won her last three starts and could be the surprise runner in the race, won a strong benchmark race last start and will improve with the extra distance. Will go forward from barrier 7 and make her own luck from the front. Should provide a good kick in the straight and at 21/1 she should be included in your multiples.
8. Who’s Ready – Hit the lead early in the straight in the Keith Nolan but was outclassed in the final 200m. Goes around at long odds and i doubt she will go close against this field. Happy to leave to her out.
9. Chula Vista – Well beaten last start in the Keith Nolan. Can’t see her going close in this.
10. Cool Flyer – Not up to this class.
11. Triple Six – One of the best runs in the Keith Nolan on the weekend and has drawn a much better barrier on Saturday, should be able to sit on the rails mid field and hit the line strongly. Stable is confident she can figure in the placings on Saturday, expect her to go close. At double figure odds i think she is a great each way bet.
Speed: The race doesn’t look to have a lot of speed in it and its likely Chula Vista and Iron Lace will take up the running without much pressure with the majority of favoured runners looking to sit off them. Do Ra Mi will go to the rear and will be running on strongly late.
Overview: Looks to be a very open race even though bookmakers have two clear favourites. Fibrilation and Triple Six go into this race at double figure odds when they were both unlucky and would have finished much closer to Brazilian Pulse last start. Do Ra Mi will start as second favourite but there is a massive query whether she will get the trip as she steps up 600m. Both are great chances but i feel they are both under the odds.
Selections: Fibrilation, Brazilian Pulse, Triple Six, Do Ra Mi
Written by Morgan Payne
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