The Sydney Autumn Carnival wraps up at Randwick this Saturday where it is All Aged Stakes Day. The weather is fine, the track is good (4) and the rail is out six metres from the 1600m-Winning Post; Out four metres for the remainder.
Race 1. (12:00) TAB Highway Handicap (Class 3) 1200m
I think you have to believe what you saw when it comes to 8 Gold Touch (Bet Now: $12.00 TOP ODDS) and her stunning first up win at Canberra. Admittedly probably found the best part of the track but the way she let down and put them away was very impressive. Ran sharp time, sub 34 for her last 600m and that with her form from last prep being over the mile, so looks to be trained with speed in the legs and if she produces that here, she’ll go close.
5 Amorita (Bet Now: $3.90 TOP ODDS) is a Matty Dunn trained filly who has been kept on ice since resuming at Grafton when given a sweet steer by Collett over 1100m and proving too good albeit not up against much. Last few times, the stable has got it wrong when bringing a horse to a Highway, but this girl does look promising and this isn’t the strongest Highway going around.
:Terry Evans has done a fab job when it comes to 12 Scorching, (Bet Now: $51.00 TOP ODDS) with the gelding winning 3/3 this time in, the latest coming at Port Macquarie when on speed and fighting hard but he got the win and was pretty good in toughing it out because he was strongly challenged. Clearly harder here and generally that Mid North Coast form doesn’t really stand up in Highways, but he’s got the picket fence next to his name and deserves a crack.
Race 2. (12:35) Ranvet Power Formula Sprint (88) 1200m
Gee I think 2 Tribal Wisdom (Bet Now: $6.50 TOP ODDS) is a really good each way gamble. Michael Moroney trains this bloke, who resumed in the Galaxy where he was clearly outclassed and not 100% happy on the bog track, but despite all that, I thought his run in defeat was super, especially for a race like this. Loved his trial here on Monday, with the big key getting onto a firmer surface. Gets that here and I think he’ll only run well.
8 Passage Of Time (Bet Now: $17.00 TOP ODDS) is a son of Northern Meteor resuming for the Joe Pride stable. This bloke hasn’t raced since November 24 at Rosehill when down the track behind Cradle Mountain, with the hard tracks not really suiting him. He might get a firm track this weekend, but not as firm as what he got in the Spring, and his trials have been encouraging. Keen to see what he does.
4 Echo Effect (Bet Now: $31.00 TOP ODDS) is a talented son of Reset resuming for the Kristen Buchanan stable. He hasn’t raced since having a two run campaign in Brisbane in the early part of the Winter Carnival and placed both times in excellent form races. Been given a good spell and has trialled alright leading up to his return. Might want one run, but has a touch of class/quality.
Race 3. (13:10) Frank Packer Plate 2000m
Really like 5 Carif (Bet Now: $12.00 TOP ODDS) as a horse and am confident he can measure up. Beautifully bred 3YO for Team Snowden who spanked them two back in a Newcastle maiden before going to the Tulloch where he looked lost on the wet track and when the sprint went on but came again and was really good when fourth to Angel Of Truth, and we saw that form franked in the Derby. Dodged the Derby, tackles the weaker option, keen.
I think up to 2000m will suit the Chris Waller trained 2 Dealmaker (Bet Now: $6.50 TOP ODDS). He has run well right throughout this Autumn campaign but just hasn’t quite got the job done, the latest in the Carbine Club when a close up third but just had no turn of foot when looming to win, so I suspect that 2000m will be ideal for him and does have some really good form next to his name.
9 Greysful Glamour (Bet Now: $14.00 TOP ODDS) could be a potential improver here at odds. Hasn’t really set the world on fire this Autumn but bear in mind she has taken on some of the best fillies in Australia and mostly over unsuitable trips. Firmer footing, looks to lead, drops in depth somewhat, Blinkers back on and from all reports has worked well during the week, so she could easily bounce back to positive form.
Race 4. (13:45) James H B Carr Stakes 1400m
I really hope the track remains dry because I’m really keen on 4 Into The Abyss (Bet Now: $4.80 TOP ODDS). Have been on her in both runs this prep and has run well on wet tracks, something she hates, which followed trials which were just first class. PJ Bell run, she hit the front and looked home but Multaja found better ground and her finale was just too good. Into The Abyss better suited at 1400m for mine and is the one to beat.
6 Laburnum (Bet Now: $11.00 TOP ODDS) also comes through the PJ Bell and I thought her run was full of merit. She was fresh, very fresh it seemed given she pulled her when wide no cover for the trip but kept kicking until the final 100m when gassed. Think she’ll take really good improvement from that and with cover from the wide draw, she can improve and a win wouldn’t surprise.
If the track does indeed dry out and be in the good range, 2 Eawase (Bet Now: $16.00 TOP ODDS) is a big improver. Team Snowden trains this filly, who had trialled okay prior to resuming in the PJ Bell and she just couldn’t pick her feet up on the wet track when well held behind Multaja. She might need one or two more, but the ability is certainly there and up to 1400m is a big tick.
Race 5. (14:20) JRA Plate 2000m
Happy to speck 14 Grey Lion (Bet Now: $23.00) each way again. He trialled up really well prior to resuming in the Doncaster Prelude but he couldn’t pick his feet up on the bottomless track behind Mister Sea Wolf. Much better suited on firmer footing, which is what he should get here, and his tick over trial since, again at Warwick Farm, was very good. I reckon Matty Smith has him flying.
11 Abdon (Bet Now: $11.00) has produced a couple of ripping runs back from a spell but once again, that winning post is becoming a problem for him. Dashed when asked in the Doncaster Prelude and loomed to win but Mister Sea Wolf, despite being first up, just proved too good on the line. I think on a better track he’ll be better off despite some okay wet track credentials and up to 2000m a big tick.
3 My Nordic Hero (Bet Now: $16.00) looks to have returned pretty well for Chris Waller. Had jumped out well in Victoria prior to resuming in the Doncaster Prelude where he was another that struggled on the wet track behind Mister Sea Wolf, but given he was first up, I thought he was far from disgraced. He’s a three time second up winner, loves 2000m…has to be a threat.
Race 6. (14:55) Champagne Stakes 1600m
Finding it difficult for anything from the Sires to turn the tables on 1 Castelvecchio (Bet Now: $3.40). He was the horse that looked to have the most improvement in the race and that’s how it panned out. Clocked some great splits between the 800m-200m, but that last furlong he just died on his run, with condition giving way. That should hold him in really good stead for this and am keen on his chances.
9 Loving Gaby (Bet Now: $2.40) is a ripping filly for the Maher/Eustace stable who is doing all this in her first prep. Slipper run was enormous and it was much the same in the Sires. Just came off the bit for a couple of hundred metres down the side and on the home turn and that probably cost her the win. Think 1600m will be fine for her…just depends what is left in the tank.
4 Fortress Command (Bet Now: $9.00) could well be the best horse to come out of this race. Won his first two starts in impressive fashion, doing plenty wrong, before going to Rosehill where he was racing against the bias but still did a good job in defeat. Could have run last Saturday in the Fernhill but stable deliberately missed that race and target this instead and a Randwick mile should be ideal.
Race 7. (15:35) All Aged Stakes 1400m
The Meydan form says steer clear of him but just can’t help but be impressed by 6 D’Bai (Bet Now: $6.00). The noise from Canterbury wasn’t exactly positive when it came to Dubhe but it’s the complete opposite for 6 D’Bai, who appears to be thriving at Canterbury. The Meydan win on January 24 over 1400m was very impressive, with the six year old clocking some fast late splits to get the job done. The positives are he’s in an A1 stable, he’s a last start winner and is a bomb fresh horse. The negative is that there have been 25 subsequent runs from those in behind him from last start for one win, which gives me doubts, but just have to be with the experienced campaigner.
2 Osborne Bulls (Bet Now: $2.70) probably has claims to being the best horse in Australia yet to win a major. Tempo beat him in the Lightning, too far back in the Newmarket then bumped into the best sprinter in Australia, Santa Ana Lane, in the TJ Smith. For mine, he’s most effective at 1200m, so 1400m I have doubts on him here, but he’s got class and form on his side.
WFA and 1400m probably isn’t the go of 9 Lanciato (Bet Now: $34.00) but he just looks silly odds. Mark Newnham trains this bloke, who has a booming finish on him but given his racing pattern, it sometimes counts for nothing given he gets too far back in the run. Been freshened up after an outstanding effort in the Newcastle Newmarket against the bias and the trial at Warwick Farm was good.
Race 8. (16:15) Hall Mark Stakes 1200m
Great to see 2 Home Of The Brave (Bet Now: $1.95) back at the races and he’s the one to beat. Resumes for James Cummings after a pretty good opening prep in Australia in the Spring, which was highlighted by a spank job of his rivals in the Theo Marks before a narrow fourth to Jungle Cat in the Sir Rupert Clarke. Has been given a long spell and the trials leading in have been outstanding, and he’s most effective when produced with fresh legs.
On firmer footing, I think 10 Trekking (Bet Now: $8.50) can take this out. He trialled up enormous prior to resuming in the Maurice McCarten where he was run off his legs early and couldn’t really dash on the ground, but despite all that, he did loom but his condition just gave out late. He’ll take really good improvement from that and the trial since was outstanding I thought.
Really interesting placement from Team Snowden when it comes to 9 Brave Song (Bet Now: $15.00), who has been kept on ice in search of a dry track. The trials have been outstanding to the eye and was well specked in the Star Kingdom a few Saturdays back but was scratched due to the wet track. Hopefully finds firmer footing. If so, one of the hardest to beat here.
Race 9. (16:55) JCDeaux Handicap (100) 1400m
12 Salsonic (Bet Now: $18.00) looks to be going really well for Jason Coyle. Hasn’t raced since resuming in the Liverpool Cup when working home strongly to run third to Dreamforce, with that horse running a strong third behind Winx in the George Ryder as well as second in the Doncaster, so that has to be good form for this, and the trials since have been very good.
8 Take It Intern (Bet Now: $5.50) is a fascinating runner. Formerly with Darren Weir, this horse is now with Kris Lees. Had three runs in Melbourne during the Spring and was really good each time he stepped out, the last run seeing him run run midfield over 1800m behind Kaonic on Melbourne Cup Day. Two trials have been quite good to the eye and stable is flying.
2 Duca Valentinois (Bet Now: $19.00) is a James Cummings trained veteran resuming with eyes on the Hawkesbury Cup/Scone Cup path, so might be a tad short of his best here, but will be strong late if he gets conditions to suit. Has had two trials in readiness for his return, and I thought the latest one at Warwick Farm behind McCreery was quite good. One to include in multiples.
Best Bets & Quaddie Tips
BEST BET: Race Four Number 4 Into The Abyss
NEXT BEST: Race Seven Number 6 D’Bai
LONG SHOT: Race Five Number 14 Grey Lion
Quaddie Tips (Races Six Through To Nine):
Leg One: 1, 3, 4, 9
Leg Two: 2, 3, 6, 9, 11
Leg Three: 2, 3, 9, 10
Leg Four: 2, 8, 12, 16, 17
$50 Investment = 12.50% of the dividend if successful
All odds are subject to change. Odds listed are correct at the time of the latest update.
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