20/2/2021 Horse Racing Tips and Best Bets – Rosehill, Hobartville Stakes day

Quality racing in Sydney continues this Saturday at Rosehill with a host of feature races set down. The weather is fine, the track is heavy (8) and the rail is out six metres for the entire circuit.

Hobartville Stakes 🏆: View the Field and Odds for the Hobartville Stakes

Silver Slipper Stakes 🏆: View the Field and Odds for the Silver Slipper Stakes

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The draw makes things tricky for 11 Vowmaster (Bet Now: $1.70 TOP ODDS), but he does look Group class. Only had two starts but each time he has impressed in Victoria, the latest under the lights at the Valley when winning with arrogance. Trialled up like a jet last week and just has to overcome the barrier to win.

13 Andermatt (Bet Now: $3.70 TOP ODDS) is a nice prospect for James Cummings that resumes. Only had two runs to start his career in the Winter but created a decent impression, winning on debut at Kembla before a second to Anders here on testing ground. His trials have been sharp and down in the weights, he can cause problems for the favourite.

5 Tommy Gold (Bet Now: $10.00 TOP ODDS) can be a big improver here I feel. Was keen on his chances in the Eskimo Prince. I just don’t think he let down on the testing track so I want to be forgiving of that effort. Trialled up like a bomb prior to that and can’t be sacked off one run. Like him in a race like this.

15 Texas Storm (Bet Now: $11.00 TOP ODDS) is flying for the Milligan camp and gee he looks well placed IMO. His three runs back from a break have been excellent. First up was good late in a Highway before contesting a couple of Country Championship Previews when having little luck both runs yet kept finding the line. Hard fit now at 1400m, looks a great set up.

3 Katgully Red (Bet Now: $6.00 TOP ODDS) is going really well this time in. Mini plunge just missed two back at Randwick before racing there again when sent out big odds due to the support for Another One and Katgully Red was too good in an impressive display. Nash is on and the 1400m should be okay.

10 Saint Ambrose (Bet Now: $13.00 TOP ODDS) could be value here. Resumes for the in form Will Freedman camp, having not raced since October 24 when down the track in a Highway at Randwick behind Proven Class. Two trials to get ready have been strong to the eye and the stable did win the Highway last Saturday.

3 Ziegfeld (Bet Now: $3.90 TOP ODDS) is one of the bigger queries on the program. Former French galloper that makes his Australian debut for James Cummings, and perhaps has eyes towards better races. Comes here with one trial under the belt, and although he ran last, gee he looked to move well. Form around him is that of a Group ll class horse to my eye, so keen to see how he goes.

The set up is there for 6 Yao Dash (Bet Now: $2.20 TOP ODDS) to blow these away. Hard fit, in form and just maps to get a perfect with a great front running jock to steer. His last three runs have been strong, the latest being close up on Magic Millions Day behind Eleven Eleven. That form is A1 for a race like this.

7 Aliferous (Bet Now: $15.00 TOP ODDS) doesn’t have the greatest of winning strike rates, but she does have a touch of quality about her and can sprint well fresh. Probably went to the well one too many times when racing in the Port Macquarie Cup, her last run after a pretty hectic preparation. Just one trial to get ready, hopefully allowing her to still have freshness in the legs.

1 Madam Rouge (Bet Now: $3.10 TOP ODDS) is a ripping mare for Chris Waller that resumes. I find it interesting that they dodged the Magic Millions and focused on the Autumn, with her target being the Coolmore Classic, searching for that elusive Group l win. Usually sprints well fresh and has trialled up nicely leading in.

If 3 Subpoenaed (Bet Now: $5.50 TOP ODDS) is within range on the turn, I think she has the late speed to finish over the top of these. Somewhat put it together in the Spring, highlighted by a romp in the Golden Pendant where she jumped clean. That is the key to her. If she can get away with him, she’ll take a power of beating.

4 Asiago (Bet Now: $5.00 TOP ODDS) is a James Cummings trained mare that resumes. This girl hasn’t raced since The Gong when probably going to the well one too many times after a long Spring prep. Spelled and thought her recent Rosehill trial was more than encouraging. Interesting to see what the market does with her.

1 Paulele (Bet Now: $3.80) is unbeaten in his career to date and commands respect. Big win on debut at the Valley before getting the job done in good style at Randwick before being spelled with the Slipper in mind. Liked his recent trial and although drawn tricky, he does have the runs on the board.

I think this race will tell us if 5 Home Affairs (Bet Now: $3.70) is a contender or pretender. Debuted in the Canonbury and was all over a winner, but just knocked up late when bloused on the peg by Zethus. You’d like to think there is room for improvement for this colt and good lead that J Mac sticks.

I doubt that 3 Rocket Tiger (Bet Now: $13.00) wins, but perhaps could sneak a first four spot for Scott Spackman. 2/2 to start his career in the Summer, the latest win being on Boxing Day when fighting strongly on speed to win at Randwick. Tick over trial was pretty good and he’s got the right racing pattern.

I’ll go with 5 The Lord Mayor (Bet Now: $8.50). I didn’t think there was much wrong with his first up run a few weeks ago at Randwick behind Shared Ambition. Got back in the run in a fast run race and lost sight of the bunny, but was good late in defeat. Will love the step up in trip and J Mac does get on well with him.

Concede 11 Sacramento (Bet Now: $1.95) is a leading chance….but odds on? No thank you. Has to drift surely. He is racing well, hard fit and in form. Got control last time out at Randwick and in a sprint home, he was just too good for them. This is a harder assignment, but leads for fun again and has hard race fitness.

1 Mustajeer (Bet Now: $11.00) did win this race last year and it does appear that fresh is best for him so I give him a knockout hope. I think there is enough in the form to suggest that he’s not a top tier stayer that can measure up in Caulfield Cup/Melbourne Cup. This is his level Bowman did ride him to win the race last year. He sticks.

His best racing has come at Randwick but I think with time, 4 Peltzer (Bet Now: $2.60) has just become a really good horse. Loved the way he knuckled down to win the Eskimo Prince, wearing down a hard fit and in form stablemate, The Face. Fitter, up to 1400m, home track…see no reason to be against him.

I think this run will be a true guide as to what path 3 North Pacific (Bet Now: $4.80) takes. Off his trials and what he produced first up, he is racing like he wants more ground, so keen to see him at 1400m. Last time he was at the trip was in the Golden Rose when beaten a lip by stablemate Ole Kirk. If he finds his best, he goes close.

I’m wary of 2 King’s Legacy (Bet Now: $21.00), resuming for Team Snowden. For the most part, I thought he was disappointing in the Spring after such a promising 2YO season. Has only had one trial to get ready for his return and the key for me is Blinkers first time, which to my eyes signals intent to run well fresh.

Best on the program here for me and quite clearly in the shape of 4 Munitions (Bet Now: $5.50). Just came around too soon for him in the Spring. Had the one run and wasn’t bad in defeat, looming and peaking on the run. Loved his recent Rosehill trial behind Eduardo. Can see him sitting behind a hot speed and finishing best, with class on his side.

Think 7 Spaceboy (Bet Now: $4.50) can atone for two weeks ago if he finds the front. He should have beaten Written Beauty two weeks ago at Randwick. He was tardy away and was forced to box seat instead of leading and rolling. In saying that, he was bolting for a run but it didn’t eventuate until it was all over. He’s flying and is hard to beat here.

9 Accession (Bet Now: $14.00) is a very interesting runner. Chris Waller trained four year old that is first up, having not raced since March last year when struggling on wet ground behind Positive Peace. The Randwick trial was plain but trialled last week here and went much better, so interesting to see how he goes.

Two options here for 4 Lackeen (Bet Now: $3.10). He’s the good thing on the program and wins comfortably or he flops badly. The form around him for France is of the quality that he should be putting this field away, and his trial indicates he is enjoying life in Australia. If he runs up to the form, he wins.

There is a decent engine under the hood of 16 Wheelhouse (Bet Now: $3.10). Former Brad Widdup runner that had his first run for Chris Waller on the Kenso track when sitting back off a fast speed before cutting towards the inside and finishing off like a good horse to break the maiden tag. Destined for better races so keen to see how he goes here.

5 Fulmina (Bet Now: $6.00) is a query runner because I reckon Mark Newnham will have eyes on a race like the Epona, a 1900m blacktype race for Mares. This girl has been freshened up, having not raced since the January Cup when good in defeat over 2000m behind stablemate Spirit Ridge. She’ll be warming to the task late.

BEST BET: Race Eight Number 4 Munitions

NEXT BEST: Race One Number 11 Vowmaster

LONG SHOT: Race Two Number 15 Texas Storm

Quaddie Tips (Races Six Through To Nine):

Leg One: 1, 5, 7, 9, 11

Leg Two: 1, 2, 3, 4

Leg Three: 4

Leg Four: 2, 4, 5, 16

$50 Investment = 62.50% of the dividend if successful

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