Night racing continues at Moonee Valley this Friday where nine races have been set down. The weather is fine, the track is good (4) and the rail is out seven metres for the entire circuit.
Race 1. (17:15) Bill Badger (bm64) 1600m
7 Trodaire (Bet Now: $3.60) looks quite promising and I think he can make it 2/2 this time in. Resumed in a 1400m maiden at Echuca and despite being tardy away, he was still able to finish over the top and win. His last 600m was 2.5L better than anything else in the race and his last 200m was 2L better than anything else. Big win and Olly on, he’ll do me.
2 Criminal (Bet Now: $2.00) is the one that is hard fit and in form for the Freedman camp. Took on the older horses last time out at Cranbourne and he was impressive again, finishing best from off the speed under a lovely ride from Billy Egan, who remains on for this race. Back to his own age, hard fit, in form, hard to beat.
3 El Santo (Bet Now: $9.50) deserves another chance. He ran last Wednesday in the Derby Trial at Flemington where he was wide throughout and never really a factor, so want to be forgiving of that run behind Cetshwayo. Was a strong winner in a Swan Hill maiden prior to that and the claim for Will Price certainly helps.
Race 2. (17:45) Tony Cassidy Mdn Plate 1200m
If he handles the Valley, 7 Shelby Cobra (Bet Now: $4.20) looks one of the better bets on the program. Michael Moroney trained first starter that has had two jumpouts this time in to get ready, the latest seeing him truck up beautifully behind the speed before angling wider and gee he looked to be bolting late. Think he’s smart and can make a winning debut here.
3 Fixated (Bet Now: $3.90) is an honest customer for the Hayes/Dabernig team and should be around the mark once again, like he was when he resumed at Bendigo. Looked the winner when he took the front but was nailed late by Hickock. He’ll take good improvement from that run and looks to map in an idea spot.
2 Expectant (Bet Now: $17.00) is not far off a maiden win. Not sure it’s here but Shane Nicholls does have him going well. Maiden win looked to be his last time out at Swan Hill but he couldn’t quite finish it off and had to settle for a second to Rhode Scholar. More depth here, but he’ll put himself near the speed and try hard.
Race 3. (18:15) Zig Inge Am (bm78) 3000m
I’ll go the way of 7 Northern Voyage (Bet Now: $5.50). WaterBott trained stayer that was solid over the jumps during the season. Freshened up and went to a staying contest at Echuca where I thought the ride from Prebble won him the race, making the right moves at the right time and his toughness really kicked in late. Think he’ll take this up and make it a true staying contest.
I was impressed by the win of 8 Wolfe Tone (Bet Now: $9.50) at Kyneton last time out over 2800m. Backed as if unbeatable after a strong start to his jumps career and from the 600m onwards, he was never getting beat and the margin really flattered his rivals. Gets in well at the weights, hard fit, in form, likeable.
9 Karakoram (Bet Now: $35.00) can fill a minor spot. The Hyland camp has him going well. Notable drifter late in betting last time out at Kyneton as the money arrived for Wolfe Tone and #TeamThey got it spot on as Wolfe Tone was much too good while Karakoram got back, made up ground, but never threatened. Soft gate, firmer footing, think he’s value.
Race 4. (18:45) Andrew Lemon Am (bm64) 1200m
9 Pioneer River (Bet Now: $4.20) gets the nod for me. Hayes/Dabernig trained filly that resumed in a strong 3YO Fillies races at Caulfield when doing work in the run out wide and battled away pretty well in defeat behind Muntaseera. Very winnable race here and maps well.
3 Astraeus (Bet Now: $9.50) is a big watch here. Busuttin/Young trained gelding that resumes. This son of Savabeel has promised so much during his career but hasn’t lived up to the early hype. Recent jumpout was encouraging and his best and is good enough, clearly.
7 Stardern Lass (Bet Now: $11.00) is a Maher/Eustace trained mare who should be thereabouts. Ran over 1300m at Wodonga last time out where she sat off a slow speed and tried hard, but Red Octane had it too good in front and was strong to the line in winning, but this mare was far from disgraced in defeat. Claim for Will Price helps and draws to get a sweet run.
Race 5. (19:15) Kevin O'neill (bm64) 1200m
Think 2 Indernile (Bet Now: $10.00) is worth an each way ticket at nearly double figures. His racing pattern isn’t flash hence the just fair winning strike rate, but I’ve been really taken by his two jumpouts. First jumpout at Caulfield, he looked to be absolutely trucking out wide. Second one, he went to Sandown and was making ground on the Stakes performed All Too Royal. Think he’ll run a beauty here.
10 Itzhot (Bet Now: $7.50) returns as a gelding for the Hayes/Dabernig team and I think he’s a big watch here. Showed promise last season as a juvenile, and does boast a win of the highly touted Flying Award. Thought the recent jumpout was more than encouraging, he draws gate one and gets Olly to steer, so a few ticks.
6 Red Octane (Bet Now: $26.00) has returned in super order for the Wayne Nicholls camp. Resumed at Benalla and had no luck at all. Then went to Wodonga where Alex Bryan took the gelding to the front, controlled things beautifully, and gave nothing else a look in, winning quite impressively. Harder here, but is big odds for a last start winner.
Race 6. (19:45) Ladbrokes 55sec Challenge (bm64) 955m
I think 8 Unicorny (Bet Now: $9.50) is big odds here. This has the potential to be a red hot 955m race given the amount of speed in the race, whether it be drawn inside or outside, so think the potential is there for Jamie Mott to snag back and sit off it with this mare, like she did when winning her maiden here last prep, and if the breaks come, she’ll be strong late.
9 Dane Clipper (Bet Now: $3.30) is a daughter of Danerich for the Hayes/Dabernig team that resumes. This mare hasn’t raced since November 22 over 1200m here when down the track in a handy 3YO race won by Somals. Been given a good break, has jumped out well and do like the fact that they find Williams to steer fresh. Just needs luck from the gate.
If the inside is playing fine, then 10 Cut It Out (Bet Now: $11.00) deserves some form of respect. Stackhouse has a couple of options from gate one, whether he kicks up to lead or takes a sit off Rotator, who only knows one way to run. Recent form is sound enough for a race like this and thankfully the inside is playing okay.
Race 7. (20:15) David Webb (bm64) 2040m
3 Look Sharpish (Bet Now: $3.30) should love the rise to 2040m for the Corstens camp. This mare was an impressive winner over the mile two back at Benalla before staying there at Bendigo and loomed to win, but was nailed late. Racing like further will suit, which is what she gets here, and the claim for Lachie King is a big tick.
4 Excelman (Bet Now: $2.40) is the one that probably has the brilliance factor to win this, but is a query at the trip given he looked to have every chance at Cranbourne last time out but was beaten fair and square by Criminal. That horse goes around in the first, so you’ll know how strong that form is come jump time here.
1 Firstclass Dreamer (Bet Now: $7.00) is a little query at 2000m but does bring strong form into this race. His last run came in an open handicap at the Valley where he ran a good fourth to the well performed Junipal, beaten just under five lengths and far from disgraced. Back to 70 grade, if he runs the 2000m, he’s a leading chance.
Race 8. (20:45) Bcna Pink Lady (bm78) 1600m
3 Sovereign Award (Bet Now: $3.50) is quirky but ability wise, think she is the best horse in the race and I am hoping the soft hands of Jamie Kah can relax this mare. Ran over this track/distance last time out and just went way too keen in the run, leaving herself with nothing left for the straight, albeit she was only beaten just under two lengths. Think she’s the one to beat, but first 400m will be vital.
4 Titan Blinders (Bet Now: $2.80) has come back in really good order for the Corstens team but he just can’t quite crack it for a win. Attempted to lead throughout over 1400m last Wednesday at Flemington and looked home when asked for the big effort, but was nabbed late by Chaillot. Think if he can get a soft run, 1600m will be okay.
2 Royal Performance (Bet Now: $8.50) is the knockout chance, although staying at 1600m I do have a query on. Ran over the mile last Wednesday at Flemington when back near last in the run but was a real eye catcher late behind impressive winner Affair To Remember. The claim brings him right into calculations and would nearly be a good thing if this was 2000m.
Race 9. (21:15) Ladbrokes Easy Form (bm70) 1000m
It’s hard to tip against 8 Just Zerene (Bet Now: $1.90), but do I want to take odds on? No way. There are a couple of queries I have with her. Firstly, her barrier manners are some of the worst I’ve seen from a horse in years. She’s a rogue. A proper rogue. And the other query is the map. I’m not sure she can cross Fill The Flute, so can she not lead and win? Ability wise, she has a few lengths on them, so banking on that getting her home.
No idea what to do with 10 Screenager (Bet Now: $6.00) for James Cummings. This time last year she kicked off her career and looked promising, borderline Stakes class, but the wheels fell off soon after and she’s battled ever since. Been given a good break, has jumped out well and does find a winnable race if she finds anywhere near her best and if the fav is off her game.
1 Fill The Flute (Bet Now: $13.00) will give a bold sight from near the front. Jamie Edwards trained mare that has great early toe and could potentially hold the lead from the gate if Will Price wants to kick up with purpose. Last run was over three weeks ago, but thought the tick over jumpout was quite encouraging, so keen to see how she goes.
Best Bets & Quaddie Tips
BEST BET: Race Two Number 7 Shelby Cobra
NEXT BEST: Race One Number 7 Trodaire
LONG SHOT: Race Six Number 8 Unicorny
Quaddie Tips (Races Six Through To Nine):
Leg One: 5, 8, 9, 10, 11
Leg Two: 1, 3, 4, 9
Leg Three: 2, 3, 4, 5
Leg Four: 8, 10
$50 Investment = 31.25% of the dividend if successful
All odds are subject to change. Odds listed are correct at the time of the latest update.
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