A cracking program of top class racing has been assembled for Randwick this Saturday, with the highlight race being the $500,000 Group l George Main Stakes (1600m). The weather is overcast, the track is heavy (8) and the rail is in the true position for the entire circuit.
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Race One (12:40pm) : Schweppes Heritage Stakes 1100m: Form Guide
Back Me: Really interested to see the return run of the Chris Waller trained Counterattack (Best Odds: $5.00). He was excellent during the Brisbane Winter without winning, and just forget his J J Atkins run because he was simply looking for the spelling paddock. I’ve loved what I have seen in a couple of barrier trials and he did show a good turn of foot to win first up last time in.
Big Danger: Haptic (Best Odds: $3.00) wasn’t far off them when resuming in the San Domenico, finishing third to Japonisme. Month between runs, but he looked pretty good in a Randwick trial behind Flamboyant Lass. He has performed well on wet tracks at the trials previously, and he’ll be up on speed, which will be no disadvantage.
Roughie: Takedown (Best Odds: $5.50) resumes here for Gary Moore after a pretty strong Autumn, highlighted by a win in the Black Opal at Canberra. I think he will be better off with the fitness and added distance, but he has had a couple of barrier trials to tune up and he will be strong late.
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Race Two (1:15pm) : Bill Ritchie Handicap 1400m: Form Guide
Back Me: Really keen to see how Rekindled Power (Best Odds: $6.00) resumes here. He is a quality animal for Paul Messara who performed well during the Sydney and Brisbane Carnivals without much luck, plagued by bad barriers. His two trials leading in have been very good, and his first run last time in resulted in a fast finishing third to Group l place getter Delectation, beaten just under a length. The one to beat IMO.
Big Danger: I have a sneaky e/w ticket on Rudy (Best Odds: $2.50) to win the Epsom on the hope the rain comes in a fortnight, but I think he is also a ripping chance here. His two runs this time in have been fantastic, firstly at Doomben before going to the Tramway and sticking on very well behind Hooked. His Grand Final is the Epsom, so I think he’ll have improvement, but his class and form will see him go a long way towards victory.
Roughie: Keep an eye on the stayer resuming here, Index Linked (Best Odds: $34.00). He hasn’t looked too bad in a couple of barrier trials and all three runs at Randwick have been very good in some quality races. Watch market moves with him.
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Race Three (1:50pm) : TAB More Than Just Winning Handicap (80) 1200m: Form Guide
Back me: Despite carrying 60kg, Oxford Poet (Best Odds: $4.60) does look well weighted and suited here. He hasn’t raced since the Autumn where the highlights were placings in the Provincial Championship Final and then a second in the Luskin Star Stakes during the Scone Carnival. Bolted up in a recent trial on his home track and he looks wound up to win first up.
Big Danger: Dupe ‘Em (Best Odds: $5.00) has produced two strong wins at Canterbury, and though the wins have been narrow, he has got the job done impressively. Rises in grade now, but is lethal on wet tracks and now gets some weight relief.
Roughie: Mine Two (Best Odds: $10.00) is the interesting runner. She resumes for Garry Frazer as a three year old filly taking on the older horses. She wasn’t far off them at Stakes level as a two year old, and she has looked quite forward in a couple of barrier trials leading up to her return to racing.
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Race Four (2:30pm) : The Bowermans Office Furniture Shorts 1100m: Form Guide
Back Me: With the scratchings, I am really keen here on Shiraz (Best Odds: $2.50). He is just a winner and knows where the winning post is. He looked to be gone early on in the straight when contesting the Concorde last start but he kept finding and eventually wore down Ball Of Muscle. He is a swimmer and meets Ball Of Muscle pretty much at level weights for that win.
Big Danger: Hot Snitzel (Best Odds: $6.00) is a ripper for Team Snowden who is never far away from the action. The BTC Cup winner resumes here off the back of a couple of solid barrier trials, the latest coming at Warwick Farm when third to Terravista. He runs very well first up and is a two time winner at Randwick.
Roughie: Rock Sturdy (Best Odds: $26.00) wasn’t far off them in the Doomben 10,000 when seventh to Boban, beaten four lengths before being spelled. He has had a couple of quiet barrier trials to tune up, he runs well fresh and has placed in three of five runs at Randwick.
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Race Five (3:05pm) : Coolmore Tea Rose Stakes 1400m: Form Guide
Back Me: I am a big fan of the Godolphin filly Pearls (Best Odds: $12.00). She looked outstanding in a couple of barrier trials prior to debuting at Gosford where she won with real class and authority. She then went to Canterbury and was completely luckless when a close up second to The Special Two. I think the spacious surroundings at Randwick will suit, as will the rise to 1400m, and she looks to have some real quality about her.
Big Danger: Perignon (Best Odds: $4.80) is another that trialled well prior to the first run for the Spring, which came in the Furious Stakes (1200m) where she was simply no match for star filly Speak Fondly, who ran a beauty in the Golden Rose last week to ensure that form reference has substance. There is no Speak Fondly here, and she has upside. Hard to beat.
Roughie: Honesta (Best Odds: $21.00) is a talented filly for John Thompson who has been racing in Queensland, and winning quite impressively over the mile. Look for her to perform well in the Flight Stakes, but she is a strong miler, and at 1400m on a wet track, she can certainly run well here.
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Race Six (3:45pm) : Colgate Optic White George Main Stakes 1600m: Form Guide
Back Me: Really keen here on Pornichet (Best Odds: $7.50). I loved his first up run in the Warwick Stakes where he chased the hot speed, and was only grabbed late. He then went to the Chelmsford Stakes and just forget he went around. The pace was too slow, he doesn’t like wet tracks, and it was near impossible to make up ground out wide. Firmer surface now, cherry ripe fitness wise and looks extremely hard to beat.
Big Danger: Kermadec (Best Odds: $2.50) has been fantastic in both his runs this time in. He was a real eye catcher in the Warwick before sitting wide no cover in the Chelmsford yet still hit the line with purpose when second to all the way winner Complacent. We all remember what happened the last time he ran over the Randwick mile.
Roughie: On that same afternoon, Lucia Valentina (Best Odds: $6.50) resumed in the Tramway and she produced the run of the day IMO. She sat back in a slowly run race, and despite it being an afternoon where it was hard to make up ground, she savaged the line between runners to run a close up sixth to Hooked. A real query on her winning if the track is dry, but the first up effort was too good to ignore.
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Race Seven (4:25pm) : Ascend Sales Trophies Hill Stakes 2000m: Form Guide
Back Me: It was hard not to be impressed by the run of Junoob (Best Odds: $10.00) in the Chelmsford. He was one of many horses that afternoon not suited by the on speed bias, and he isn’t known for excelling on wet ground, but his lat 150m or so behind Complacent was outstanding, and he appears right on track for another crack at the Metropolitan.
Big Danger: It’s hard to get a guide on how good the win of Complacent (Best Odds: $3.00) really was. He walked them in front and sprinted home the final 250m. He was gifted the race on a plate, but he still had to get the job done and he did. He should have enormous upside left, and 2000m is his best distance. We will get a really good guide here as to how he has come back.
Roughie: Beaten Up (Best Odds: $10.00) was very good when resuming in the Warwick Stakes before going to the Chelmsford and he is a horse who hates getting his feet wet, and that was evident when he just plugged away for eighth. On top of the ground and up to 2000m is perfect for him, and I think he is a knockout chance here at odds.
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Race Eight (5:05pm) : TAB Rewards Handicap (85) 1600m: Form Guide
Back Me: The hottest tip all weekend a couple of weeks back was for Farolitos (Best Odds: $2.80), and aided by a lovely front running steer from McDonald, the Godolphin galloper proved far too good for his rivals. Should only improve off that and he will get every chance from the good gate.
Big Danger: Hollywood Bound (Best Odds: $10.00) has been given a three week break since his last run where he worked home strongly from the back to run third to Centre Pivot. He loves racing at Randwick and Shinn goes back on, and he rides the horse very well.
Roughie: Danjeu (Best Odds: $15.00) is the intriguing runner. He resumes here for Chris Waller after a very good Summer/Autumn. His best form is over further, so obviously he will likely need this run under his belt, but he has a stack of upside ability wise, so despite 1600m being short of his best, he is certainly good enough to beat these.
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BEST BET: Race Eight Number 6 Farolitos
NEXT BEST: Race Six Number 2 Pornichet
VALUE: Race Five Number 12 Pearls
Quaddie Tips (Races Five Through To Eight):
Leg One: 1, 4, 6, 8, 12
Leg Two: 2, 5, 6, 8, 9
Leg Three: 1, 2, 3, 7, 13, 16, 17
Leg Four: 1, 2, 5, 6, 12, 14
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All odds are subject to change. Odds listed are correct at the time of the latest update.
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