A bumper eight race card has been set down for Murwillumbah on Friday for Murwillumbah Cup Day. The weather is fine, the track is good (4) and the rail is in the true position for the entire circuit.
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Murwillumbah Cup 🏆: View the Field and Odds for the Murwillumbah Cup
Race 1. (12:45) Murwillumbah Services Clb-Bm58 1100m
I think 1 In Fiore (Bet Now: $2.60) is the way to go in the opener. He was given a peach by Jag to win at Lismore last start. Got the suck run behind the speed and had to wait for clear air but once it came, he dashed and won well. Looks to be good speed here and from the draw, he’ll get a similar run and be strong late.
Matty Dunn on the home track on Cup Day always has to be respected so I concede that 7 Tattletale (Bet Now: $2.90) is a threat, but I do think he’s on the short side. Just a win I thought in an average 800m scamper at Ipswich, leading throughout and scraping in. Clearly harder here, but home deck, slides forward…he’s a threat for sure.
8 Top Bird (Bet Now: $9.50) brings provincial QLD form which is usually a good recipe for the Northern Rivers. Sat on speed at the Sunny Coast last time out and just felt the pinch late. The depth here is nowhere near as strong, so I think she can give a sight at a price, especially with the claim.
Race 2. (13:20) Tab Eva Smith Mdn Plate 1550m
IMO one of the Matty Dunn pair will win. But I’m going for the value in the shape of 3 Introvert (Bet Now: $12.00). He was a real eye catcher two back at Grafton before going to the Sunny Coast where the market said it would be a prep run for next time and that’s how it panned out. Home deck, hard fit, up to 1550m, if he can settle closer in the run, I think he’ll only run well.
2 Feirme Prince (Bet Now: $3.40) is the more fancied of the duo, and while he’s a key threat, hard to beat, I’m not sure the odds are overly appealing. Heavily backed odds on pop in a thin maiden at Lismore last time and had every chance when second. Needs luck from the gate but Ben Looker is the form jockey in this part of the world.
4 Jakat (Bet Now: $26.00) is a son of Love Conquers All for Marcus Wilson on debut. He’s had two trials this prep to get ready for start one, winning the latest over 1200m at Deagon in good style. Gets a lovely run from the gate and outside the top two, the depth is quite thin.
Race 3. (13:55) Take It Ezy Meat Co. Hcp (C2) 1550m
I like 2 Rose Bouquet (Bet Now: $3.20) here. She was 1200m to 1600m on Coffs Cup Day and she was very good against the track pattern, working home strongly from the back out wide when second to Kapsali. Has that mile run under the belt and it should hold her in good stead for this.
1 Think High (Bet Now: $3.90) is finding it hard to win this time in but does have a track/distance win next to his name. He ran over 1500m at the Eagle Farm midweeks last time where he was tucked in behind the speed and battled away pretty well behind Magic Charlee. Home track advantage, he appeals.
5 Foxy Fraulein (Bet Now: $8.50) will jump on the bunny and give a sight. Last couple of runs have come over 1700m at the Gold Coast, leading throughout two back before a game fourth last time. This track will be on the firmer side, and with that, horses on speed are advantaged, so he commands respect.
Race 4. (14:30) Xxxx Gold Mdn Hcp 1200m
3 I Am Good At This (Bet Now: $2.00) gets the nod. Son of I Am Invincible for Matty Dunn that resumes. He had a two run Autumn prep, the best effort being fresh when a narrow second at Grafton. Been given a good break and I liked his recent Beaudesert trial win, so I suspect he’s here to rock and roll on the home deck.
1 Flying Deputy (Bet Now: $3.10) is knocking on the door to break the maiden tag. He comes back to 1200m after racing last start over 1350m at Ipswich where he was near the speed and chased hard, but couldn’t get there when third to Brazen Breccia. Back to 1200m, good gate, key threat.
13 My Pins (Bet Now: $9.50) needs luck from the tricky gate but is in with a shout. Resumed over 1200m at the Gold Coast where she looked like she would need the run and that’s how it panned out when fifth. Firmer footing helps and I think she’ll be dangerous if she gets a drag into the race.
Race 5. (15:05) Wholesale Sand Tygalgah Cup 2020m
I’ll be stunned if 2 Stuck With You (Bet Now: $4.80) doesn’t start favourite here. Matty Dunn trained gelding that hasn’t fired a shot this time in, but there have been excuses. He resumed at Eagle Farm when down the track behind a potential star in Uncommon James. The two runs since have come on wet ground and he doesn’t go a yard. Back on a firm deck, home track, he’ll only run well IMO.
7 Noble Cat (Bet Now: $3.10) has had a few runs at the mile now and I think he is looking like a horse wanting more ground, which he gets here. Negative ride last time at Eagle Farm and while he ran okay, he could have done more with initiative. If he gets that here, he can be dangerous.
5 Honour Me (Bet Now: $6.50) is knocking on the door to win. He ran in the Ken Howard Cup at Coffs Harbour last start and worked to the line strongly from the back when a close up third to Ambitious Prince. He’s fourth up here, so he should be hard fit and he will be strong at the end.
Race 6. (15:40) Boutique T'breds Newmarket Hcp 1200m
2 Amirykal (Bet Now: $10.00) is the each way bet here. Daniel Bowen trained mare that resumes and she is quite lethal when on the fresh side. Last run came on December 18 at Eagle Farm when down the track and at the end of her prep. She looked to absolutely jog in a Lismore trial, she is a fresh horse and hoping she can get a drag into the race from the gate.
7 Parksville (Bet Now: $2.80) is knocking on the door to win. He was given a lovely ride from Atkins in the Daniel Baker at Coffs Harbour and looked the winner when the run presented, but was nabbed late by Leave Me Some. KWT gets on really well with him and he maps ideally.
Fascinating runner is 1 Guy Dragon (Bet Now: $9.50), who was formerly racing in Hong Kong but is now with Adam Campton. Often we see these Hong Kong gallopers who race like busteds over there, a change of environment and they can turn their career around. Trials leading in have been strong, so watch the market.
Race 7. (16:20) Murwillubah Cup 1550m
1 Giannis (Bet Now: $7.00) has to be the bet here at the odds. He resumed over 1350m at Doomben where the market said it would be a prep run. He got back to near last in the run and was never a factor but was good late behind Bargannon. Fitter, up in trip, even with the weight, he’s a great each way bet at the price.
10 Morethannumberone (Bet Now: $4.60) has the right form around him to give this a shake. Two back he just struggled on the bottomless track at the Sunny Coast behind Puntura, who won again next start. Last start at Eagle Farm, several weeks ago, he worked to the line pretty well behind a class animal, Bottega. Brings that form here, he’ll take beating.
11 Tara Jasmine (Bet Now: $12.00) is a first four threat at a price. Ran in the Coffs Cup last time out over the mile and the 1600m at that level just found her out when down the track behind Hosier. The depth here isn’t overly strong and if it becomes a sit/sprint, she has the trun of foot to be dangerous.
Race 8. (17:00) Williams Group Australia (C1) 1200m
3 Ascot Express (Bet Now: $3.90) on top in the get out. This son of Shamexpress is second up here for Barry Baldwin after resuming over 1200m at Ipswich where he was very good from the back when a closing third to Dembe, just missing. Any hint of improvement, never mind holding the form, he’s the one to beat.
10 Cool Amigo (Bet Now: $7.00) is an improver. Brett Dodson trained three year old that resumed on Coffs Harbour Cup Day where he was backed with confidence to win but after getting the suck run behind the speed, he died on his run and tired late. Better for that outing, he deserves another chance.
5 I’m Gunna Cashew (Bet Now: $7.50) is a mare for Matty Dunn that is racing well without winning. Ran over 1200m at Lismore last start where she had a suck run behind the speed and was there to win but couldn’t finish it off when third. Finding it hard to win but has home track advantage.
Best Bets & Quaddie Tips
BEST BET: Race Eight Number 3 Ascot Express
NEXT BEST: Race Three Number 2 Rose Bouquet
LONG SHOT: Race Seven Number 1 Giannis
Quaddie Tips (Races Five Through To Eight):
Leg One: 2, 3, 5, 7
Leg Two: 1, 2, 3, 7, 8
Leg Three: 1, 9, 10, 11
Leg Four: 3
$50 Investment = 62.50% of the dividend if successful
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