A strong card of racing has been assembled for Flemington this Saturday where it is Andrew Ramsden Stakes Day. The weather is overcast, the track is soft (5) and the rail is out three metres for the entire circuit.
Race 1. (11:40) George Watson Hall Of Fame Trophy 1400m
4 Winning Partner (Bet Now: $4.40) is a Dawn Approach colt for Tony McEvoy who resumed in the Queen Adelaide a fortnight back where he got back in the ruck and finished off quite strongly late in the piece when fourth to Heaven’s Deal. He should eat up 1400m here, has upside and I reckon that race will turn out to be strong.
1 Vassilator (Bet Now: $3.60) was $101, so not sure what to make of his win in the Anzac Day Stakes at this track/distance, but price aside, the win was outstanding, had a touch of dominance/arrogance, and did beat up a quality field. I think you have to trust your eye with what she displayed there and should take some beating.
3 Bronski Beat (Bet Now: $3.80) looks a chance. He ran over 1400m at Bendigo last time out where I thought Yendall gave the colt a sweet sit just off the pace and once he got clear air, he finished quite strongly to get the job done in a maiden which looked to have a bit of depth to it. Flemington 1400m looks ideal, has upside to come for sure and is in the right yard. Not a long shot, but they look the trio.
Race 2. (12:20) Karasi Hall Of Fame Trophy (78) 1200m
5 Island Daze (Bet Now: $10.00) kicked off her career with two sharp wins before coming to the 1100m at Caulfield three weeks back where she got back in the run and couldn’t come on behind Grey Shadow. She was 1200 back to 1100 that afternoon so back up to 1100m looks ideal for her and the market support that afternoon was very strong.
4 Grey Shadow (Bet Now: $3.40) looks one of the key chances. Darren Weir trains this talented filly, who scored an electric win over the 1100m at Caulfield last time out under a lovely ride from Dean Yendall, saving ground nearer the inside throughout before getting the split and dashing hard to score. Up to 1200m no issue for mine and has the form on the board.
1 Egyptian Bullet (Bet Now: $19.00) has been very good to me this prep and I have to include her. Really good win first up at Werribee before going to Sandown last Wednesday where she got to as much as $26, a crazy price, and surged hard late to get the win. Gets in well with the claim and this isn’t a strong race.
Race 3. (12:55) National Hall Of Fame Handicap (78) 1600m
7 Notio (Bet Now: $8.00) is absolutely flying for the Hawkes camp. Ran over 1400m at Caulfield three weeks back where he got a mile off them in a race dominated by those near the speed and despite wanting to lay in, he finished off strongly when third to Flying Murty. The Flemington mile looks right up his alley and appears one of the hardest to beat.
8 Another Bullseye (Bet Now: $4.55) is a mare for Danny O’Brien that is racing in great form. Was hard in the market when racing at this track/distance two weeks ago and largely down a lovely ride from Daniel Moor that was the difference between winning and losing when proving too good for Galaxy Raider. Looks a leading contender.
9 Domino Vitale (Bet Now: $27.00) isn’t one of mine in terms of trusting, but she drops a fair bit in depth here. Ran over this track/distance on Anzac Day against the mares and was okay without jumping up an down behind Sebring Dream. 78 is her grade and she does have a good record when at this level. Draw makes it tough, but hopefully gets good cover, a drag up and finishes off.
Race 4. (13:30) WA 'Billy' Smith Hall Of Fame Trophy (84) 1800m
Liking 7 Jake’s Hill (Bet Now: $4.80) here. Chris Waller import who made his Australian debut over the mile here two weeks ago and I thought it was a definite pass mark behind Another Bullseye. Clocked some great late splits despite not having much room to let down. Should get clear air whenever he wants this time around and be strong late.
9 Laughing Heir (Bet Now: $7.50) does look to be a confidence horse and that will be high now. Good run two back behind Self Sense in the Gold Heath before dropping back to midweek grade last week at Sandown and absolutely bolting in under Jamie Mott. Loses nothing with Mick Dee jumping on, and he draws to get good three wide cover.
1 Captain Duffy (Bet Now: $19.00) is looking for further and he gets it. Ran over the mile at Morphettville a few weeks ago and just lacked the turn of foot required to win, settling for fifth to the in form Tatoosh. He has a really good record at 2000m+ so I think he finds a very winnable race to get back out to that sort of trip looks ideal and for mine is a key chance.
Race 5. (14:10) Poitrel Hall Of Fame Trophy 2000m
Has the weight does 1 Boom Time (Bet Now: $2.80), but clearly has the class. Did plenty of work in the run when resuming over 1800m here two weeks ago yet fought on so hard to only go down in the last stride or two at the hands of Tarquin. Up to 2000m with the run under the belt, gee he should take some beating.
6 Tarquin (Bet Now: $5.75) won the race and he was well specked despite the fact it had been a while since he last greeted the judge first. Stackhouse rode him a treat and got the job done nicely enough. His form at 2000m is really good so you’d think the extra furlong will only better suit him and rates highly.
8 Second Bullet (Bet Now: $9.00) resumed behind Tarquin over 1800m here a fortnight back and in the yard, he looked outstanding, ready to go. Didn’t quite run up to that and on face value was a touch disappointing behind the Godolphin galloper. He does save his best for Flemington so I’ll give him another chance.
Race 6. (14:50) Straight Six 1200m
1 Rich Charm (Bet Now: $2.75) looks the obvious. Had no right to win the VOBIS Gold Sprint last time out at Caulfield. Pat dropped the whip, the horse was a fair way back in the run but he produced an unbelievable finishing burst to get the job done. Tick over trial last week at Cranbourne was quite good and he loves racing down the straight.
12 Divine Quality (Bet Now: $6.00) looks a key threat for me. Robbie Griffiths trains this mare, who was well backed when resuming over 1200m at Caulfield three weeks back but probably just found the six furlongs fresh a bridge too far in the end behind impressive winner Creativity. Should improve off that I think and she has enormous upside.
3 Derryn…(Bet Now: $31.00) oh gee he is a bludger to follow. If he brought his best form, he wins. He just hasn’t shown it for a while, so where he is at, who knows. I’ll include him because the set up is ideal for him to bounce back to form. 1200m, good tempo, give in the track, fresh…he’s going to get his chance to produce his best.
Race 7. (15:30) Andrew Ramsden Stakes 3200m
3 Chequered Flag (Bet Now: $5.75) should just about be winning this. Darren Weir has this horse absolutely flying. Won his past two outings on at Morphettville, the latest coming a few Saturdays back over 2400m when backed off the map and getting the job done aided by a peach from Lane. Proven jumps star last year, could have run at Warrnambool but they elect to run here, and his trial win at Cranbourne was very good.
On first look, I thought 7 Doukhan (Bet Now: $11.00) was quite ordinary when racing over 2800m here a fortnight back but speaking to Jamie Lovett post race, the horse ran in the race with enormous improvement to come. If you overlook that, and look at the Sydney Cup, he would have gone close to winning had he got clear air. Giving him another chance.
11 Big Hammer (Bet Now: $7.50) will have no trouble with the two miles. He ran over 2350m during the Warrnambool Carnival where he looked a near good thing and won accordingly under a somewhat arrogant ride from Yendall. Not sure he has the class of some of these but he has the staying prowess to run well.
Race 8. (16:10) Colin Hayes AM, OBE Hall Of Fame Trophy 1400m
Tricky race but siding with 5 Moss’N’Dale (Bet Now: $4.90). The Gelagotis boys train this gelding, who was well backed when resuming in the Wangoom during the Warrnambool Carnival but got a mile back in the run but closed off well late behind Handsome Thief. 1400m second up suits and Jack Martin rides the horse well.
7 So Si Bon…(Bet Now: $5.50) why am I torturing myself again? I wish I didn’t see the replay of his last start, which was the Land Of Plenty race. But if you saw it, you could make a case he should have finished much closer, perhaps even placed, had he got clear air at the right time. He’s a bludger, but a repeat of last start, and better luck, will see him run well.
1 Pilote D’Essai (Bet Now: $16.00) resumed in the race won by Land Of Plenty and given that was his first run since Feb 2017, I thought the effort was great, beaten four lengths for a horse clearly in need of the run. Second up syndrome is the query, but he will improve off that and isn’t badly treated at the weights.
Race 9. (16:42) Chris Waller Hall Of Fame Trophy 1600m
13 Woulda Thought So (Bet Now: $18.00) is racing really well at the moment for the Hayes/Dabernig team. He ran over 140m at Warrnambool during the Carnival and it was an ugly watch if you were on aka me. Doubt he would have won, but would have run much closer to Honey Esprit in a very game effort. He’s crying out for the mile and he gets it.
1 Iconoclasm (Bet Now: $2.40) is an absolute ripper for Darren Weir who just hardly runs a bad race. He has done a stack of work at his past two runs over the 1400m here but each time he has toughed it out strongly to get the job done. Last start was dominant and off that outing, he should have no trouble with the mile.
16 Own Sweet Way (Bet Now: $71.00) looks a nice type for the Matt Cumani team, who is second up here after resuming in a maiden during the Warrnambool Carnival and just looked in need of the run when third to Truly High. Should run well despite the class rise.
Best Bets & Quaddie Tips
BEST BET: Race Five Number 1 Boom Time
NEXT BEST: Race One Number 4 Winning Partner
VALUE: Nine Number 13 Woulda Thought So
Quaddie Tips (Races Six Through To Nine):
Leg One: 1, 3, 7, 12
Leg Two: 3, 7, 9, 11
Leg Three: 1, 4, 5, 6, 7
Leg Four: 1, 2, 7, 13, 16
$50 Investment= 12.50% of the dividend if successful
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