The Sydney Autumn Carnival wraps up at Randwick this Saturday with a nine race card, headlined by the Group l events, the All Aged Stakes (1400m) and Champagne Stakes (1600m). The weather is fine, the track is soft (5) and the rail is out seven metres for the entire circuit.
All Aged Stakes 🏆: View the Field for the All Aged Stakes
Champagne Stakes 🏆: View the Field for the Champagne Stakes
Race 1. (11:55) Tab Highway Hcp (c3) 1200m
1 Luna Mia (Bet Now: $7.50 TOP ODDS) looks a near good thing. Was really keen on her being a Country Championships contender but failed in the Tamworth Qualifier before a close up third in the Wildcard at Muswellbrook, beaten just under a length by Two Big Fari. Proven city performer and only have to go back to the Spring to see how unlucky she was in the Kosciuszko.
Kody Nestor is doing a really good job with 5 Jailbreak (Bet Now: $6.50 TOP ODDS), a former Brad Widdup runner that has had a few runs for Nestor and seems to be getting better with each outing. Gave them a spanking at Coonamble two back before going to Narromine and was even more impressive in a testing 1200m contest. When trained by Widdup, he had run well in town so giving him serious respect now that’s building a picket fence next to the name.
18 Foxie La Belle (Bet Now: $14.00 TOP ODDS) is getting close to peak fitness for Terry Robinson and we know the wonderful record the stable has in these Highways. This mare ran at Kembla last start over 1200m where she was wide throughout on a good speed and really, was entitled to drop out, but kept chipping away in a close finish when third to Le Lude. Has to be rated as a leading chance.
Race 2. (12:35) Catanach's Sprint (bm88) 1200m
Potentially, perfect placement by Bjorn Baker with 10 Miss Invincible (Bet Now: $6.00 TOP ODDS). Speedy mare that resumes after a strong Winter/Spring prep, where she confirmed herself a city class horse in Sydney and has such a good racing pattern. Resumes here and looks ready to go off the back of two trials. Think she’ll put herself on speed and prove hard to run down.
12 Groundswell (Bet Now: $7.50 TOP ODDS) is the knockout hope I feel. Hadn’t done much in two runs in Melbourne to start the prep, so Anthony Freedman has prepped him up in Sydney, having two strong trials to prepare and has looked pretty good. Off his Spring form, he’s right in this and he does have a touch of class.
14 So Taken (Bet Now: $16.00 TOP ODDS) is the one at odds I want to include. Very good resumption at Randwick behind Trumbull before going to the Birthday Card where she was back near last in the run and produced really good late splits despite finishing 11/14 behind Miss Exfactor. Drops a fair bit in grade/depth here and is 1/1 at the track. Can bounce back for sure.
Race 3. (13:10) J H B Carr Stakes 1400m
2 Rubisaki (Bet Now: $1.65 TOP ODDS) to continue her winning ways. Silly me didn’t back her, unlike the rest of Australia, two weeks ago in the PJ Bell where really, she was a good thing, and with some vigour from Nash in getting clear, she was indeed a good thing and won accordingly. She’ll only improve up to 1400m and only bad luck sees her getting beat.
4 Akari (Bet Now: $8.50 TOP ODDS) is a Brad Widdup trained filly that was met with good support at odds in the PJ Bell and the bets each way were landed when she closed off well and ran third to Rubisaki. Think up to 1400m will very much suit her. Just a little query on what upside is left given she has been up for a little while. Leading contender.
8 Rocha Clock (Bet Now: $9.50 TOP ODDS) is a good filly for John O’Shea that resumes. Her first prep during the Summer was really good, going from a brilliant Newcastle maiden to winning impressively at Saturday metro level at Randwick. Has had two solid trials in readiness for her return so fitness, I don’t think, will be an issue and like she resumes first up at 1400m.
Race 4. (13:45) Frank Packer Plate 2000m
The one on the up here is 12 Kinane (Bet Now: $6.50 TOP ODDS) and despite taking on some decent types here, think he can measure up. Got the maiden win at Wyong last time out where he looked drunk around the tight track but once he balanced up, class got him and gee he was strong. He’ll eat up 2000m and has enormous upside.
With him unable to return home and nothing else on the horizon, the Derby winner 1 Quick Thinker (Bet Now: $2.70 TOP ODDS) races here, which is not the norm for a Derby winner to take on the second/third tier gallopers. He was fabulous in winning two weeks ago, edging out Zebrowski in a tight go to the line. Back to 2000m is a query, but hard fit/in form and in the right stable.
11 Get The Idea (Bet Now: $41.00 TOP ODDS) is worth another chance here I feel. Outclassed in the Rosehill Guineas after doing too much work on speed from a tricky gate. Dodged the Derby in preference for this and has been kept up to the mark with quite a good trial I thought here last week behind Live And Free. He’s got the engine under the hood to measure up here.
Race 5. (14:20) Champagne Stakes 1600m
I’m confident that 6 Ole Kirk (Bet Now: $3.90) can turn the tables on King’s Legacy. IMO, he should have won the Sires but Tommy Berry made the wrong move in easing wider instead of staying in, which gave the winning run for King’s Legacy to take advantage of. He was sound late I thought. He’ll improve off that and 1600m should be fine.
1 King’s Legacy (Bet Now: $2.60) does look the most obvious. Definite pass mark first up in the Slipper before going to the Sires where he was surprisingly at big odds but under a lovely steer from Bowman, he was too good for them, and was strong to the line, suggesting 1600m should be ideal. But I will say the ride certainly helped with the win. It’ll be interesting to see if he’s made to work a bit more this time around.
5 Untamed (Bet Now: $10.00) is on the seven day back up for Team Snowden and we’ve seen plenty of times during the Carnival that the seven day turnaround works. He won what I thought was a very weak edition of the Fernhill last Saturday, but liked the way he knuckled down when asked and kept finding to just get there. He’ll be a Derby horse for sure next season and a hard 1600m will be no issue here.
Race 6. (15:00) Japan Racing Association Plate 2000m
I’m going to bank on an improving track because I’m in the corner of 11 Greysful Glamour (Bet Now: $8.50), who I think will attempt to lead throughout. Tried to do that in the Epona and tried very hard when third to Missybeel on testing ground. Given a little break between runs and the subsequent trial was quite good. Think she’ll run a beauty from the front.
9 Oceanex (Bet Now: $7.50) is on track to run a beauty here I think. Forget she went around first up in the Coolmore Classic on the bottomless track before going to the Emancipation where she was pretty good from the back I thought behind Positive Peace. Has a really good third up record and big tick for her is getting up to 2000m, as well as firmer footing.
1 Danceteria (Bet Now: $23.00) gets one more chance. He’s been disappointing this time in, but last couple of runs have been on wet ground and IMO, he doesn’t go a yard on wet tracks, so scrapping those two runs. First up in the Chipping Norton, on dry ground, his late splits weren’t too bad. Has class and back to 2000m I do like.
Race 7. (15:40) All Aged Stakes 1400m
4 Fierce Impact (Bet Now: $14.00) is a star for Matty Smith that hasn’t really done much wrong this time in despite not winning. Last run came five weeks ago in the All Star Mile at Caulfield when a very gallant fourth to Regal Power after sitting wide with cover off a good speed. Been kept on ice for this race and love the booking of Tom Marquand.
2 Santa Ana Lane (Bet Now: $5.50) is going super for Anthony Freedman despite rising to 1400m for the first time in a little while. Very good from off the speed in the TJ Smith. Should have finished a touch closer when second to Nature Strip, but was never troubling the star speed demon. The weather forecast will determine his winning chances. If we get raceday rain and this track gets worse, he could be in trouble. But class and his finale will carry him a long way.
Forgive a good horse for one poor run and will be doing that with 14 Standout (Bet Now: $15.00). He was well fancied in the Canterbury Stakes last time out but was legless when asked for an effort by Tommy and was terrible behind The Bostonian. Loved the way he went in a tick over trial for this and back onto firmer footing, can easily bounce back.
Race 8. (16:20) Hall Mark Stakes 1200m
Third up, hard fit, 1200m, looks a good set up for the ever reliable 14 Greyworm (Bet Now: $7.00). Lovely ride from JVO saw him win first up over 1100m at Rosehill before racing again at that trip here in the Maurice McCarten in a brutally run affair but stayed on and was sound in defeat behind Star Of The Seas. Like him up to 1200m and hoping he bounces off that.
5 Deprive (Bet Now: $3.80) is four weeks between runs for James Cummings since contesting The Galaxy, where he was very good from the back when fourth to I Am Excited after spotting them a decent start in the run. The Randwick 1200m is his bread and butter, hard fit, in form, should get good cover and launch at them late.
I’ve seen much worse $30+ chances than 17 Signore Fox (Bet Now: $26.00), a Team Snowden trained four year old that resumes. Even though he is a two time winner first up, he does get better as the prep goes on. But his recent trial last week here was outstanding, he draws a soft gate, gets a dry track and love the booking of Tom Marquand.
Race 9. (16:55) Jcdecaux (bm100) 1400m
10 Dealmaker (Bet Now: $9.50) has put together two strong runs this prep. Loved the way he found the line first up in the Newcastle Newmarket behind Special Reward before going to the Doncaster Prelude where he couldn’t quite pick his feet up when it counted. Hard fit now, firmer footing and a strong Randwick 1400m all points to him running well.
15 Phaistos (Bet Now: $5.00) is a son of Helmet for James Cummings that resumes. Had a pretty solid Spring/Summer prep, which ended with a strong win over 1400m at Randwick in what wasn’t an overly strong event but he got the job done. He’s a horse who does sprint well fresh, likes Randwick and the trials leading in have been pretty strong.
I’m very interested in 4 Lanciato (Bet Now: $13.00), who is back racing for Mark Newnham after just one run during the early part of the Autumn, which saw him run a good sixth in the Liverpool Cup behind Quackerjack. He’s a dry track horse, so the forecast will be crucial to his chances. Trial since was impressive and he can produce a booming finish.
Best Bets & Quaddie Tips
BEST BET: Race Three Number 2 Rubisaki
NEXT BEST: Race One Number 1 Luna Mia
LONG SHOT: Race Six Number 11 Greysful Glamour
Quaddie Tips (Races Six Through To Nine):
Leg One: 1, 5, 9, 11
Leg Two: 1, 2, 4, 13, 14
Leg Three: 1, 5, 10, 14, 17
Leg Four: 1, 4, 10, 15
$50 Investment = 12.50% of the dividend if successful
All odds are subject to change. Odds listed are correct at the time of the latest update.
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