The champ that is Winx continues her charge towards another Cox Plate this Saturday at Randwick in the Group l Colgate Optic White Stakes (1600m), but the mare will have good opposition, most notably the Tramway winner Hauraki. The weather is fine, the track is soft (5) and the rail is in the true position for the entire circuit.
Race One (12:15) : TAB Highway Handicap (Class 3) 1000m:
Back Me: 1 Hanwritten (Bet Now: $3.00) was a short priced favourite when resuming at Doomben and was disappointing I thought behind Prompt Return, who ran well last weekend to frank the form. Stable won the Highway last week and they can certainly repeat the dose.
Big Danger: 2 Leami Astray (Bet Now: $4.00) resumed at Moruya a tick under three week back and was dominant in getting the job done. Rises a bit in depth I think, but stable is very good in these Highway races and this horse just has enormous upside.
Roughie: 9 Pacific Queen (Bet Now: $21.00) is a handy mare for Jeremy Sylvester who looks targeted to run a big race here. She ran on her home track at Cessnock in July and was just outpaced behind the speedy Nicos Lass. Stable are very astute when they send horses to town and this girl is talented.
Race Two (12:50) : #theraces Handicap (85) 1600m:
Back Me: 4 Shards (Bet Now: $8.50) ran over 1500m three weeks ago at Rosehill where he chased home a couple of quality animals in Antonio Giuseppe (winner since) and Extensible. Third up now, so he should be getting ready fitness wise and last time he was at the Randwick mile, he was five lengths off Le Romain in the Randwick Guineas.
Big Danger: 13 Steggler (Bet Now: $9.00) comes through a 1500m race at the Valley a fortnight back where he sat back in the run and closed off hard with purpose late behind an above average type in Vostok. That was his second run in Australia, so third up, he should be ready, and this is a winnable race.
Roughie: 8 Zayam (Bet Now: $15.00) could be a sharp improver here. He hasn’t raced since July 30 when finishing tailed off last behind the then in form stayer Esteban. Has since trialled twice, the latest coming last week at Warwick Farm when winning impressively under a hold. He has residual fitness and I could certainly entertain him at a price.
Race Three (13:25) : Schweppes Heritage Stakes 1100m:
Back Me: Really keen to see how 8 Guard Of Honour (Bet Now: $5.50) measures up here. He was touted as a possible Brisbane Winter Carnival horse but the pin was pulled with the Spring in mind. Looked very sharp in a Wyong trial win last week, beating home a potential Group l horse in Clearly Innocent, and looks one of the hardest to beat for me.
Big Danger: 2 Tango Rain (Bet Now: $3.20) has been given a little freshen up since attempting to lead all the way in the San Domenico but found one better in Star Turn, with the form well and truly holding up there with the winner running second to subsequent Golden Rose winner Astern. He will be on speed, fit and highly talented.
Roughie: 12 Mount Panorama (Bet Now: $14.00) also has been freshened up since racing in the San Domenico where he ran last in a race which wasn’t suited at all for the backmarkers. Looked to trial well since and on his Autumn form, he is right up to these.
Race Four (14:00) : TAB Tea Rose Stakes 1400m:
Back Me: Going to give 8 Awoke (Bet Now: $8.00) another look here. I was really keen on her in the Furious and she let me down badly despite not having much luck in the straight. The two wins and the trial prior looked very good and perhaps getting onto firmer footing will spark her up. If she runs up to her best, she’s right in this.
Big Danger: 6 Global Glamour (Bet Now: $4.60) was one of the best runs to come out of the Furious. She was wide most of the way before going back to near last on the turn. She then stoked up again and charged home to run third. Looks to be real quality about her and I expect them to be more aggressive on her this time around.
Roughie: 5 Chipanda (Bet Now: $19.00) also comes through the Furious where she had a suck run near the inside, worse than midfield, and worked to the line okay without setting the world on fire. Draws awkwardly I think here, but if she brings her best form, I think she is right in this, and stable is flying.
Race Five (14:35) : Ascend Sales Trophies Hill Stakes 2000m:
Back Me: Leaning towards 6 Magic Hurricane (Bet Now: $11.00). He was given a 12/10 from Avdulla in the Premiers Cup and the ride deserved the win, but being second up off a break, he just felt the pinch late and had to settle for a close up third to Sense Of Occasion. WFA probably isn’t his go, but he is third up, he should be just about ready to peak, keeping in mind third up in the Spring last year he ran a close second to Preferment in this race before bolting up in the Metropolitan.
Big Danger: 1 Hartnell (Bet Now: $1.40) is the obvious horse to beat. He didn’t beat much in the Chelmsford, but he did what was expected and won with real authority and class. He will love the step up to 2000m and he is a proven WFA performer who is the one. Only reason he isn’t on top is that I am worried he’ll be too short.
Roughie: 3 Who Shot Thebarman (Bet Now: $15.00) was completely outpointed by Hartnell in the Chelmsford and lacked the turn of foot, but his last 200-150m was pretty good for a horse heading towards the Metrop and Cups. 2000m is starting to get up to his ideal trip and can improve.
Race Six (15:15) : Colgate Optic White Stakes 1600m:
Back Me: We don’t really need to say why, but 8 Winx (Bet Now: $1.08) should be winning here. There was a bit of Black Caviar about how she did her business first up in the Warwick Stakes (1400m). She had the race won 300m from home and Bowman was motionless ala Nolen on Nelly. Barring something unthinkable, she wins again and probably wins comfortably right up til Cox Plate Day.
Big Danger: 2 Hauraki (Bet Now: $8.00) looks the obvious to run second. Outstanding first up win in the Tramway where he sat off them and came with a well timed run to win. In the Autumn/Winter, he was known as a horse who liked to have a think about it, but that effort fresh was really encouraging. He won’t win, but top three will be a definite pass.
Roughie: 3 It’s Somewhat (Bet Now: $26.00) resumed in the Tramway and was far from disgraced I thought when running a close up fourth to stablemate Hauraki. He does look the speed here, and we saw during the Autumn he is a capable Group l horse when he puts it all together. Won’t win, but one for trifectas and whatnot.
Race Seven (15:55) : Bowermans Office Furniture Shorts 1100m:
Back Me: 2 Ball Of Muscle (Bet Now: $10.00) is a really talented sprinter that resumes for Joe Pride. He only raced twice during the Autumn and for mine was pretty disappointing on both occasions, albeit first up was behind English and the second up run was in a Group l. He has really looked the part in a couple of trials and looks tuned up to be a challenger this Spring.
Big Danger: 7 Boss Lane (Bet Now: $21.00) resumed in the Show County and did a pretty good job I thought behind Tycoon Tara in a race where he wasn’t entirely suited by the slow tempo IMO. He has a great record on the track, runs well second up and given his rating, he is extremely well weighted.
Roughie: 11 Sarajevo (Bet Now: $31.00) resumed at Rosehill five weeks back and closed off hard out wide where he looked home but was nabbed late by the flying His Majesty, who ran a beauty next time out to frank the form. Looks to have come back in great order and should take some beating despite the class rise.
Race Eight (16:35) : Bill Ritchie Handicap 1400m:
Back Me: His GF is the Epsom, but I think 1 Happy Clapper (Bet Now: $5.50) can take this out as well. He definitely got a pass mark for me when resuming in the Tramway, sitting back in the ruck and working to the line beautifully behind Hauraki. He’ll be much better suited in the Epsom, like most here, but he is the class runner and the compressed weights make him one of the hardest to beat.
Big Danger: 4 Sons Of John (Bet Now: $10.00) trialled really well prior to resuming in the Tramway where he scooted along in front and gave a really good kick before feeling the pinch late to run sixth to Hauraki. He is better when he has something to chase I suspect, and if that eventuates here, based on the trial, he’ll run a bold race.
Roughie: 2 Mighty Lucky (Bet Now: $15.00) is getting on in years but he is just getting better with age. All four of his runs in the Autumn/Winter were outstanding, highlighted by wins at Randwick and then at Doomben in the Lord Mayors Cup. Looked forward enough in a Wyong trial to suggest he’ll be very competitive here, and he did win this track/distance first up last time in.
Race Nine (17:15) : Sensis Dash (78) 1200m:
Back Me: 9 Daysee Doom (Bet Now: $4.00) is a very talented mare that is first up for Ron Quinton. She put together three from three in the Autumn and looked like a mare that could develop into a blacktype class performer. Trials indicate she has come back in super order and should take some beating.
Big Danger: 8 Torpenhow (Bet Now: $5.00) resumed at Canterbury a couple of weeks ago and for mine he just struggled up lump the big weight and the market drift was alarming. He should take enormous benefit from that here and looms as a major contender.
Roughie: 12 Sonic Swish (Bet Now: $9.00) resumes here for the in form Tim Martin stable. He performed pretty well during the Autumn without winning, but he ran some quality races in events with depth. Looks to have trialled well leading in and he has a touch of class.
BEST BET: Race Seven Number 2 Ball Of Muscle
NEXT BEST: Race Three Number 8 Guard Of Honour
VALUE: Race Five Number 6 Magic Hurricane
Quaddie Tips (Races Six Through To Nine):
Leg One: 8
Leg Two: 1, 2, 4, 7, 10, 11
Leg Three: 1, 2, 4, 5, 8, 10
Leg Four: 8, 9, 12, 13, 14, 15
$50 Investment= 23.14% of the dividend if successful
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All odds are subject to change. Odds listed are correct at the time of the latest update.
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