Saturday racing in Sydney remains at Randwick this weekend, with eight races to be run and won. The weather is fine, the track is good (3) and the rail is out four metres for the entire circuit. Track records were either given a nudge or broken last Saturday, with swoopers winning a majority of the events. With the rail out this weekend, leaders will get a chance to go wire to wire.
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Race One (1:10pm) : TAB Place Multi Handicap (72) 1600m: Form Guide
Back Me: Might only be a small field, but it looks to be one of the most intriguing with several likely types engaged. Good Project (Best Odds: $1.95) is finding it very hard to run, but his run over this track/distance on New Years Day was very good when a narrow second to God’s In Him, making up a stack of ground from the back despite conceding weight to his older rivals. Back to his own age now, small field suits and is absolutely rock hard fit.
Big Danger: I Am Impressed (Best Odds: $3.50) has been very good in three runs back from a break, even though he hasn’t won. He has worked home strongly in each, starting off at Rosehill behind Harrier Jet, then at that track again behind Testashadow before going to Warwick Farm and running fourth to Montiro in a bunched finish. Randwick mile looks perfect, as does the small field.
Roughie: Doubos (Best Odds: $13.00) was a touch disappointing two starts back at Canberra when beaten, but there was plenty of merit I thought in her fifth to Sadler’s Lake over this track/distance on New Years Day, making up good ground from the back in a slowly run race to be only beaten two lengths. The lack of speed here is the worry, but she is a lovely type.
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Race Two (1:45pm): Hyland Race Colours Plate 1100m: Form Guide
Back Me: Really good two year old race with plenty of trial form looked at. But I think one that has had the race experience will get the job done here and that’s I’m Not Sure (Best Odds: $4.80) for Peter and Paul Snowden. This son of Choisir made his debut at Rosehill a fortnight back when working home strongly from midfield to finish second to impressive all the way winner Guilietta. There was on pace bias that day, so perhaps the winner was flattered and this is the first that form will be tested, but I’m Not Sure was one of only a few to make up ground all day, so add that experience to racing on his home track, and you get a colt who should prove hard to beat.
Big Danger: Gigolo (Best Odds: $3.90) is the intriguing first starter here. He’s trained by Chris Waller and is bred to be a good one given he is by Bernadini out of former handy mare Dama De Noche, who has produced stakes performer Senta De Noche. This colt showed really good speed in his latest trial, last Tuesday at Rosehill, and was only pipped late by a hard ridden Salt Flat. He looks above average and his older brother was very impressive early on his career.
Roughie: Stimac (Best Odds: $26.00) didn’t trial too bad prior to his first up run at Rosehill where he wasn’t suited by the on pace domination, running eighth to Guilietta, beaten just over five lengths. I think a more fair racing surface, with some give in it, could spark improvement, so I think $26 seems a touch overs.
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Race Three (2:20pm) : Drummond Golf Handicap (72) 1200m: Form Guide
Back Me: I see it as a two horse race between Felines and I Am Zelady (Best Odds: $4.60). Leaning towards the latter, because I think she has more brilliance. I think you have to forgive her for her last start failure at Canterbury given she bungled the start and was surprisingly ridden forward and aggressively, which isn’t her go. She is much better suited ridden with cover and saved for the straight, and the likelihood of a good tempo will suit her perfectly if she is ridden that way.
Roughie: Commands filly Rule The River (Best Odds: $5.00) was smashed in betting first up at Gosford and she didn’t let her supporters down with a spank job of her rivals, winning by nearly four and running really good time compared to other races over the distance that afternoon. Rises big time in class, but on debut in June she was only a length behind subsequent stakes performer Wine Tales. Good enough form to be a contender, but I am slightly leaning towards the ones mentioned above. Watch market moves with this filly.
Roughie: Team Hawkes filly All Day Baby (Best Odds: $21.00) is still a maiden, but has shown good ability. Her two runs this time in have been strong despite wide barriers behind Tree Of Jesse and a rival she faces here, Angel Dancer. Looks to have a bit of upside and I think the bigger surroundings here will be right up her alley.
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Race Four (2:55pm) : Cellarbrations Handicap (83) 2000m: Form Guide
Back Me: Putting Georgey Aeroplane (Best Odds: $3.00) on top. He was very good at Rosehill when sixth to Phrases given that horse had an absolute picnic in front, making sure the race was run at a pedestrian speed, which doesn’t suit this Chris Waller stayer, but despite pulling hard, he stuck on well in the straight and was only beaten 1.7 lengths. Has since trialled and looked very sharp there when second to Greatwood and his lone Randwick run was a third to stakes performers Saigon Tea and Tohunga. Good enough for this.
Big Danger: Oerter (Best Odds: $8.50) did bugger all in his two runs back from a spell, but there was sharp improvement last start at the Valley when making up good ground to run seventh, beaten just under three lengths. Problem is that the winner was 100/1 and beat home a horse who had put together a string of wins, so I question the form, but I liked the state switch from Robert Smerdon, because very rarely does he send a horse to Sydney off season.
Roughie: He might have more runs on the board than Virat Kohli , but gee Phrases (Best Odds: $14.00) is racing so well at the moment. He surprised most with his all the way win at Rosehill three back, then went too hard at Canterbury before taking a sit and fighting on doggedly for third to Midsummer Sun in the Gosford Cup last Friday. He loves the 2000m and should be unchallenged for the front.
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Race Five (3:35pm) : TAB Rewards Mile 1600m: Form Guide
Back Me: Really keen here on Black Jag (Best Odds: $4.80) to bounce back into the winners list. The saddle slipped first up behind Beauty’s Beast at Rosehill, so he can be forgiven there. He then went to Canterbury and stuck it out very strongly on speed when third to stablemate Amovatio, who ran well last Saturday in the Stayers Cup on Magic Millions Day. He and Serg Lisnyy seem to get on really well and the horse just runs for the apprentice. Should bully to his way to the front, and with only 52kg, he should take a power of beating.
Big Danger: A significant weight drop helped Inside Job win last week and that could be the same again with Burbero (Best Odds: $3.60), who is racing very well this prep. He just failed to pick up Red Excitement two back, then loomed to win a fortnight back but couldn’t get past the flying Vashka. That is outstanding form for this and he only carries 51kg. Take note though that Brodie Loy may not claim the full 3kg, so look for updates from Racing NSW.
Roughie: Single (Best Odds: $21.00) ran fifth to Vashka in that race Burbero ran second in, and he just wasn’t suited by the slow tempo set by the leader and eventual winner. He races well at Randwick, at the mile, and second up last time in he raced behind the likes of Excess Knowledge and Generalife. Could be a smokey.
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Race Six (4:15pm) : Ranvet Handicap (80) 1400m: Form Guide
Back Me: Mardi (Best Odds: $2.25) was second up from a 12 month spell when lunging hard to grab Miss Tenpins close to home at Rosehill two weeks back. Those two sat on the speed and absolutely caned the rest. Doesn’t look to be much speed here, so I think the Gai Waterhouse trained mare can roll forward and do her own thing in front. Now being third up, she should be cherry ripe fitness wise and looks extremely hard to beat.
Big Danger: Amazon (Best Odds: $9.50) was first up in the race mentioned above and was one of many that just couldn’t get into the race given the on pace bias, so I think we can forgive her for her ninth. Her trial behind Barbed and Happy Galaxy was good prior, and has run well here in the past, so for mine she is the threat.
Roughie: First Class Ticket (Best Odds: $13.00) tried very hard last time out at Canterbury when third to Peace Force and Mamwaazel. That form was franked on Friday at Gosford in the Belle Of The Turf with that same quinella running 1-2. First Class Ticket clearly has the best form in the race. Only query is that she has been up a very long time, and her two runs at Randwick have been below par. Still, she has the class factor and will be up on the speed.
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Race Seven (4:55pm) : James Boag’s Premium Handicap (74) 1600m: Form Guide
Back Me: Problem child Saintly Lad (Best Odds: $8.50) looks to have corrected his ways based on his barnstorming return to the track at Rosehill first up, savaging the line from well back to win impressively. He trialled really well behind a couple of classy performers in Laidback Larry and Driefontein before that first up win, so he does look to have come back in good order and he backed that first up win up with a closing second to Centre Pivot two weeks back. Up to the mile is perfect, Bowman sticks and is on his home track.
Big Danger: God’s In Him (Best Odds: $4.80) was given an absolute sweet ride by Tommy Berry to win here over this distance on New Years Day, getting the run of the race just behind the speed before getting clear a furlong from home and sprinting hard late to win and win well, over Good Project, who will be a leading contender earlier on in the day. Again draws well, stays at the same weight and Tommy retains the mount.
Roughie: Proper Madam (Best Odds: $17.00) was crunched in betting to win last time out at Canterbury, but she sat out the back in a slowly run race and she just couldn’t reel off the required sectionals to win. The quinella of that race ran the same quinella in the Listed Belle Of The Turf last Friday, so the form has held up, and I think a bigger track as well as a more genuine tempo, plus the return of Schofield in the saddle, should see this mare in the finish.
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Race Eight (5:35pm) : TAB.com.au Handicap (85) 1200m: Form Guide
Back Me: Going for some value in the last in the shape of Marianne (Best Odds: $3.10). This former Mick Kent mare is now with Team Snowden after a strong yet frustrating Autumn, which saw her place behind Solicit and Suavito before running tenth to Lucia Valentina in the Vinery Stud. First trial leading up this was impressive, while the second trial was just fair behind Sarajevo. She is a good first up performer, and although 1200m is short of her best, class will carry her a long way.
Big Danger: That Hugh Bowman magic was seen on Coolring (Best Odds: $3.90) a couple of weeks back at Canterbury when he shot the horse straight to the front and didn’t give his rivals a look in, sprinting clear at the top of the straight and holding a good margin to the line. That was impressive because normally he is ridden with cover, so he has versatility, which will be an advantage here given there is plenty of early toe engaged.
Roughie: Had the rain hit harder and we were racing on a heavy track, I’d clearly have Zin Zan Eddie (Best Odds: $18.00) on top. This injury plagued galloper was stuck wide all the way at Rosehill last time out, but still stuck to the task gamely when fourth to Shiraz, beaten two lengths. He grows a leg on rain affected ground, so he will be doing rain dances from now til the gates crash back here. Nonetheless, he is a chance from the good draw and the lighter weight. Also big watch on Field Marshall first up given how well he has trialled.
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BEST BET: Race Five Number 5 Black Jag
NEXT BEST: Race Three Number 2 I Am Zelady
VALUE: Race Eight Number 4 Marianne
Quaddie Tips (Races Five Through To Eight):
Leg One: 1, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9
Leg Two: 2, 5, 7, 13
Leg Three: 1, 3, 7, 8, 13, 14, 16
Leg Four: 1, 4, 7, 10, 12
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All odds are subject to change. Odds listed are correct at the time of the latest update.
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