The second and final day of The Championships at Randwick shapes up to be a day for the ages, where the highlight will be the clash between Verry Elleegant and Addeybb in the Queen Elizabeth (2000m). The weather is fine, the track is good (4) and the rail is out three metres for the entire circuit.
Queen Elizabeth Stakes 🏆: View the Field and Odds for the Queen Elizabeth Stakes
Sydney Cup 🏆: View the Field and Odds for the Sydney Cup
Race 1. (11:30) Fernhill Handicap 1600m
2 Alegron (Bet Now: $4.80 TOP ODDS) on top in a race that isn’t really a betting proposition for me. He comes through the Mornington Sires from a few weeks ago and he chased strongly from off the speed when second to impressive winner Daily Bugle. In the right camp, progressive and the 1600k should be no issue.
1 Converge (Bet Now: $2.70 TOP ODDS) should lead this field up and look the winner for a fair portion of the race. That was the case two weeks ago at Rosehill, but just had no answers for the finale produced by Saif. The query is the mile, but he’ll be out of trouble on speed and running a bold race.
6 Akahata (Bet Now: $6.00 TOP ODDS) should appreciate the rise to the mile. He was 1400m back to 1300m last start at Kembla and chased strongly from off the speed, just missing out on the win in a close finish. Should be able to hold a forward spot from the inside draw and prove hard to hold out late.
Race 2. (12:05) South Pacific Classic 1400m
8 Ellsberg (Bet Now: $3.20 TOP ODDS) is a quality colt for the Ryan/Alexiou team that resumes. This guy did a great job in his first prep, starting in the Spring before ending it on Boxing Day when gallant in defeat against the older horses. Trials leading in have been quite good and he’ll be out of trouble on speed.
2 Private Eye (Bet Now: $4.40 TOP ODDS) can be a big improver here. He resumed off a let up in the Darby Munro and while he did cop a check, I thought he was quite disappointing behind Isotope. Tick over trial showed he’s back on track and a truly run 1400m does look a good set up for him to bounce back.
Fitter and up to 1400m are two big ticks for 5 Acrophobic (Bet Now: $9.00 TOP ODDS). Resumed over 1300m at Warwick Farm. Not sure that set up was to his liking but didn’t mind the way he finished his race off behind The Grinder. Gets up in trip, onto a bigger track, and I think can be quite dangerous here.
Race 3. (12:40) Provincial Championships Final 1400m
It’ll be a great training effort by the Perry team to get 1 Pandano (Bet Now: $2.25 TOP ODDS) to win. Hasn’t raced since bolting up in the Newcastle Qualifier, where he made a proper mess of them and was arrogant. He will want this to be a truly run 1400m and should that eventuate, think he’ll be the strongest on the line.
4 Cristal Breeze (Bet Now: $7.50 TOP ODDS) looks back on track and I could have easily had him on top had he drawn a better gate. He’s back I think based on his last couple. The first two runs, I was really worried, but he was good in defeat behind Pandano, then was tough on speed last time out at Warwick Farm. Hard to beat if he gets luck from the draw.
14 Liveinthefastlane (Bet Now: $26.00 TOP ODDS) is the one with upside and progression. Ran two weeks ago in the Kembla Qualifier. Was three and four wide for the trip but she kept surging and for a few strides looked the winner, but condition just gave out late. Needs to improve, but fitness wise, she certainly will, and has run well at Saturday metro level previously.
Race 4. (13:15) Percy Sykes Stakes 1200m
7 Trifaccia (Bet Now: $5.00 TOP ODDS) has looked a Percy Sykes horse for a number of weeks and I’m not going to drop off her here. Her effort in the Reisling was absolutely enormous given where she was in the run and I think in terms of the 2YO Fillies in general this season, I think she is one of a small handful you can follow with confidence into the Spring. Very exciting prospect and think she has the brilliance to beat these.
2 Najmaty (Bet Now: $2.35 TOP ODDS) looks to be well above average for Team Snowden. Impressive debut winner on the Kenso track, then proved that was no fluke when taking out the Redoute’s Choice at Caulfield, admittedly in a thin race, but the change up speed she produced was pretty sharp. Hard to beat…short enough at $2.60.
4 Jamaea (Bet Now: $16.00 TOP ODDS) will appreciate a truly run 1200m. Just a shame about the wide draw. She ran second to Arcaded in the Magic Night and I really liked the way she closed off from the back. The sustained run just told late. Tick over trial was a nice piece of work. Just needs luck from the tricky draw.
Race 5. (13:50) Australian Oaks 2400m
I’m keen on 3 Hungry Heart (Bet Now: $4.80). The Derby last week was survival of the fittest and I am hoping the Oaks will be something similar. I think the last two starts, both wins, have well and truly confirmed that she needs a dry track. I think it’s also proven she does her best when in a fast run race. The Vinery was a brutally run affair and she came out on top, producing the win of the day against the pattern. Off that 2400m is no issue and she’s the one to beat.
2 Amarelinha (Bet Now: $4.20) could well spank these, but the Kiwi 3YO’s this Carnival, overall, have been rubbish. Is she going to be an exception. Star filly over in NZ and did win impressively last time out in the NZ Oaks. How strong is that form? Not entirely sure, but always have to respect the NZ Oaks winner when they come over.
9 Signora Nera (Bet Now: $23.00) is the only filly I want from the Adrian Knox. I thought she should have finished much closer when seemingly having something to offer. She reminds me of Toffee Tongue. Probably not up to the class of some of these, but can easily head to Adelaide and be competitive in the SA Oaks. One for exotics.
Race 6. (14:25) Arrowfield Sprint 1200m
Have to go with the class, which clearly lies with 8 September Run (Bet Now: $3.20). Just had an off day in the Newmarket when well fancied. Then went to the William Reid and she was the run of the race in defeat in a mighty effort behind Masked Crusader, who ticked that form off well and truly in the TJ Smith last Saturday. Back to her own age, sitting off a fast speed, she can launch and finish over the top.
Enormous respect to 9 Isotope (Bet Now: $3.60) for Tony Gollan. Stable confidence was high leading into the Darby Munro, especially with a drying track, and she showed her class late to wear down Odeum in a race that rated pretty well for the meeting. This has been a target race and she should improve off what she produced fresh.
3 Rocketing By (Bet Now: $11.00) is hard to beat here at odds. David Pfieffer has done a fab job with him, winning 3/3 this prep. Latest run came a a couple of months ago in the Inglis Sprint at Randwick, producing an electric turn of foot between runners to get up and win. If he runs up to his form, he is in with a shout.
Race 7. (15:05) Sydney Cup 3200m
I’m warming more and more to 2 Southern France (Bet Now: $8.00) the more I look at this race. He looks to be ticking along beautifully after a very encouraging effort in the Tancred behind stablemate and dominant winner Sir Dragonet. His 2400m+ record is very good and when he has had two weeks or less between runs, he has won on a couple of occasions, so I can only see him running well.
8 Spirit Ridge (Bet Now: $10.00) is the weight horse I feel from the Tancred. WFA isn’t his go but he ran a super race from on speed I felt and was far from disgraced in defeat behind Sir Dragonet. He tumbles in weight and he has such an ideal racing pattern which will give him every chance to take this out.
1 The Chosen One (Bet Now: $15.00) is worth a shout here at odds. Sit/sprint set up wasn’t his go in the Sky High two back. He then went to the Tancred and just forget he went around. He was wide no cover for the trip and just couldn’t get into the contest. His 3200m record…gee it reads well. Ran second in this race last year and also ran a beauty in the Melbourne Cup last year.
Race 8. (15:50) Queen Elizabeth Stakes 2000m
With the sun remaining out, the weather is warm and the winning claims of 7 Verry Elleegant (Bet Now: $2.25) get warmer as well. If it was a wet track, I’d be just leaning towards Addeybb, but with a dry track on the cards, I just have to be with the champion mare. She was a confirmed champion mare after her Caulfield Cup triumph but she strengthened that title with her Ranvet win, wearing down Addeybb in an epic clash. I think she’s the one they have to beat.
He’s a star in his own right 1 Addeybb (Bet Now: $3.50). Just a shame for his connections that he won’t get his preferred conditions. That doesn’t mean to say he can’t win because he will be on speed, and with a dry Randwick deck, on speed is certainly no disadvantage. He ran with improvement to come in the Ranvet, so he is the one with upside, but will need to improve IMO to turn the tables on the mare.
Is 2 Sir Dragonet (Bet Now: $6.00) back? It’s hard to say definitively. He was solid in the Ranvet, then backed up a week later in the Tancred where he made an absolute mess of them. The little query I have with that win is what did he beat. Relative to what he is facing here, he beat camels. But perhaps he is a horse who gets better as the prep goes and he did show in the Tancred he doesn’t need a wet track.
Race 9. (16:30) Queen Of The Turf Stakes 1600m
I’m going with the class, which lies with 1 Probabeel (Bet Now: $2.40). I am still amazed connections ran in the All Star Mile given they said publicly they would scratch if the rain came. The track ended up being bottomless and to be expected, she finished down the track. Loved her trial win last week and her best effort was at this track/distance on dry ground in the Epsom. Anywhere near that and she is too good for these.
If the track is playing towards those on speed then 3 Greysful Glamour (Bet Now: $18.00) comes right into contention. Bets at odds were nearly landed in the Emancipation two weeks ago at Rosehill. She led and ran her usual honest race. Just couldn’t quite fend off Nimalee. She’ll put herself on speed and give her all.
7 Vanna Girl (Bet Now: $17.00) is the knockout hope. I dare say connections have eyes on a race like the Doomben Cup with this girl. But she looks to have come back in super order. Resumed over 1350m at Doomben and despite being a notable late drifter in betting, you can’t substitute class and she had that in spades on her rivals. She’ll love a truly run mile and will acquit herself well.
Race 10. (17:10) Sapphire Stakes 1200m
Think there is a great each way gamble here in the get out via 4 Fiesta (Bet Now: $7.50). Has had two runs back from a spell, resuming at this track/distance and she was excellent from the back. Then went to The Galaxy. The track was a bit too wet for her but she was far from disgraced behind Eduardo. Back to Mares grade, back on firmer footing, Bowman back on…gee the double figures is enticing.
11 Wandabaa (Bet Now: $7.00) is flying for Kris Lees. She would love a drop of rain to hit, but she is capable on a dry deck as seen fresh when unlucky behind California Zimbol. She then went to the Birthday Card and worked home strongly from a fair way back behind Seasons. Good enough to win provided she doesn’t get too far back.
7 Seasons (Bet Now: $5.50) is a Les Bridge trained mare that landed some big bets when winning the Birthday Card three weeks ago at Rosehill. Lobbed into a lovely spot just off the speed and when McEvoy asked for the effort, gee she exploded and was impressive. Can she repeat the dose? Time will tell.
Best Bets & Quaddie Tips
BEST BET: Race Eight Number 7 Verry Elleegant
NEXT BEST: Race Nine Number 1 Probabeel
LONG SHOT: Race Ten Number 4 Fiesta
Quaddie Tips (Races Seven Through To Ten):
Leg One: 1, 2, 5, 7, 8, 12, 15
Leg Two: 7
Leg Three: 1
Leg Four: 3, 4, 7, 11
$50 Investment = 178.57% of the dividend if successful
All odds are subject to change. Odds listed are correct at the time of the latest update.
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