Ascot will play host to a handy eight race card on Saturday, where the feature race is the $100,000 Listed Miss Andretti Stakes (1100m). The weather is fine, the track is good (4) and the rail is out three metres for the entire circuit.
Race One (15:49) : Perth Racing Twitter Handicap (72+) 1800m:
Back Me: 6 Dark Alert (Best Odds: $2.40) ran over 2200m here a fortnight back and was quite strong in winning, albeit in easier grade than this. I think back to 1800m is ideal and Pike jumps back. In a tricky race, I’ll lean his way…just.
Big Danger: 1 Tarquin Shadow (Best Odds: $12.00) ran in the La Trice Classic over this track/distance and wasn’t suited by the slow tempo when running fourth to classy mare Ideal Image. This is a big drop in depth, and despite the 59kg impost, he’ll take some holding out.
Roughie: 5 Bayatorio (Best Odds: $14.00) ran behind Thunderclap Newman here and was a victim of the slow tempo. He couldn’t get involved from the back and had to settle for a fifth. Draws much better here, so he won’t be far off the tempo.
Race Two (16:29) : Flying Colours Summer Special Plate 1200m:
Back Me: 2 Guest Express (Best Odds: $7.00) debuted at Bunbury and sat on a hot speed, so he did a pretty good job to stick on well for a close up second. Draws better here and this race doesn’t appear overly strong. Hard to beat.
Big Danger: 12 Tide Up (Best Odds: $18.00) debuts here for Dan Morton. Didn’t set the world on fire in her lone trial, but the good lead here is that Pike is riding, so I’d watch the market and see if the money arrives.
Roughie: 6 Island Rogue (Best Odds: $41.00) is a first starter for Neville Parnham. He is another who hasn’t trialled in great fashion, but he draws a soft gate, trained on the track and he could measure up on race day.
Race Three (17:09) : Perth Waitangi Day At Ascot February 6 Handicap (72+) 1400m:
Back Me: 2 Vengabus (Best Odds: $4.40) sat outside Gigante in that race mentioned above and tried his heart out but was just outgunned late in the piece. Draws gate one, so he should get every chance and prove hard to beat.
Big Danger: 7 Tudor Bolt (Best Odds: $2.70) ran over 1500m here on Perth Cup Day and was luckless behind Antique Dream, getting badly held up in the straight and pretty much going to the line under a hold. If the breaks go his way here, he’ll go very close.
Roughie: 3 Gigante (Best Odds: $7.00) attempted to lead all the way over 1200m here last time out and just felt the pinch late when running a close up fifth to Ron’s Call. Better suited at 1400m provided he is ridden with a sit, and I think that’s what should eventuate here.
Race Four (17:50) : Perth Racing Newsletter Plate 1400m:
Back Me: 11 War In Paris (Best Odds: $4.20) broke her maiden status in impressive fashion at Bunbury last time out over 1200m, leading all the way. No issue with her running 1400m and Pike rides, which is indeed a positive.
Roughie: 6 Great Shot (Best Odds: $7.50) makes his city debut here, but he has to be respected given he beat the older horses at start number two last time out, and doing it impressively. Hardest test to date here, but I’ll be shocked if he doesn’t measure up.
Big Danger: 5 Glitterbell (Best Odds: $18.00) ran over this track/distance last weekend and tried hard but was no match for boom youngster Lite’N In My Veins. She is trying hard, but can’t quite crack it for a win. She is getting close, and this is a winnable race.
Race Five (18:25) : Lunar Race Day February 13 Handicap (60+) 1400m:
Back Me: 10 Silver Romance (Best Odds: $15.00) got too far back when racing here first up, but he worked home powerfully to finish just over four lengths from the winner. He should take good improvement from that and be hard to hold out.
Big Danger: 9 Sixpence Spent (Best Odds: $4.20) ran at Bunbury last time out and stuck on well but had to settle for second to Paris Dream. Gets a 1kg weight swing, so he can turn the tables, and he should get over without too much drama.
Roughie: 4 Muskets At Dawn (Best Odds: $14.00) might sharpen up a bit with the blinkers going back on. He has lacked the necessary turn of foot required to win this time in, but has raced quite well. Draws a lovely gate and will be in it for a long way.
Race Six (19:05) : Miss Andretti Stakes 1100m:
Back Me: 8 Silverstream (Best Odds: $11.00) for me here. Just forget she went around in the Summer Scorcher I think. She just got too far back and it was a race dominated by those on speed. The tempo will be strong, and on her best form, she’d just about take care of these.
Big Danger: 5 Lucky Street (Best Odds: $1.550) flew home in the Summer Scorcher last start suggesting the extra 100m today will suit her perfectly. Her run two starts ago in the Winterbottom Stakes was very good so the drop in class here will make her very hard to beat at the weights.
Roughie: 2 Dueton (Best Odds: $21.00) ran a beauty in the Summer Scorcher, running fifth, beaten just under a length in what was just about a career best effort. Another that will do no work from the gate and he’ll be strong late.
Race Seven (19:42) : Fires Appeal- www.appealswa.org.au Handicap (60+) 1000m:
Back Me: 5 Brackets (Best Odds: $4.60) just raced a touch flat second up from a long break a fortnight back when sixth to Volkhoff. Back to 1000m is ideal, and he is third up now, so he should be ready fitness wise.
Big Danger: 4 Universal Moon (Best Odds: $4.40) resumes here after an 80 day break. No trials leading, but she has an excellent first up record, and despite drawing wide, she should ping over and prove tough to hold out fresh.
Roughie: 6 Good Morning (Best Odds: $9.00) was given a lovely ride to win last time out at Bunbury when sitting in the box seat before getting the split and bursting through to get the job done. Should be ready fitness wise and prove hard to beat.
Race Eight (20:22) : 5 Saturdays Of Summer- $5 Only Handicap (66+) 1500m:
Back Me: 6 Express Dancer (Best Odds: $4.00) can be forgiven for his last start failure over 1100m here given he didn’t get much room in the straight. 1100m to 1500m is never easy, but he gets in well at the weights and should prove hard to hold out.
Big Danger: 10 Socially Unique (Best Odds: $5.00) resumed over 1400m at Pinjarra and toughed it out for a good win because it’s not easy to win first up at that trip. Pike remains on, and though he’ll get back, he’ll be very strong late.
Roughie: 8 Paseo Del Prado (Best Odds: $21.00) resumed at Pinjarra a couple of weeks back and worked home well late when finishing midfield behind Reflectance. He will get better with fitness, but he has the talent to beat these for sure.
BEST BET: Race Six Number 8 Silverstream
NEXT BEST: Race Four Number 11 War In Paris
VALUE: Race Five Number 10 Silver Romance
Quaddie Tips (Races Five Through To Eight):
Leg One: 2, 3, 4, 6, 9, 10
Leg Two: 2, 3, 5, 8
Leg Three: 3, 4, 5, 6
Leg Four: 2, 3, 6, 7, 8, 10
$50 Investment= 27.77% of the dividend if successful.
We recommend BET365 for all Quadrella punters. Sign-up at Bet365.com.au via this link for a $200 BONUS!
All odds are subject to change. Odds listed are correct at the time of the latest update.
|Bookmaker||Why Bet||Sign Up||Full Review|
|Sign up and start betting in minutes!||Join||Review|
|Back Yourself with Ladbrokes!||Join||Review|
|Back a Winner with Neds!||Join||Review|
|Sign up to Unibet and start betting in minutes!||Join||Review|
|Sign up to TAB and start betting in minutes!||Join||Review|
|Sign up to PlayUp and start betting in minutes!||Join||Review|