Racing returns to Eagle Farm this Saturday for a strong eight event program, where the depth once again looks very strong. The weather is fine, the track is good (4) and the rail is out half a metre for the entire circuit.
Race One (13:52) : Fernwood Fitness Handicap 1000m:
Back Me: 8 Dream Kisses (Bet Now: $3.90) is a well bred filly that debuted a fortnight back and she was enormous in defeat given she was three wide no cover on a hot speed and it only took a horse with race experience to beat her. She now has that race experience as well as upside, and with better luck here, I think she wins.
Big Danger: 3 Galtero (Bet Now: $3.20) is a Snitzel colt on debut for Tony Gollan. Debuts with no public hitouts, but reading the Magic Millions catalogue from his sale last year, it does say that he is precocious, has scope as well as size and strength. Good enough endorsement for me.
Roughie: 1 Acceptile (Bet Now: $12.00) is a Smart Missile colt on debut for the Mark Webb stable who trialled on September 13 at the Sunny Coast and went pretty good when second to Mrs Quigley, who looks well above average. Draws the paint, which is important for a juvenile.
Race Two (14:27) : Brave For BCNA Handicap (75)2400m:
Back Me: 1 Emerald City (Bet Now: $3.60) ran over 2200m at Doomben a fortnight back and he toughed it out strongly to win with the big weight, chasing hard down the straight to win narrowly but impressively. Creeping up in the weights more, but he’s fit, in form and 2400m is no issue.
Big Danger: 7 Lever Lever (Bet Now: $7.50) should be forgiven for his last start failure in the Lismore Cup because that was just a non contest via a brilliant ride from Larry Cassidy on Collaboration. That was his third run back from a break, so he should be ready now, he has upside and he’ll be strong late.
Roughie: 4 Alakris (Bet Now: $10.00) ran fourth in that race Emerald City won and I thought his effort was pretty good given he was held up a touch late and he is a horse that its momentum couldn’t be stopped. Big track will really suit and he meets that horse 2.5kg better off here.
Race Three (15:02) : Berlei Chrissy Bra Plate (Class 6) 1000m:
Back Me: 4 Another Whiskey (Bet Now: $3.90) is a talented gelding that resumes for Steele Ryan. He was very consistent during the Autumn, highlighted by a win over Heart Smart and a close up third to Sony Legend. No trials, but he sprints well fresh and appears well weighted.
Big Danger: 8 Beau Jet (Bet Now: $6.50) resumed over this track/distance three weeks ago and he closed off hard late in the piece to run a close up third to the well backed Privlaka. He is a second up winner previously and the speed here will be hot, so he’ll get his chance to launch late.
Roughie: 6 Lady Jetsetter (Bet Now: $11.00) resumes here for Liam Birchley after a somewhat mixed prep in the Autumn where she won a couple of races, but outside that, she was disappointing, albeit in much stronger races than this. No trials, but she does have a solid first up record and saves her best for the 1000m.
Race Four (15:37) : Civforce Pipelaying Handicap (95) 1400m:
Back Me: 2 One Inch Punch (Bet Now: $4.40) has been given a month freshen up since racing over this track/distance where he was wide no cover for the trip and really had no right to win, but he kept surging and got the win in the last hop. Should be recovered from that gut buster and rates highly.
Big Danger: 6 Dream Finnish (Bet Now: $5.00) ran at Doomben two weeks ago and tried hard to get the job done but in the end she had to settle for a close up third to Jopa, beaten just under a length. Third up now, so she should be ready fitness wise and Eagle Farm looks to be a tick given her racing pattern.
Roughie: 1 Le Val (Bet Now: $12.00) resumed over 1200m at Doomben two weeks back and sat back in the run before finishing the race with some purpose, not really threatening, behind Top Tone. He has a really good second up and this is the sort of race he could fire in.
Race Five (16:19) : Breast Cancer Network Australia Handicap 1400m:
Back Me: 5 Another Slipper (Bet Now: $4.00) is on the back up after racing at Doomben over 1200m last Saturday where he got back in the run and closed off okay late in the piece behind Thunder Raider. While the run was good, the winner was somewhat of a rough result for punters, so how strong is the form? Time will tell, but bigger track and up to 1400m are two big ticks.
Big Danger: 7 Rhyming (Bet Now: $4.40) ran over 1500m at Eagle Farm last time out and did a very good job in defeat when running third to Balboa Rocks. Back to the 1400m and a freshen up is no worry for me. One to beat.
Roughie: 6 Hearts Honour (Bet Now: $8.00) comes back in trip after racing over the mile at Doomben a fortnight back where he attempted to lead all the way under Larry Cassidy and he did give a really good kick but just couldn’t quite hold on and had to settle for a 1.5L fourth. Back to 1400m will really help his cause, he’s hard fit and in super form.
Race Six (17:02) : Hastings Deerign Caterpillar Handicap 1200m:
Back Me: I think 6 Sony Legend (Bet Now: $5.00) can bounce back here. He strung together two on the bounce before contesting an open handicap at this track/distance a fortnight back where he couldn’t quite pick up when fifth to Londehero. The query is that he normally tails away after a few runs, but I’m not ignoring what he did at the start of last prep.
Big Danger: 4 Londehero (Bet Now: $3.70) won that race mentioned above and he was given an absolute peach from Fradd to get the job done, sitting off speed before coming wide with a well timed run. Loses nothing with Lloyd going aboard and he loves racing here.
Roughie: 1 Frespanol (Bet Now: $7.50) is such an interesting runner here. Former Gai Waterhouse galloper now under the guidance of Tony Gollan. This bloke last raced in the Spring/Summer of last year where he contested some quality races behind Group l horses such as Zanbagh and Happy Clapper. If he is anywhere near right, he will give it a shake.
Race Seven (17:38) : Bakers Delight Plate (Class 3) 1600m:
Back Me: There was a lot to like about the win of 1 Bourbon Road (Bet Now: $11.00) at the Gold Coast last Wednesday he had to show a bit of ticker to win because he was giving them a start and had to cut back to the inside, but he wanted it and really attacked with purpose to win. That was 1400m so the mile should only be beneficial.
Big Danger: 9 Beckoning Light (Bet Now: $11.00) ran at Doomben a fortnight back and closed off strongly late out wide when running fourth to Pepperano, who of course came out to win again last week, so the form does read very well and he will be much better off at Eagle Farm I suspect.
Roughie: 13 Halls Creek (Bet Now: $17.00) is the interesting runner. Trained by John Morrisey, he has raced on his home track at the Gold Coast in recent times and has performed okay without winning. He has been ridden near the speed though and I think he is much bette when ridden cold and having the last say. If that can eventuate here, he will take some beating.
Race Eight (18:13) : Pink Sports Day Handicap (0MW) 1300m:
Back Me: 15 Mandryka (Bet Now: $10.00) had really good market support at odds when resuming last week at the Gold Coast and the plunge almost came off but he had to settle for second to Martinelli, beaten around a head. He closed off well second up last time in at Ipswich behind Panno Rosa, who went on to win a couple of races in town. Mandryka will be better off over further, but I think he can be very competitive here.
Big Danger: 6 Sharpe Hussler (Bet Now: $8.50) was too classy for his rivals two back at ipswich before racing at Doomben in an open handicap where he was far from disgraced behind Jopa, running a 1.1L 8th. The star prior to that pair, he ran on nicely late here behind Tailevent. Hard to beat.
Roughie: 14 Snapper (Bet Now: $13.00) is a very talented gelding that resumes here for John Morrisey. He went down the Derby path in the winter and he didn’t quite measure up to that level, finishing tailed off near last behind Eagle Way. He has been tuned up for this with two fast trials, and I am sure the stable could have found a race on the home track, instead they run here.
BEST BET: Race Seven Number 1 Bourbon Road
NEXT BEST: Race One Number 8 Dream Kisses
VALUE: Race Eight Number 15 Mandryka
Quaddie Tips (Races Five Through To Eight):
Leg One: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7
Leg Two: 1, 2, 4, 6
Leg Three: 1, 4, 7, 9, 12, 13, 14
Leg Four: 6, 9, 10, 11, 13, 14, 15
$50 Investment= 3.64% of the dividend if successful
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