The star of Australian racing, Winx, will continue her charge towards a fourth Cox Plate when she lines up in the Colgate Optic White Stakes (1600m) this Saturday and the Group l highlights an outstanding program at Headquarters. The weather is fine, the track is good (4) and the rail is in the true position for the entire circuit.
Race 1. (12:10) TAB Highway Handicap (Class 3) 1000m
4 Lifesaver (Bet Now: $7.00 FAT ODDS) clearly on top. Matty Dunn trains this quality five year, who resumed over 1100m at Rosehill five weeks back in a Highway where he was given such a sweet steer by Angland and after 150m, it was game over. He took up a spot near the speed and was never getting beat. From all reports he has come right on from that and should take a power of beating.
1 Equal Balance (Bet Now: $5.50 FAT ODDS) comes through the Highway won by Common Purpose at Rosehill three weeks ago and his effort was outstanding too given he was slightly held up in the straight when full of running and he arguably could have won the race too. Should improve big time off that and is a definite threat onto the bigger track and firmer footing.
13 Caccini (Bet Now: $26.00 FAT ODDS) is a Norm Gardner trained mare who deserves a crack at a Highway after producing some really good efforts on the Acton track at Canberra, the latest run seeing him bolt up in a Federal. Is very capable on the turf and the stable should always be respected when they come to town.
Race 2. (12:50) Heritage Stakes 1100m
I’ll take a chance on 9 Prophet’s Thumb (Bet Now: $8.00 FAT ODDS). David Pfieffer trains this filly, who had trialled up enormous prior to debuting on Wyong Cup Day. She didn’t appear 100% happy on the tight track, but she won with a bit of class and authority. Time stacked up well relative to the day and I think there’ll only be improvement.
4 Charge (Bet Now: $7.00 FAT ODDS) is a Chris Waller trained colt who blitzed them first up in leading all the way at Warwick Farm prior to racing in the Rosebud at Rosehill where he did work to get up on speed and to his credit, he fought on quite strongly when beaten narrowly by Sandbar. Tick over trial last week was very good.
5 Ragged Rascal (Bet Now: $41.00 FAT ODDS) could be the blowout at huge odds because the speed in the race looks brutal, and he’ll be out the back and likely having last say. He had a pretty solid Autumn prep, which ended in the Champagne when down the track behind Seabrook. Two solid trials leading in tells me he’s come back well and can cause an upset for sure.
Race 3. (13:25) Shoot Out Mile (89) 1600m
5 Another Dollar (Bet Now: $5.50 FAT ODDS) for me. Chris Waller trains this mare, who resumed over 1400m here a fortnight ago where I thought she did a super job against the bias to close off strongly to run fourth to Best of Days. Creeping up in the weights but hard to ignore the resumption and the extra furlong looks perfect.
I reckon back to the mile will suit 11 All Too Soon (Bet Now: $6.00 FAT ODDS). Impressive winner two back over 1500m at Rosehill before backing up a week later over 2000m here where she was wide no cover for the trip and dropped out behind The Lord Mayor. Draws better this time around and I think that should toughen her up for this assignment.
You’re getting a good price to find out what’s under the hood of 7 Instant De Reve (Bet Now: $18.00 FAT ODDS). This bloke has had little to no luck in both runs for Chris Waller since arriving from overseas. Solid resumption at Flemington behind Theanswermyfriend before racing over this track/distance and really, it was one of the better lasts you’ll see behind Goodfella, getting no room in the straight. Hopefully they roll forward in a race that doesn’t appear as if it’ll be run at a strong tempo.
Race 4. (14:00) The Shorts 1100m
2 Brave Smash (Bet Now: $5.50 FAT ODDS) looks primed to run well. Darren Weir trains this bloke, who resumed a fortnight ago in the Heath at Caulfield where he was tucked in behind a slow speed, pulling a fraction in the run but was solid enough in defeat behind impressive winner Ball Of Muscle. Coming to Sydney and Bowman booked tells me there is intent to win, plus the recent jump out win was sharp.
4 English (Bet Now: $3.60 FAT ODDS) is a multiple Group l winning mare for the WaterBott stable that resumes. This mare had a fabulous Autumn/Winter prep, highlighted by a win in the Doomben 10,000. Got her Everest slot early, she’s an excellent fresh horse and to my eye looked forward enough in a couple of trials.
3 The Monstar (Bet Now: $18.00 FAT ODDS) is an absolute beauty for the Brett Cavanough team. He comes through the Concorde behind Redzel where he just had to work in the run from the barrier and couldn’t come on. He gets gate one this time and Tye jumps back on, so for mine, I think he’s a definite improver and outside winning chance.
Race 5. (14:35) Bill Ritchie Handicap 1400m
12 Paret (Bet Now: $5.50) has really turned the corner since being gelded, winning his past three in very impressive fashion, each of which have come at Rosehill and each time he has been given a 12/10 from Bowman. This will tell us if he’s an Epsom contender or not. I think he is, but in order to be that, he’s got to be winning here.
2 Pierata (Bet Now: $2.70) is a Greg Hickman trained galloper who could be a chance of getting the final slot in the Everest should he win impressively or go close. He hasn’t raced since scoring a top resuming win in the Missile, just proving too good for Kementari. Had a set back but looks on track if the August 20 trial win is any guide. Looks ready to rumble.
I called him a donkey on Twitter last Saturday, but I’m very wary that 8 Siege Of Quebec (Bet Now: $4.50) is backing up. He ran in the Theo Marks last Saturday and was simply awful behind Home Of The Brave. Must have done something right since to warrant backing him up. I think you have to trust the stable and their judgement. I couldn’t back him, but given the stable he’s in, a win wouldn’t surprise.
Race 6. (15:10) Colgate Optic White Stakes 1600m
6 Winx (Bet Now: $1.12) just picks herself. The naysayers were out in force saying that Kementari could beat her, hence why she was a drifter in betting, albeit minor, but the way she put them away, and defied the bias, it was the win of a champion, which she indeed is. She’ll improve off that and the tick over trial a fortnight back was sharp.
Very much looking forward to seeing 7 Egg Tart (Bet Now: $16.00). You can make a strong case that she should have won the Tramway when resuming a fortnight ago but just had no luck in the straight when appearing to be bolting. If we get a wet track in a few weeks, she’ll take beating in the Caulfield Cup. Expecting her to get back and launch late.
2 Who Shot Thebarman (Bet Now: $51.00) is a ripper for Chris Waller who resumes with another Cup prep on the agenda. He is ten years of age, but gee whiz I don’t think I’ve seen a ten year old trial as well as he has. He’ll improve clearly off this outing, but the small field will help his cause and wouldn’t be shocked if he ran top four.
Race 7. (15:50) Tea Rose Stakes 1400m
I think 5 Pretty In Pink (Bet Now: $5.50) is a great bet. John O’Shea trains this quality filly, who resumed in the Furious and was clearly one of the best runs of the race and indeed afternoon when second to Pure Elation. She’ll eat up the extra furlong and keep in mind second up last prep, she scored one of the best wins of the Scone Carnival.
I want to give 2 Oohood (Bet Now: $6.50) another look. Best maiden in Australia as it stands but on face value, you’d have to say she’s been just fair this time in, but what I will say to counter that is that she hasn’t been 100% right in the coat and looks have carried some pudding. I reckon one more before we see the best of her, but she’s got the quality to win.
Be very wary of the third up bounce back with 10 Miss Fabulass (Bet Now: $7.50). Too classy first up in a Canterbury maiden prior to racing in the Furious where she was a notable drifter in betting and ran accordingly, just racing a touch flat behind Pure Elation. I think up to 1400m third up will suit her ideally and she can definitely win.
Race 8. (16:30) Kingston Town Stakes 2000m
I’m very confident 4 Libran (Bet Now: $8.00) goes close to winning this and repeating the dose from last year. He’s absolutely flying this time in. Resumed in the Winx Stakes and produced some of the best late splits behind the great mare before going to the Chelmsford where once again his late splits were outstanding behind Unforgotten. That’s the right form for this and third up, he should be ready to go.
5 Avilius (Bet Now: $2.50), on potential/ability, probably has these covered, but I wouldn’t be taking anything silly short. Big impression at his Australian debut over the mile here before going to the Premiers Cup where he looked in a bit of trouble early on in the straight but once he got clear air, he surged and grabbed I Am Serious for a very sharp win. Looks a good prospect, but I couldn’t touch him at the odds.
Given the depth of the race, 11 Patrick Erin (Bet Now: $27.00) looks to be an outside winning chance. But in any other race, he’d be a near good thing. Loved his resumption a few weeks back over 1400m at Rosehill where he got back and nearer the inside but did produce really good late splits behind Flow. Up to 2000m is the query, but did look sharp in a recent jump out and has a fab second up record.
Race 9. (17:10) E Group Security Handicap (88) 1200m
11 Single Bullet (Bet Now: $7.00) is a son of Not A Single Doubt for the Gary Portelli team who resumed over 1100m at Rosehill three weeks ago where I thought Tye gave the horse every chance but the wet track played against him and he couldn’t dash with the big weight when third to Za Zi Ba. Looked sharp in a recent trial and on firmer footing, he can bounce back.
2 Trekking (Bet Now: $3.30) has really turned the corner since being gelded. Tough, tough win two back over 1100m at Rosehill before stepping up 100m in trip and running a game second to Don’t Give A Damn. Three weeks between runs looks ideal because he does seem to race best when produced on the fresh side. Just has to carry the weight.
4 Right Or Wrong (Bet Now: $7.00) is an interesting runner. Formerly trained in Queensland but now with the Maher/Eustace stable at Caulfield. Resumed at the Sandown midweeks where I thought he was far from disgraced behind a quality animal in Isaurian, who would start fav against this lot. Second up syndrome off a long break perhaps, but is 2/2 second up and J Mac booked.
Best Bets & Quaddie Tips
BEST BET: Race Four Number 2 Brave Smash
NEXT BEST: Race One Number 4 Lifesaver
LONG SHOT: Race Nine Number 11 Single Bullet
Quaddie Tips (Races Six Through To Nine):
Leg One: 6
Leg Two: 2, 5, 7, 9, 10
Leg Three: 4, 5, 11, 15
Leg Four: 2, 4, 11, 12
$50 Investment= 62.50% of the dividend if successful
All odds are subject to change. Odds listed are correct at the time of the latest update.
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