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The Group l races might be done and dusted for 2015 in Melbourne, but there is still quality racing to be run and won, starting this Saturday at William Hill Park Hillside, where the feature race is the $300,000 Group ll Quayclean Zipping Classic (2400m). The weather is overcast, the track is good (3) and the rail is in the true position for the entire circuit.

 

[crownbetoffer]

 

Race One (13:00) : Santa’s Magical Kingdom Stakes 1000m:

Back Me: Leaning towards Missrock (Best Odds: $2.70). She won like a star on debut at Caulfield in the Debutant (1000m) before going to Flemington on Cup Day and finishing off her race nicely late when third to impressive winner Concealer. She’s race hard fit and this is a very thin race.
Big Danger: Motown Lil (Best Odds: $4.40) debuted in that Flemington race mentioned above where she showed great speed to lead and she kicked on strongly until the final 100m and tired late to run fourth. Got the run under the belt now and the stable won the race last year.
Roughie: Emphatically (Best Odds: $15.00) was backed at odds when debuting in the Inglis Banner (1000m) on Cox Plate Day where she just simply didn’t handle the track at all. Back on a bigger track now and if there is any rain about, she will fly because she is bred to swim.

 

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Race Two (13:35) : City Of Greater Dandenong Stakes 1400m:

Back Me: Queen Of Wands (Best Odds: $5.50) worked home very strongly against the bias last time out over 1400m at Flemington when fourth to impressive winner Don’t Doubt Mama. Stack of upside with her and you know she will be very strong at the end of a tough 1400m.
Big Danger: Indarra (Best Odds: $7.50) started bolters odds in that race mentioned above at Flemington, and she was very good in defeat. Still a maiden, so obviously she is eligible for easier, but given she ran so well last time out, there is no reason why she can’t be competitive once again.
Roughie: Change Sister (Best Odds: $9.00) was given a beaut on steer ride from Pat Moloney to win her maiden at Ballarat. On face value, the win was impressive, but keep in mind that leaders were near unbeatable that afternoon, so that is a query, but the turn of foot she produced when asked was very good.

 

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Race Three (14:10) : Kevin Heffernan Stakes 1300m:

Back Me: Under The Louvre (Best Odds: $2.80) finally gets a 1300m race…best bet of the afternoon, and the weekend for mine. The wide gate beat him two back in the Moonga (1400m) before going to Derby Day where he was terribly unlucky behind Eclaire Choice with the bias being a big factor to his demise. With a fair racing surface here, he should take a power of beating.
Big Danger: Generalife (Best Odds: $3.30) was in the same boat as Under The Louvre in the same. Just couldn’t get a crack at them and never really had a clear run at them in the run home. He won this race last year and looks spot on to make it back-to-back.
Roughie: Java (Best Odds: $15.00) worked home well first up in the Testa Rossa (1200m) behind Fell Swoop before sitting too close to the speed behind Fast ‘N’ Rocking, who ran a cracker in the Manikato. With a more cold ride here, he can bounce back for sure.

 

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Race Four (14:45) : Sandown Stakes 1500m:

Back Me: Harada Bay (Best Odds: $14.00) has been excellent in two Melbourne runs, starting off at the Valley behind Burning Front before going to the Sale Cup (1600m) where he was bloused late by Evangelist. Sandown track will suit him perfectly and he is just bursting to win a race.
Big Danger: Mr Utopia (Best Odds: $5.50) was a real catcher first up at Caulfield behind Fast ‘N’ Rocking, who went on to run a blinder in the Manikato. He then went to Flemington and stayed in the gates, so put a line through that. Looked sharp in a trial at Cranbourne on Monday and he handles all conditions, but is lethal on firm ground. Definite threat.
Roughie: Timeless Prince (Best Odds: $21.00) is on the back up from last Saturday at Flemington where he worked home strongly late behind in form sprinter Malaguerra. Expecting that form to hold up and he has a stack of upside, plus I like that he is backing up.

 

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Race Five (15:25) : Quayclean Zipping Classic 2400m:

Back Me: Kirramosa (Best Odds: $7.00) was 1600m to 2400m when contesting the Bendigo Cup last start where she ran a beauty, running third to The Offer and Divan. The Offer was one of the best runs in the Melbourne Cup while Divan bolted in last Saturday. Now she has the 2400m run under the belt, I’m quite keen on her.
Big Danger: Rising Romance (Best Odds: $2.70) put in a howler when down the track in the Caulfield Cup (2400m), then freshened up and ran much better when a close second to Gailo Chop in the McKinnon Stakes (2000m). She loomed to win the race but was simply beaten by the leader getting a soft time in front and track bias. Forgiving her for the Caulfield Cup in regards to stepping back up to 2400m and I am confident she will run it out.
Roughie: Do You Remember (Best Odds: $51.00) is the interesting runner here. She is a high quality mare from South Africa who had her first run in 20 months when making up ground late behind Coronation Shallan at the Valley. Proven at this distance when trained in South Africa, stack of upside…I think she will be great overs in a race where most horses are at the end of their campaign.

 

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Race Six (16:00) : Mypunter.com Eclipse Stakes 1800m:

Back Me: Malice (Best Odds: $5.00) was heavily baked to win on Cup Day over this distance where he was afforded every chance by McDonald but he just couldn’t quite finish it off, largely due to the bias when a close second to Awesome Rock. Bursting to win a race and he gets his chance here IMO.
Big Danger: Jacquinot Bay (Best Odds: $12.00) is a greybeard who is racing with great heart at the moment. Attempted to lead all the way in that race mentioned above and just tired late when fourth to Awesome Rock. Has a very good record at the track and if there is any give in the track, it will suit him better than most.
Roughie: Cadillac Mountain (Best Odds: $34.00) resumed in the Sale Cup and finished off his race alright late in the piece behind Evangelist. He won’t mind if the rain comes and we get some give in the track. Should improve off that and looks good overs at around $26.

 

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Race Seven (16:40) : William Hill Sandown Guineas 1600m:

Back Me: I’ll give Don’t Doubt Mamma (Best Odds: $3.50) another go here. She was very impressive in winning at Caulfield three back before going to the Edward Manifold where she was just plain behind Badawiya in a hot form race. Freshened up and let down strongly to win on Cup Day in a pretty handy race. Hard to beat.
Big Danger: The Carbine Club (1600m) is the main form reference with a host of recent winners coming from that Flemington event. So for that reason, Mahuta (Best Odds: $4.80) is a leading contender. There was plenty to like about his Carbine Club win. He got to the lead far too early in the straight yet kicked on very strongly for a determined win. There is the query he will drop off but D K Weir horses rarely drop off when they are in winning form.
Roughie: Zafiki (Best Odds: $16.00) is a beautifully bred filly debuted over the Cranbourne mile where she sat on speed and kicked on very strongly to hold her rivals safely at bay. Time was solid in comparison with the older horses on the same afternoon which is always a good sign for mine. I think she will be better with something to chase and though fillies have a poor record in this race, I’ll have something on her each-way.

 

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Race Eight (17:20) : William Hill Sandown Cup 3200m:

Back Me: The Offer (Best Odds: $6.00) was one of the best runs of the beaten brigade in the Melbourne Cup (3200m) given he was back and wide in a slowly run race on a firm track, which we know he hates, yet he still finished off strongly. Class runner here and is in ripping form.
Big Danger: De Little Engine (Best Odds: $4.80) steps up to the two miles after winning the 2800m race on Cup Day, charging home from near last to score an impressive victory. First go at 3200m, but given he was very strong at the end of the race on Cup Day, it should be no issue. The issue will be the weather. If the rain comes, then he is a real risk.
Roughie: Like A Carousel (Best Odds: $13.00) is on the back up from last weekend where he closed off very well in the Queens Cup (2600m) behind Dandino. Has run very well in the past two editions of this race and looks spot on to repeat the dose.

 

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Race Nine (17:55) : Le Pines Funerals Summoned Stakes 1500m:

Back Me: Ballet Suite (Best Odds: $8.50) was terrible in the Angst behind Casino Dancer, then ran much better in the G1X.com.au Stakes (1600m) on Cox Plate where she worked home strongly against the pattern behind Coronation Shallan. Form out of that race has held up and the 1500m here just appears as though it will suit her perfectly.
Big Danger: She’s Clean (Best Odds: $6.00) was one of the runs of the afternoon on Cup Day when she stormed home from near last to run third to Scarlet Billows, beaten four lengths but was excellent. She’ll love the step up to 1500m and looms as the main threat to her stablemate Ballet Suite.
Roughie: Matilija (Best Odds: $10.00) worked home very strongly down the outside fence in the Mumm Stakes (1100m) on Oaks Day when fourth to Pittsburgh Flyer. Her run prior behind Politeness was fabulous and we know what that mare has done since.

 

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BEST BET: Race Three Number 4 Under The Louvre

NEXT BEST: Race Six Number 5 Malice

VALUE: Race Five Number 8 Do You Remember

 

Quaddie Tips (Races Six Through To Nine):

Leg One: 5

Leg Two: 2, 4, 6, 10, 12, 15

Leg Three: 1, 2, 3, 5, 6

Leg Four: 1, 2, 3, 5, 9, 13

$50 Investment= 27.77% of the dividend if successful.

 

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All odds are subject to change. Odds listed are correct at the time of the latest update.

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