The richest horse race on turf in the world, the $10 Million TAB Everest (1200m), is finally here, and the showpiece event of Sydney racing for the Spring highlights a superb ten race card. The weather is overcast, the track is good (4) and the rail is out six metres for the entire circuit.
Race 1. (12:05) TAB Highway Consolation (80) 1400m
12 Don’t Give A Damn (Bet Now: $3.00 BOOSTED ODDS) is the best horse in the race by a mile, but the barrier is a bit of a concern for him. Big win last time out at Rosehill when spanking them by six and should take plenty of improvement from that run. He is a very nice horse who id destined to better races.
I reckon 10 Cascata Rossa (Bet Now: $11.00) can give this a shake for Matty Dunn. Was quite keen on him here last Saturday over the mile and seemingly, he had his chance when nutted by stablemate Bronzed Venom but for mine he just got left in front too early and was a sitting shot. If he stalks and has near last say, back to 1400m, he can go really close.
I like that Mack Griffith is backing up 13 Schedule (Bet Now: $14.00) seven days later. He ran in the Highway here last Saturday and for mine he was a total forgive. Just got too far back in a race dominated by those near the speed/rail. If the rain comes, he’s a serious threat, but even without that, he should be given a chance from the paint.
Race 2. (12:40) Nielson Sports Victory Vein Plate 1000m
7 Legend Of Condor (Bet Now: $5.00) is a Not A Single Doubt colt on debut for the Gerald Ryan team. Was quite impressed by this boy and what he produced last Tuesday in a trial win at Rosehill. Led all the way and bolted up under Josh Parr, running 53.3, which was clearly the quickest of the 2YO trials that morning. Confident he can go close.
2 Spin (Bet Now: $4.60) was kept quite safe in the market when debuting in the Breeders Plate and I thought the Team Snowden trained colt did a really good job in defeat when fourth to Performer after getting back in the run. Closed off well late, so with that experience under the belt, he should be better off, and experience in these early juvenile races is a big tick.
9 Stunts (Bet Now: $13.00) is a well bred Lonhro colt for Godolphin and James Cummings. He comes through the Rosehill trial last week won by Legend Of Condor and I thought he was an eye catcher. Was under a bit of pressure from Angland early in the straight but he did quicken before Angland put the brakes on over the final 200m and he moved quite well I thought. Interesting to see what he does here.
Race 3. (13:15) The Daily Telegraph Reginald Allen Quality 1400m
7 Workdrinks (Bet Now: $4.80) is a smart filly for the Brad Widdup yard who could easily measure up here without surprising. Thought her effort the other day at Rosehill was full of merit when chasing an above average type in Demerara. Randwick 1400m looks ideal and there is good speed here, so she’ll get her chance to run on.
1 Regimen (Bet Now: $3.70) is a smart filly for Godolphin and James Cummings who hasn’t raced since September 20 at Warwick Farm where she took on the older mares and despite being first under pressure,she was last woman standing and surged hard to win. Trialled up really well last week at Rosehill and this isn’t a strong contest.
3 Aonair (Bet Now: $6.00) is a daughter of Fastnet Rock for Chris Waller who resumed with a top maiden win over 1400m at Warwick Farm before racing over 1300m at Rosehill where she was parked behind the speed and just lacked the turn of foot to go with them but the effort was sound when fourth to Beau Geste. Back up to 1400m and onto a bigger track, third up, looks an ideal scenario for this girl.
Race 4. (13:50) TAB Anniversary Highway Handicap (80) 1400m
11 Suncraze (Bet Now: $3.60) looks the obvious way to go. Smart galloper who can have a mind of his own but he is starting to put it all together now off the back of some confidence, winning his last two impressively. Been freshened up since last start but has been tuned up with a very sharp trial win. Randwick 1400m off a fast speed looks perfect.
8 Pumpkin Pie (Bet Now: $3.20) looks the obvious threat. Danny Williams trained mare who faces the easiest race she has contested since nearly her debut. All three of her runs this time in have been good without winning, and last time in the Premiere behind In Her Time, she was clearly outclassed. Looks well placed here.
14 Not For Export (Bet Now: $67.00) is the clear overs in this race for mine. Dar Lunn trained gelding who can have a bad racing pattern but when he gets things to suit, he a can unleash, like he did last time out over 1400m at Dubbo when working home with purpose late behind Galaxy Warrior. He meets that horse 3kg better off here, loves the Randwick 1400m…the $51 all in looked good overs so I’m surprised he’s opened $61 final field.
Race 5. (14:12) The Star Mile (95) 1600m
10 Jaminzah (Bet Now: $9.50) gets the nod for me. Freshened up after a luckless run here before going to Warwick Farm last Monday over 1400m where he took his time to get there but he finished best under hard riding from Bowman to get the win. Back up to the mile is ideal, has upside and the form on the board.
8 Oklahoma Girl (Bet Now: $6.00) looks the knockout chance at odds. Chris Waller trained mare who resumed over 1400m at Rosehill and I loved the way she closed off late in the piece when third to stablemate Wayanka. That form has been franked big time via Interlocuter, plus Galaxy Warrior and Got Unders winning. Trial since was good, up to the mile suits and if we do get a drop of rain, she’s a massive chance.
I think the big improver here is 4 Harper’s Choice (Bet Now: $10.00). The form guide doesn’t read great, but look at what he has been racing against this time…top class company, most notably. Trialled up really well last week, he gets the blinkers for the first time, back to the mile, and a drop of rain will really help.
Race 6. (15:00) Heineken 3 St Leger Stakes 2600m
4 Who Shot Thebarman (Bet Now: $5.00) for me. Tough, tough campaigner for Chris Waller who has been excellent in three runs back from a break. Just lacked the turn of foot to go with them when they sprinted in the Metropolitan a fortnight back but he stuck on really well and was good to the line and through it. 2600m is ideal and he should take some beating.
1 Libran (Bet Now: $5.50) gave them a galloping less two back in the Kingston Town hence why he started fav in the Metropolitan and for mine, he had his chance when sixth to Foundry, but perhaps being a handicap, he couldn’t sprint. Set weights suits him perfectly here and he gets Bowman.
Up in trip, I’m expecting big improvement from 5 Havana Cooler (Bet Now: $26.00). He has had two runs back now and though he has failed to beat a runner home both times, each race just hasn’t suited him at all. Finally gets out to a staying trip, getting near peak fitness, and he is one of many on the program who wouldn’t mind some cushion in the track.
Race 7. (15:35) Sydney Stakes 1200m
12 In Her Time (Bet Now: $2.60) clearly on top. She did the followers some nice things first up in the Premiere a fortnight back when the $9 all in was on offer and she got the job done at half that price. Heading towards the Manikato, and really, she wouldn’t have looked out of place in the Everest. The one to beat for sure.
I think the big improver here is the Hayes/Dabernig runner 8 Derryn (Bet Now: $20.00). He was kept safe in the betting at odds when resuming in the Moir but nothing really went right for the four year old and for mine he was a total forgive behind She Will Reign. Career best efforts have come in Sydney and I can see him being a player here at odds.
Not sure he can win, but for exotics, I’d definitely include 9 Kaepernick (Bet Now: $15.00). Had his first run for the O’Shea camp at Warwick Farm last Monday where he lumped 61kg to score a superb fresh win and give the course record a nudge despite doing plenty wrong. He only can improve off that, and yes, he’s an enigma, but perhaps O’Shea has figured him out.
Race 8. (16:15) The TAB Everest 1200m
Hoping we get a dry-ish track, because I am firmly in the corner of 4 Redkirk Warrior (Bet Now: $9.50) and have been for a while. The stable couldn’t have talked this horse up any higher prior to resuming in the Bobbie Lewis, which was the reason why I was stunned he drifted in the market. Didn’t matter. He tore them a new one. If the track is a good3/good4, it’s going to take a special performance from this lot to get past him.
Wet or dry, 1 Chautauqua (Bet Now: $5.50) has to go in the numbers. Bit surprised that some have been disappointed with his two efforts this time in. The clock says otherwise. He has smashed it in both runs back from a break, but it’s his awful racing pattern that is costing him. But we know when it comes to a GF, he’s near unbeatable.
If we do get a track with give in it, 5 Clearly Innocent (Bet Now: $13.00) should be a $6-$7 chance because he is unbeaten on wet ground, with his most dominant wins coming on rain affected tracks. His resumption in the Premiere behind In Her Time was a beauty, he’s a bomb when produced second up and a brutal 1200m will be perfect.
Race 9. (16:55) Aqualand Craven Plate 2000m
You would think only bad luck beats 1 Happy Clapper (Bet Now: $1.65) here. He got a much deserved Group l win a fortnight back in the Epsom. With Egg Tart out, he looked a good thing on paper, was ridden that way by Blake Shinn, and won accordingly. 2000m is no issue. Some of his best efforts have come at the trip. Looks the one.
I think the only threat, if any, will be the fresh blood which is 4 Star Exhibit (Bet Now: $7.00). Went without Zahra two back in the Dato behind Bonneval, but was much better last time out in the JRA Cup when making ground on a leaders track behind Jon Snow, who is being talked up as a Caulfield Cup chance. He’s hard fit, 2000m yes and any rain, a big yes.
Despite stepping up to WFA, 5 Classic Uniform (Bet Now: $17.00) has to be respected enormously here. Gary Moore trained stayer who was given a lovely ride by Michael Walker to win the Hill Stakes a fortnight back, controlling things from the front end, sprinting at the right time and he was just too tough. Loses nothing with Tim Clark steering now, looks the sole leader and should take some beating again.
Race 10. (17:30) Sydney Harbour Exclusive Sprint (80) 1000m
If we do get a drop of rain, then I think 8 Machinegun Jubs (Bet Now: $5.50) is a great each-way play in the last. Talented sprinter for Angela Davies who is first up here since the latter part of the Autumn when she raced at Rosehill and finished midfield behind Kudero. Given one 735m trial to prepare for her return, but she looked very good, she flies fresh, and as I said, a bit of rain would help her big time.
Well what you can say about 3 Latin Boy (Bet Now: $8.00) ? This bloke is absolutely flying for the Richard Freedman team. He has won all four runs this prep and every time he has been asked to step up, he has delivered, which is what he did last Monday at Warwick Farm when lumping 62.5kg and running sizzling time. He can measure up here for sure.
14 Fifteen Sunflowers (Bet Now: $23.00) is a talented mare for Clare Cunningham who resumed over 1100m at Rosehill a couple of Wednesdays back and for mine she was a total forgive. It was a meeting where making significant ground from the back was a near impossibility and that was the case for her behind Diddums. Lethal second up record and unbeaten in two runs at the Randwick 1000m.
Best Bets & Quaddie Tips
BEST BET: Race Nine Number 1 Happy Clapper
NEXT BEST: Race Three Number 7 Workdrinks
VALUE: Race Eight Number 4 Redkirk Warrior
Have Your Say: Got a tip for Randwick? – Leave a comment below
Quaddie Tips (Races Seven Through To Ten):
Leg One: 3, 8, 9, 10, 12, 13
Leg Two: 1, 3, 4, 5, 8, 9
Leg Three: 1,45
Leg Four: 3, 6, 8, 14
$50 Investment= 17.36% of the dividend if successful
All odds are subject to change. Odds listed are correct at the time of the latest update.
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