Racing returns to the Parks track at Morphettville on Saturday with a good card of racing assembled. The weather is overcast, the track is good (4) and the rail is out three metres from the 1000m-Winning Post; True for the remainder.
Race One (13:44) : Exelsuper Plate 1000m:
Back Me: 2 Sawaiki, (Best Odds: $2.50) I thought, was unbeatable when debuting a couple of weeks back and the market reflected that. Unfortunately, he couldn’t quite see it out and had to settle for second to Serenely Discreet. He is still paid up for the Blue Diamond, so he definitely needs to win here to have any chance of making the field. I doubt he can win the Blue Diamond because he looks a bit too new to the game, but I am confident he can win here.
Big Danger: 1 Mr Markou (Best Odds: $4.00) debuted over this track/distance back in October and was quite impressive in getting the job done. Bit uninspiring in a trial here last Friday, but the form around him shouldn’t be underestimated.
Roughie: 9 White Feather (Best Odds: $6.00) was kept safe in the market when debuting here back in October when running last to Mr Markour, beaten eleven lengths. Recent trial behind Blue Diamond Prelude contender Samara Dancer was quite encouraging and he does meet Mr Markou 5kg better from that outing.
Race Two (14:19) : Campolina Stud Maiden Plate 1000m:
Back Me: I think the first starters hold the key here. Going with the Tony McEvoy trained 8 Stormy Zuma (Best Odds: $5.00). He has been trialling since November 2014, and since then, he has trialled on four other occasions. Breeding doesn’t fill me with confidence, but the trials have been encouraging.
Big Danger: 6 Pomp (Best Odds: $4.40) is on debut here for Phillip Stokes. This well bred colt trialled last Friday here and looked very good I thought when second to Metro Cowboy. Had he drawn a gate, I’d be all over him, but gate 15 at the 1000m start is a big, big negative.
Roughie: 14 Warrington (Best Odds: $9.00) is a first starter for the Nick Smart yard. No trials leading in, so that’s the query, but the breeding suggests she should have ability and this is a pretty thin race.
Race Three (14:54) : UBET Adelaide Cup March 14 Handicap (70) 1300m:
Back Me: 3 Baker’s Dozen (Best Odds: $6.00) looks a progressive type for the Kristi Evans yard. Two from two this prep, the latest coming over 1111m at Gawler when charging home from the back to win quite impressively and with a bit in reserve. Toughest test to date here, but looks to have some upside, so I am confident she can measure up here.
Big Danger: 11 Northern Review (Best Odds: $26.00) has been a bit disappointing in two efforts this time in, the latest over the mile at Strathalbyn when running second last behind Presidium. On current form, you could not have her at all, but she has been given a three week freshen up and is back to 1300m, so perhaps those elements could spark improvement.
Roughie: 9 Joamble (Best Odds: $26.00) resumed with a strong win at Gawler before racing there again and running near the back behind Pinkies Girl, who ran well without luck last Saturday. I’ll put that down to the second up syndrome. She can bounce back here for sure.
Race Four (15:33) : Bec & Grant’s 40th Birthday Handicap (70) 1250m:
Back Me: Looks a good race for 5 Devils Pinch (Best Odds: $7.00). He resumed at Sale a couple of weeks back and produced a lovely turn of foot from off the speed to win quite impressively. He is nominated for a couple of big races, so the stable obviously has an opinion of him. Looks the winner.
Big Danger: Returning to the Parks track should suit 2 Karlovasi (Best Odds: $3.30). He has been excellent this time in without winning, but is clearly knocking on the door. Looks the leader here, and as we know, leaders on the Parks track are advantaged.
Roughie: 8 Space Time (Best Odds: $21.00) broke his maiden in impressive fashion when resuming at Gawler, leading all the way to win by a decent margin despite being a drifter in betting. He has performed well in town before and has plenty of upside.
Race Five (16:13) : Nespresso Handicap (75) 1950m:
Back Me: 10 Tidy Prophet (Best Odds: $5.00) has been frustrating to follow but this looks her race to lose. Forget she went around last time out at Flemington given she was near the inside, and that really wasn’t the spot to be. This looks more her go, and with luck in running, she should just about take care of this bunch.
Big Danger: 9 Swinging Soldier (Best Odds: $5.50) drops big time in depth after making ground over the mile here to run third to Rationality, who ran well recently at Moonee Valley a few weeks back. Query at the trip, but he might just have too much class and can comfortably overcome it.
Roughie: 4 Elmantosh (Best Odds: $9.00) loomed to win the race last time out and looked the winner with about 100m to go, but he couldn’t quite get past Zerprise Journey. That was his first decent run in a long time, so now he has some decent form under the belt, he can go on with it.
Race Six (16:53) : Holdfast Insurance Handicap (75) 1000m:
Back Me: 8 Captain Punch (Best Odds: $6.50) can be a bit hold and cold, but he looks ready to run a beauty here off the back of a very sharp trial win here on Friday, winning by seven lengths and running one of the fastest times of the morning. Looks ready to go.
Big Danger: 1 Tarco (Best Odds: $2.40) was nearly Black Caviar odds last time out but he let punters down badly with a plain fourth to Casino Wizard, beaten two lengths. This looks a much easier, and if he bounces back to his form before last start, he’d spank these.
Roughie: 2 Ship’s Captain (Best Odds: $13.00) is on the back up from last Saturday where he worked home well late without threatening when running fourth to Wilander Express. He does tend to save his best for the Parks track, and this looks a very winnable race.
Race Seven (17:33) : UBET Handicap (82) 1400m:
Back Me: 2 Brinkley Bliss (Best Odds: $2.70) on top for me here. She led all the way to win over 1200m first up before stepping up to 1530m and running second to It And A Bit, beaten just over a length. Yet to win on the Parks track, but has placed four from six. Hard to beat.
Big Danger: 8 Alcobro (Best Odds: $3.80) is on the back up from last Saturday when running just a fair race I thought when seventh to Miss Adele, beaten just under three lengths. He tends to save his best for the Parks track and should get every chance from the good draw.
Roughie: 3 Rocket Commander (Best Odds: $13.00) resumed over 1200m on the course proper and couldn’t get into the race from the back behind Stakes performer Sirbible. Better suited with the added fitness and extra trip, and she has a great record at the track.
Race Eight (18:11) : MAC Drink Driving? GROW UP Handicap (64) 1300m:
Back Me: 3 Turf Crusher (Best Odds: $3.80) was an alarming drifter when resuming at Geelong and that fluc was spot on when he plugged away to run third to The Spitfire, beaten just under three lengths. Tends to save his best for the Parks track and you have to respect Victorian based runners.
Big Danger: 6 Mavericks (Best Odds: $9.00) steps back in trip after running over 1530m last time out and seemingly had his chance when fourth to Boys Getaround Him, beaten four lengths. Gets decent weight relief here and should be around the mark somewhere.
Roughie: 10 Unspun (Best Odds: $26.00) ran second in that Boys Getaround Him, and that was the first sign of decent form from this horse in a while. Now that he has found form, he could go right on with it.
BEST BET: Race Five Number 10 Tidy Prophet
NEXT BEST: Race Seven Number 2 Brinkley Bliss
VALUE: Race Six Number 8 Captain Punch
Quaddie Tips (Races Five Through To Eight):
Leg One: 10
Leg Two: 1, 2, 4, 5, 8
Leg Three: 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 8
Leg Four: 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 10
$50 Investment= 23.80% of the dividend if successful.
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All odds are subject to change. Odds listed are correct at the time of the latest update.
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