WA Metro racing this Saturday makes a rare trip to Pinjarra for an eight race card, where it is Mandurah Cup Day. The weather is fine, the track is good (4) and the rail is in the true position for the entire circuit.
Race 1. (15:51) Programmed Property Services Plate 1200m
3 Rubic Rose (Bet Now: $1.65) does look the obvious. Karen Kersley trains this filly, who ran over 1100m at Ascot a fortnight ago where she was a tad keen in the run near the speed but once she put her mind to it, she knuckled down and was an impressive winner. On that effort, I don’t see the 1200m being an issue and this field looks no harder.
5 Arion Lass (Bet Now: $9.50) is a daughter of Denman for Neville Parnham who debuted in the Rubic Rose race from two weeks back. On face value, she was plain, but was nearer the inside and perhaps racing inside horses wasn’t her go. Did trial up well prior to the first run so have to give her another chance in what does look to be quite a winnable race.
2 Busy One (Bet Now: $15.00) looks a horse who will eat up the extra trip. He debuted last Saturday at Ascot over 1000m where he was out the back and struggling but picked up late and was quite good. That form does look much stronger than the Rubic Rose form line IMO. Just hoping for his supporters that he can settle a bit closer in the run and be dangerous.
Race 2. (16:31) Belle Park Training & Agistment Handicap (72+) 2000m
2 Press The Petal (Bet Now: $5.50) will do me here. Adam Durrant trains this mare, who is three weeks between runs since racing over 2100m at Ascot where she wound up gamely in a good effort when third to The Big Show. Has a really good record at Pinjarra and this race looks very winnable if she can get clear air early and build the revs when needed to.
1 The Big Show (Bet Now: $1.85) is an absolute beauty who is in career best form at the moment. He ran over 2100m at Ascot three weeks ago where he copped pressure in front but found plenty when challenged to score a narrow but outstanding win. Creeping up in the weights but hard to knock the way he’s going and could well get a soft lead.
4 American Joy (Bet Now: $3.30) is an Adam Durrant trained mare who should like the step up in trip. She ran over 1800m at Ascot on December 19 where she was given a 12/10 steer from Pike, getting on the rail before angling into a three wide line and from the home turn onwards, it was a painless watch. Harder here, but hard to knock the way he’s going.
Race 3. (17:16) Tabtouch Better Your Bet Handicap 1000m
Looks a lovely race for the Michael Lane trained 2 Excise Free (Bet Now: $2.20). Was pretty keen on this filly when she ran at Ascot two weeks ago, hoping she’d be on speed and controlling things…instead she was last on the rail and in a hopeless spot while the eventual winner Market Ruler had clear air in front and stole a break. Clear air surely down the straight this time and she’ll be winning.
1 Rebel Yell (Bet Now: $8.50) looks the testing material. Lou Luciani trains this three year old, who ran over 1100m at Ascot three weeks ago where he was well held but far from disgraced behind the in form filly Market Ruler. Like her back to 1000m and this race doesn’t appear to be overly strong as a whole, so he won’t need to improve much to figure in the finish.
6 Smart Fox (Bet Now: $9.00) is an Adam Durrant trained three year old who has earned a crack at metro level after breaking the maiden tag at this track/distance. He was always in the right spot near the pace under Chris Parnham and dashed best when asked for the effort. Didn’t beat much, but he’s shown good ability since day one and now he’s won a race, he could well go on with it.
Race 4. (17:50) Coil Clean Australia Handicap (72+) 1000m
2 Market Ruler (Bet Now: $1.95) does look the one. Simon Miller has this mare absolutely flying, winning her last three, the latest coming a fortnight back at Ascot when on speed and when asked to go, she did and put the race to bed rather comfortably. Taking on the older horses, but again gets the claim for Witten and draws to stalk Fire And Rain.
8 Fire And Rain (Bet Now: $6.50) should be suited to the straight course. He comes through the Market Ruler race from three weeks ago where he couldn’t find the lead on his own and that was pretty much the end of his race when fourth. Think his best chance of winning here will be if allowed to roll along at his own speed out in front, giving them something to chase.
6 Speeding Comet (Bet Now: $9.50) is a son of Manhattan Rain resuming for the Simon Miller stable. He hasn’t race since June 23 at Belmont when running a close up fourth to Misty Metal, and we know what that girl has done during the Carnival, so that form reads quite well for this, and his recent trial behind that mare at Belmont was more than encouraging.
Race 5. (18:25) Essential Refrigeration Services Handicap (1MW) 1000m
7 Shackleton (Bet Now: $2.60) looks a great bet for mine. Chris Gangemi trains this former Sydney sider, who has had a few runs now in WA and has been quite consistent. Ran over 1100m last Saturday at Ascot where he tried hard but couldn’t quite get past Disruptive in a driving go. I think back to 1000m is perfect, slightly back in depth…keen on his chances.
Jake Casey had a couple of runners nominated for this race and he elects to go with the sole runner in 3 Chin Strap (Bet Now: $15.00), who has been proven in town but his recent racing has been on the dirt at Broome, his last run being in the feature sprint during the Carnival when a tiring third. Looked sharp in a Belmont trial and can sprint well fresh.
2 Royalic (Bet Now: $26.00) could be a sneaky chance at long odds. Lindsey Smith trains this gelding, who resumed three weeks back at Ascot where he ran along in front and couldn’t finish it off when down the track behind Ambiente. He’s 3/3 at the track/distance and this looks a very much welcomed drop in depth. If he finds his best, he’ll go pretty close.
Race 6. (18:55) Sound Telegraph Handicap (66+) 1500m
10 Truly Belong (Bet Now: $3.70) isn’t far off a win. She should appreciate the step up to 1500m after racing over 1400m at Ascot two weeks ago where she settled off the pace, a slowly run affair, so her chances were slim but she still worked to the line with purpose late to run second to Vital Silver. Not the greatest of winning strike rates, due to her racing pattern, but certainly has the talent.
14 Yeah Bravo (Bet Now: $19.00) doese’t have the greatest of winning strike rates either, but he tries hard and is race fit. Ran last Saturday at Ascot where he was near the speed all the way in a similar race and battled away well when third to Avidus. Could I back him to win? Probably not, but he finds a winnable race with not that much depth.
2 Bass Strait (Bet Now: $27.00) is getting on in years but I don’t think his two runs back from a break have been too bad. Comes through the Vital Silver race from two weeks back where he really had no chance given the tempo but he kept on and his late splits weren’t too bad. Probably looking for more than an extra 100m, but he’s going well and should be included in exotics.
Race 7. (19:25) Mandurah Cup (78+) 1400m
Hardest test to date but hard to get away from 11 Vital Silver (Bet Now: $2.60). He ran over 1400m at Ascot two weeks ago where he was put up on speed, controlled things before being asked for the effort on the turn and he kicked right away for a dominant win. He’s come back in outstanding order it seems to confident he can go close to winning, provided he doesn’t do too much work in the run.
2 Pinzu (Bet Now: $7.50) looks a third up bounce back contender. Landed some good bets when winning the Carbine Club first up before being freshened up and racing in the Scahill when a touch flat for mine behind Arcadia Prince. He’s got a great third up record and does tend to save his best for 1400m, so have to give him another chance back in class.
3 Red Army (Bet Now: $6.50) is a talented stayer that resumes for the Williams camp. This bloke hasn’t raced since August 25 at Belmont when running a close up second to Prying Tom, who ran well in some of the features during the Carnival. He can sprint well fresh and for mine he has looked sharp in a couple of trials. Interesting to see what he does against some nice types.
Race 8. (20:00) GWN 7 Handicap (1MW) 1400m
For the first time in a while, 14 Sally’s Realm (Bet Now: $4.80) is well placed. Just depends what’s left in the tank. She’s contested the Mares races during the Carnival and while she hasn’t won, she hasn’t been far away behind some quality types, namely Celebrity Dream and Fontainebleu. Probably wins if she brings her best. Just all depends if there’s upside left.
11 Beat The Bell (Bet Now: $8.00) is a daughter of Universal Ruler who is in career best form for Sharon Miller. This girl has won her past two, the latest of the wins coming over 1500m here when given a lovely sit just off the pace before getting the split and showing nice change up speed to get the job done. She’s earned a crack at this level and is down in the weights.
5 King Of Chaos (Bet Now: $17.00) has been a bit costly to follow in recent times but do concede it’s a good looking race for him to break back into the winners list if he finds his best. He ran over 1400m at Ascot two weeks ago where he just pulled a fraction too hard in the run and couldn’t quite go on with it when fourth to Vital Silver, who is low flying. Have to give him one more chance.
Best Bets & Quaddie Tips
BEST BET: Race Four Number 2 Market Ruler
NEXT BEST: Race Seven Number 11 Vital Silver
LONG SHOT: Race Two Number 2 Press The Petal
Quaddie Tips (Races Five Through To Eight):
Leg One: 2, 3, 7, 14
Leg Two: 1, 2, 3, 10, 14
Leg Three: 11
Leg Four: 5, 11, 14, 15
$50 Investment= 62.50% of the dividend if successful
All odds are subject to change. Odds listed are correct at the time of the latest update.
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