12/1/2019 Horse Racing Tips and Best Bets – Flemington, Chester Manifold Stakes day

A nine race program has been assembled for Flemington this Saturday. The weather is fine, the track is good (4) and the rail is out six metres for the entire circuit.

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I think James Cummings has got some very nice youngsters ready to be churned out, one of them being 6 Microphone (Bet Now: $2.20), a son of Exceed And Excel on debut. Gee he’s looked sharp in a couple of Flemington jump outs. Has put himself on speed, looked to travel sweetly and then when asked for the effort he easily has change up speed. Still does a little bit wrong, but he looks very good.

I’ll be keeping tabs on 1 Auxin (Bet Now: $5.50), who is a first starter by Exceed And Excel. He jumped out here last Friday where he got back in the ruck, finding the outside rail and was never really there to win but once given a squeeze about 75m from home, he looked outstanding in closing off his trial. Shocked if he didn’t make the grade and has to be respected.

4 Cassius (Bet Now: $16.00) is a son of Sebring on debut for the Hayes/Dabernig stable. This bloke has had a couple of jumpouts in readiness for his first start, the latest coming a few weeks back when back/wide but was under no pressure and looked to move well behind Microphone. Stable is really hit and miss at the moment but with their juveniles, for the most part, they’re around the mark, but the market will well and truly be the guide.

2 Jay Jay D’Ar (Bet Now: $4.80) is a promising animal who is crying out for a bigger track, which she gets. Ran over 1200m at the Valley two weeks back and it was an ugly watch if you were on. Clipped heels on the turn when looking to build the revs and was no chance after that. First up run was a beauty and the form out of that has been solid enough. Giving her respect.

8 Angel Lass (Bet Now: $5.50) is a Robbie Griffiths trained filly who comes straight to town after breaking the maiden tag in impressive fashion at Bairnsdale over 1000m, leading all the way to win by over four lengths and running good time relative to the day. Two runs at 1200m prior to that were solid, including a second to My Pendant, so that does read well for this.

Giving respect to 3 Melveen (Bet Now: $23.00) for Henry Dwyer. This girl is first up after a three run campaign to start the career in the Autumn, with the highlight being a win at Sandown. December 24 jumpout at Caulfield was more than encouraging to the eye and it was clearly the fastest time of the morning. Resumes in a winnable race, happy to include her.

5 Silentz (Bet Now: $2.30) does look like one of these Weir horse we see so often that once they put a win on the board, they’ll go right on with it, and I’m confident he can here. Ran over the mile at Caulfield on Boxing Day and despite traffic difficulties in the run, he was given a sweet ride by Caserta late to get the job done. Form from that has been great and he’s got upside.

2 Ulmann (Bet Now: $8.00) is working up to win a win I think. Ran over 1400m at Caulfield on Boxing Day in a race won by Rock ‘N’ Gold and I think his effort was outstanding given the eventual winner got an absolute picnic in front and when he’s dashing home in a tick over 34, Ulmann would have had to run near sub 33 to win. No chance. Better suited here and is a live threat.

Fascinating runner is 1 Aloft, (Bet Now: $35.00) formerly with Team Williams but is now with Eric Musgrove, I dare say with an eye towards jumping later in the year. His flat form is very good but he could be hot and cold. Surprisingly showed decent zip in the Stony Creek trial so it’ll be really interesting to see how he goes here because his flat form is certainly good enough to go close.

Going to give 4 Kaplumpich (Bet Now: $5.00) another chance. I was initially disappointed with his run last Saturday at Caulfield but when watching the replay, he just looked very one paced and didn’t have the zip to go with them, suggesting that 1400m will suit, which he gets immediately, and it’s rare to see a Weir horse on the seven day back up, so for mine that’s a good lead.

2 O’Tauto (Bet Now: $2.60) looks a promising animal for Greg Eurell who resumed down the straight here on December 22 and he ran well but had no answers to the brilliance and arrogance of the winner Poised To Strike. Big tick he’s at 1400m second up and from the good draw, hopefully Olly can position him a touch closer in the run just off the pace.

6 Banger (Bet Now: $16.00) rises in grade/depth but I think for wider exotics he could be included. Ran over 1300m at Wangaratta last Saturday where he was off the speed and chased hard all the way but just missed out on the win when beaten a lip by Vegas Boulevard. Should do no work from the inside gate and McDougall is in really good form at the moment.

One of the bets of the day is 3 Masculino (Bet Now: $2.10) for mine. Super winner here two back before racing over the 2040m at the Valley where I thought he was a near good thing. Just thought Noonan waited too long to get going and he allowed Al Galayel to creep towards and that horse clearly is more brilliant and got there in the end. Masculino is a tough bugger who needs decent riding for around the last 600m or so. Gets that here and I think he’ll be too good.

2 Beauty Way (Bet Now: $3.80) looks suited up to 2000m on a bigger track. Did run over this trip at the Valley in the Al Galayel race and for mine he was just left flat footed when the sprint went on. No chance after that but stuck on and was solid to the line. Two time winner at the trip so should improve off that and has claims in a very winnable race on his best form.

7 Second Bullet (Bet Now: $4.80) is an interesting runner. Danny O’Brien trains this galloper, who hasn’t raced since the Werribee Cup in early December when running a solid second to dominant winner Mahamedeis. Tends to save his best for Flemington, good on the fresh and overall, this doesn’t appear to be a strong race so he won’t need to improve much to figure in the finish.

Want to give 12 Gina’s Hope (Bet Now: $9.00) another chance. First two runs this time in were outstanding, each resulting in fab wins. She then raced at Caulfield on Boxing Day and on face value, I thought she was disappointing, but looking at the replay and the sectionals, she just had too much to do from the back. Run had merit I thought, so up to 1400m, and now on the better track, she should be better off.

2 Flying Krupt (Bet Now: $5.00) is a Phillip Stokes trained mare who is in career best form at the moment. She has won her past three, the first two coming at home at Morphettville before racing at Caulfield on Boxing Day over 1400m where she was given a lovely steer from Williams and duly saluted. Hardest test to date against some nice types here, but hard to knock a mare with a picket fence.

5 Hussy’s Glow (Bet Now: $26.00) is a Patrick Payne trained mare who trialled just fair prior to resuming at Moonee Valley where she was wide throughout and didn’t finish off due to the hard run when down the track behind Castelo. Has run well second up before, placing four times from six second up attempts. She could easily bounce back with the right run.

9 Chauffeur (Bet Now: $13.00) is a fascinating runner. Formerly with Brad Widdup but is now with Darren Weir and has his first run for the new stable. Still has his manhood but I’d suspect, like Ringerdingding, it’s on thin ice. His best would see him spank these and comes here off the back of a recent jumpout at Terang where he was off the speed but when asked for an effort, the turn of foot was evident. Best is good enough to win.

7 Order Of Command (Bet Now: $2.35) is low flying this time in for Danny O’Brien. Both runs this prep have resulted in dominant wins down the straight here, the latest coming on New Years Day when ridden superbly by Olly again. Does seem to save his best for the straight course and though this is his hardest test to date, I’m confident he can measure up and go close.

4 Invincible Al…(Bet Now: $4.20) I still can’t get over his run on Cox Plate Day where he was a moral beaten. Has run a couple of times and has been a mixture of unlucky and held. Unlucky not to win here two back behind Our Luca but I thought Punch rode him a treat at Flemington last time. Just found Whispering Brook too good. He’s got the awful racing pattern, but will be savaging the line late.

Up to 1400m, I’m keen on 12 Manolo Blahniq (Bet Now: $4.00). If this was at Caulfield, he’d be the bet of the month, but I still like him at Headquarters. Fabulous efforts in both runs this time in, resuming at Pakenham and closing off strongly before a close up second to native Soldier in the Christmas Stakes. Looks perfectly suited third up at 1400m. The Flemington record doesn’t read great, but the first two efforts were as a three year old, where he was no good, but the last two have been excellent without luck.

5 Call Me Handsome (Bet Now: $10.00) is the interesting runner. Peter Gelagotis trains this galloper, who trialled poorly at Moe prior to resuming in the Standish where he looked to get the right run in transit but couldn’t come on behind Whispering Brook. Back around a bending track, up to 1400m with the run under the belt, he’ll be better off…but for now, I want to see him rather than back.

9 George Patton (Bet Now: $27.00) gets one last chance to prove himself before a life ban. He’s looked a star at the trials but has become costly to follow on race day, showing nothing of the horse that’s been trialling up a storm. Disappointing return behind Native Soldier but back on his home track and the cross over nose band is on, hopefully to straighten him out.

Have to give respect to 5 I Am Someone (Bet Now: $2.15). Looked to have a case of the second up syndrome two back at Ballarat behind I Am Queen before going to Bendigo, back to provincial grade, and he absolutely bolted in. Should have won first up but had no luck. He’s hard fit now and he finds a very winnable race to start the picket fence next to his name.

The form around 8 Vainstream (Bet Now: $6.50) is good enough to feature in the finish. This John Pascoe trained gelding resumed with a close up third at Cranbourne behind Miss Toorak Flyer before racing down the straight here and being okay behind Usain Bowler. Winners of both of those races are at the Gold Coast for the Magic Millions and are high up in markets for their respective races, so the form reads well and he draws the right part of the track.

3 Wind Force (Bet Now: $18.00) is a Hayes/Dabernig trained gelding who will be on speed and giving his all. Sat on speed over 1200m at Mornington last time and gave a good kick but just tired late when third to Rossman. Placed in his lone run down the straight and if he get to the front of the pack without spending too many petrol tickets, third up, he’ll give a great sight.

BEST BET: Race Five Number 3 Masculino

NEXT BEST: Race Three Number 5 Silentz

LONG SHOT: Race Seven Number 9 Chauffeur

Quaddie Tips (Races Six Through To Nine):

Leg One: 2, 3, 5, 12

Leg Two: 4, 5, 7, 9

Leg Three: 3, 5, 9, 12, 13

Leg Four: 3, 5, 8, 13, 14

$50 Investment= 12.50% of the dividend if successful

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