1/11/2017 Horse Racing Tips and Best Bets – Bendigo, Bendigo Cup day

A bumper ten race card has been assembled for Bendigo this Wednesday where it is Bendigo Cup Day. The weather is overcast, the track is good (4) and the rail is in the true position for the entire circuit.

WATCH LIVE RACING AT

Not the most inspiring race to kick off Cup Day but I think 5 Flash Cash (Bet Now: $2.80) can get away with this. Resumed on Moe Cup day where he was hard in the market and after sitting on speed, he gave a decent kick but had to settle for a narrow second to Tezlah. Should come right on from that and rates highly.

6 Premo Momento (Bet Now: $12.00) is a Hayes/Dabernig trained gelding who resumed with a second on the Pakenham Synthetic before going to Seymour where he had market support but was disappointing I thought behind Light Romance. Happy to overlook that outing and give him another go here back in depth.

2 Paradise Cove (Bet Now: $21.00) was first up when racing over 1200m at Ballarat around three weeks back and I really liked the way he closed off his race despite being a near rank outsider when third to impressive winner I Have Arrived. That form does read well for this and he should have natural improvement.

2 Perfectionist (Bet Now: $9.50) is a local trained by Shaun Dwyer. This bloke resumed over 1000m at Donald where he sat in the second half of the field and worked home strongly late to run second to I Love Champagne. Debut run this time last year was in a hot maiden and I like that the stable are stepping him straight up to 1400m.

10 Vinland (Bet Now: $2.50) is the big watch here. Beautifully bred colt for Tony McEvoy that is first up here after a near year break. Hasn’t raced since the Inglis Nursery at Randwick where he was wide and did too much work behind the Slipper winner She Will Reign. Been given a really good break and his trials leading in have been fabulous. Just want to see what the market does.

1 Magic Thor is a Gerald Egan trained son of Helmet who has been solid enough in two runs back from a break. Just looked in need of the run fresh at Benalla behind One Hellofa Family before going to Wangaratta where he closed off nicely late when third to Super Snob, both maidens looking to have depth. Should do no work from the gate and is a definite for exotics.

2 Big Phil (Bet Now: $2.45) gets the nod for me here. Tough watch two back on Grand Final Day at Mornington behind Gold Fields given he had no luck. He then went to Cranbourne where he tried very hard but just found I Am The Dark too tough. Now he has had the mile run under the belt, he’ll be better off, and he finds a very winnable race here.

1 Knowable (Bet Now: $3.80) is a Steve Richards trained type who had good market support when racing at this track/distance on Caulfield Cup Day and looked home everywhere bar the winning post when nutted right on the peg by My Gustavo. Needs a soft sit to see out the mile I think so dragging back to last and having final say might be his go.

I think 3 Hell On Earth (Bet Now: $6.00) is the big improver here. He ran over 1400m at Kyneton a couple of Tuesdays back and it was a return to form as he savaged the line from the back to run second to Vladivostok. He is a horse that when he finds form, he generally holds. Bit of depth to this race, but with that good run and an inside gate, has to be respected.

4 Villa Rosa (Bet Now: $3.10) is a smart mare for the Aaron Purcell yard who has a good little record next to her name. Absolutely awful fresh at Cranbourne behind Villa Rosa before bouncing back at Mornington where she was given a sweet steer by Oliver and the breaks went her way to win. Draw is a touch awkward but Baster is one of the form Melbourne riders at the moment.

1 Balancing Act (Bet Now: $3.80) is a Brent Stanley trained galloper who didn’t do a bad job fresh in a 955m race on Moir night behind Super Too before going to Randwick where he had specking at longer odds but dumped the rider as the gates opened. Hard to know where he is at, but on his best form, he’s a knockout chance.

2 All About Nicci is a tough, tough campaigner for the Kym Hann team. She hasn’t raced since October 6 over the 1000m at the Valley where she got back in the run and I thought she closed off quite well behind New York Celebrity in a race that has turned out to be a decent form reference. Good record on her home track and is well in at the weights.

Taking the chance on 1 Painte (Bet Now: $4.00). Former Joe Pride runner having his first start for the Weir camp. He’s a talented horse when on song but he can be quite hit and miss at times. I will say that his Sydney form is much better to anything else engaged here, and he did trial up well earlier in the month at Echuca.

2 Thronum (Bet Now: $1.75) is another interesting runner. Former Waterhouse/Bott runner having it’s first run for the Hayes/Dabernig team. This bloke hasn’t raced for nearly 14 months since finishing down the track behind Impending in the Stan Fox. He was a classy three year old, but just a level down below the top shelf. Recent jump out was very encouraging and I’d watch the market.

5 Del Piero (Bet Now: $12.00) has been given a near month off since racing over 1100m at Ballarat where he did his usual thing of getting back in the run and producing a booming finish, this time just missing out when a close up third to Cleopatra’s Glory. He is a horse kept best on the fresh side and senior jock takes over.

8 Pirapala (Bet Now: $2.60) on top. Hayes/Dabernig trained mare for China Horse Club that was an overall drifter in betting when resuming in a Tatura maiden and while I don’t think she beat much, she did show a lovely turn of foot when asked for the big effort and did clock some fast splits relative to the day. She can measure up here.

4 Shaquin (Bet Now: $9.00) is a son of Savabeel for Danny O’Brien who resumed over 1200m at Sale where he was seemingly given every chance by James Winks in the run and loomed large to win but his condition just gave way late when third to Tax Free. I think the little freshen up and back to 1100m are big ticks.

10 Club Tropicana (Bet Now: $10.00) is a talented mare that is first up for the Ellerton/Zahra team. This mare has some decent city form from last prep, including a run behind Snitty Kitty at Caulfield. Does have a very good fresh record and her recent jump out indicates she is near forward enough to run well.

6 Tamasa (Bet Now: $5.50) looks one of the better bets on the card for mine. Darren Weir trained son of So You Think who rode a hot speed on debut at the Bool, and for a horse having its first start, that’s hardly ideal. But, he absorbed, put the leader away and dashed clear to win impressively despite doing plenty wrong and smashing the clock. Very confident he’ll measure up here.

2 I Have Arrived (Bet Now: $4.60) is a Mick Price trained youngster that landed some big bets when resuming with an absolute spank job of his rivals in a Ballarat maiden under Noel Callow. Sat near the speed, looked to be bolting and then when Callow asked for more, he exploded. Just has to overcome the sticky gate.

11 Shagra (Bet Now: $10.00) is a talented filly that is now with David Briedoake after formerly being with Sam Pritchard-Gordon. This girl hasn’t raced since score a fab maiden win at Geelong where she made a decent run on the turn and sustained it out wide to keep going and win. The break between runs is the concern, but if she’s right, she’ll go close.

3 Kiwia (Bet Now: $2.70) gets the nod. Talented animal for the Darren Weir camp who did a great job to win the Coongy on Caulfield Cup. Yes it was a small field, but still, he defied the track pattern and sustained a 600m-700m burst to get the win. He’ll eat up the 2400m, he’s hard fit, in form and has been set for this race.

1 Qewy (Bet Now: $2.50) goes in but could I touch him at $2.80 opening price? No way. Just so many unknowns with him. How has he settled into Werribee? Is he going as well as this time last year? How forward is he seeings he could run in the Melbourne Cup? Off his two 2017 runs, I couldn’t back him, but if I knew for sure he was in his 2016 form, he’d be a moral.

4 Big Memory (Bet Now: $8.00) was a real eye catcher in the Moe Cup I thought. Had the blinkers for the first time and they seemed to really spark him into action. He relaxed sweetly and though he lacked the turn of foot, he hit the line with purpose. I think if the top two are off their game, he’s the one now he’s got the run with the blinkers under the belt and is out to a more ideal trip.

1 Dubai King (Bet Now: $15.00) looks a great value play. Josh Julius trained galloper who ran over 1300m at Geelong last time out where he attempted to lead all the way under Melissa Julius and did give a kick but his condition gave out when seventh to Another Coldie. Got a really good record at Bendigo, maps well and will be silly odds.

4 As Bad As Tyson (Bet Now: $7.00) closed off well two back at Echuca behind Foreign Affair before being freshened up and racing at Leeton where he was heavily backed and he defied the track pattern to score a dominant win, admittedly not against much, but that Leeton does suit leaders big time and he gave them a start and a beating.

7 Mr Churchill (Bet Now: $10.00) is a Greg Eurell trained gelding who had a bit of market support when resuming on Moe Cup Day but he just looked in need of the run to my eye behind Hokkaido. Goes good second up and the bigger track and up to 1400m are big ticks for this son of Churchill Downs. Knockout chance.

6 Saddle The Sun (Bet Now: $4.00) to make it three from three in the get out. Confidently supported on Cranbourne Cup Day in what looked a strong race and despite a few nervous moments, Regan Bayliss got him clear air at the right time and he savaged the line to win. Very promising type and drawn out is ideal for him.

8 Got The Moves (Bet Now: $6.50) is a lightly raced five year old for Team Corstens who started the prep with a couple of sharp wins over 1100m here before racing over 1200m at Pakenham under the lights where he tried really hard when a close up third to the above average and Saturday class runner Toy Boy. Back to Bendigo, up to 1300m, hard fit…ticks a lot of boxes.

4 Soju Warrior (Bet Now: $4.50) is a talented son of New Approach that is first up here for Mark Kavanagh. This bloke ran some good races in the Autumn for Kav, ending the prep in the Adelaide Guineas with a close up fifth to Vienna Miss. Jump outs have been quite good and he did score a dominant win fresh last prep.

BEST BET: Race Eight Number 3 Kiwia

NEXT BEST: Race Ten Number 6 Saddle The Sun

VALUE: Race Nine Number 1 Dubai King

Quaddie Tips (Races Seven Through To Ten):

Leg One: 2, 4, 6, 11

Leg Two: 1, 3

Leg Three: 1, 3, 4, 6, 7, 8

Leg Four: 6, 8

$50 Investment= 104.16% of the dividend if successful

Bookmaker	Why Bet	Sign Up	Full Review
	Back Yourself with Ladbrokes!	Join	Review
	Back a Winner with Neds!	Join	Review
	Sign up to Unibet and start betting in minutes!	Join	Review
	Sign up to swiftbet and start betting in minutes!	Join	Review
	Sign up to Unibet and start betting in minutes!	Join	Review