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The Tassie Racing Carnival continues at Hobart this Sunday where the feature race is the $250,000 Group lll Sky Racing Hobart Cup (2400m). The weather is overcast, the track is good (4) and the rail is out three metres for the entire circuit.

Race 1. (13:03) Tasmanian Horse Transport Maiden 1200m

Back Me

10 Levissi (Bet Now: $2.25) looks well placed here. Al Maher mare that ran over 1400m at this track last time out where I thought Nikita gave her every chance in the run and for the most part, she looked home, but was nabbed right on the peg by The Decider. Draws a lovely gate and I think back to 1200m is a big tick.

Danger

7 The Last Godfather (Bet Now: $4.20) is a High Chaparral gelding making his Tassie debut for the Julie Richards team. This bloke had three runs in New South Wales where he ran okay but didn’t quite measure up. Resumes with no trials, but very interesting that the stable finds Avdulla to steer first up. Well respected in the market also.

Long Shot

I think the watch horse is clearly 4 Seize Them All (Bet Now: $23.00). Former Victorian making his Tassie debut for the astute Scott Brunton team. Did nothing when racing on the main land, but I find it very interesting that the horse hasn’t had a public trial, which is really against the norm for the stable because they nearly always publicly trial. Definite market watch.

Race 2. (13:37) Tassie Instant Marquees Class 1/Maiden 1600m

Back Me

4 Westwood (Bet Now: $4.00) on top for me. John Blacker trained gelding who should love the rise to the mile after racing over 1400m at Launceston a couple of Wednesday nights back where he missed the kick and was out the back but gee he worked home with purpose late behind Go For It. Looks to have the upside and gets Beau Mertens steering.

Danger

10 Kathonius (Bet Now: $2.80) is an Adam Trinder trained son of Ustinov who has had two runs back from a break and has been very good each time he has stepped out, the latest coming on January 10 on the Devonport Synthetic when second to French Dandy. has to translate to the turf but does get Avdulla steering.

Long Shot

14 Vamarosa (Bet Now: $9.00) is the interesting runner. Adam Trinder trained filly who debuted over the 1400m at Launceston on January 17 and I thought her effort was very good from the back behind Go For It, who franked the form a fortnight later. Think the rise to the mile will be ideal and she gets Ben Allen on.

Race 3. (14:12) Great Northern Super Crisp Handicap (62) 2100m

Back Me

7 Lovely Lady (Bet Now: $4.60) gets the nod. Stuart Gandy trained mare who comes here off the back of a last start win over the mile at Launceston and I thought she was really impressive. Wide no cover throughout yet still appeared to travel really well and once the button was pushed, she kept going and drew clear late. Think the rise to 2100m looks no problem, draws well and gets the claim again.

Danger

8 Strathalbyn (Bet Now: $3.90) is unknown at the trip but he has the right jockey/trainer combo to do something here. He ran over the mile at Hobart last time out and was a real eye catcher, savaging the line from the back to run a close up second to Geegees Lilybet. Racing as if he’ll eat the trip up and Newitt remains on.

Long Shot

1 King Manu (Bet Now: $11.00) looks the big overs here. Clear class runner of the field and I think he gets in really well at the weights with the claim for Chris Graham. Terrible last time out at Launceston but he is much better at Hobart and he gets the blinkers back on, hopefully to sharpen him up. Think he’ll run a bold race.

Race 4. (14:47) Kevin Sharkie Handicap 1100m

Back Me

1 Gee Gee Red Prince (Bet Now: $3.00) on top but only just. He ran over 1200m here last time out at WFA where he came over from the wide gate and slotted into a nice spot before trying to reel in the leaders but just couldn’t quite dash well enough. Should get a lovely run off the pace once again and this looks easier than last time.

Danger

4 Teriki (Bet Now: $4.60) drops a bit in depth too after contesting the Lady Lynette last time out at this track/distance where she was parked off the speed and did come off the bit before the turn but kept finding and stuck on rather gamely in defeat I thought when third to Gee Gee Double Dee. Drops in weight and Newitt sticks.

Long Shot

7 Arpriano (Bet Now: $8.50) is an Equiano gelding racing in really good form at the moment. He led all the way to bolt up over 1200m at Launceston last time out and ran really good time relative to the meeting. Gets in really well at the weights with the claim and was scratched from an easier race on Friday to be saved for this.

Race 5. (15:22) Sky Racing Elwick Stakes 1100m

Back Me

3 Mystic Journey (Bet Now: $2.10) is short enough but I think she has the brilliance to beat these. The Needs Further filly led all the way to win the Alfa Bowl last time out at Launceston under a lovely front running steer from Anthony Darmanin, who remains on. Should lead for fun once again. Just ha to to stretch the brilliance to 1200m.

Danger

5 Call Me Royal (Bet Now: $5.50) is the very interesting runner. Waterhouse/Bott trained filly who trialled up super in Sydney prior to debuting over 1100m here where she had no idea what she was doing but her last 100m was excellent when finishing off for second. Should improve with that run under the belt and have to respect the stable.

Long Shot

8 Exclusively Ours (Bet Now: $46.00) is a Matthew Brown trained filly who was unwanted in betting when debuting at Sale but I thought she was far from disgraced behind Al Naifa, who goes around in a Blue Diamond Prelude on Saturday, so by the time this race is run, you’ll know how strong the form is. I’ll respect it for now.

Race 6. (15:57) Magic Millions Thomas Lyons 1400m

Back Me

4 Lord Da Vinci (Bet Now: $2.70) for me in what looks a cracking edition of the Thomas Lyons. Scott Brunton trains this ripper, who scored a super win over 1200m here on January 24 at WFA level, edging clear and winning with a bit in hand. He’ll eat up the 1400m here and at the moment, I trust him more than Hellova Street.

Danger

1 Hellova Street (Bet Now: $1.80) is the class runner of the field but gee he’s short enough for mine in red figures for a horse who has lost his past three starts, last two being at $1.30. Been freshened up for the Carnival and he looked to trial very nicely here last week. If the proper Hellova Street turns up, he wins. Not sure which one turns up.

Long Shot

2 Count Da Vinci (Bet Now: $8.00) is the Moe Cup winner who will be better suited over further and deeper into a prep, but I thought his first up run behind stablemate Lord Da Vinci was a beauty considering he was fresh and over a sprinting trip. Doubt he turns the tables, but he draws to get a good run and has a stack of upside.

Race 7. (16:32) Rosevears Hotel Strutt Stakes 2100m

Back Me

4 Pleasuring (Bet Now: $1.95) on top. Darren Weir trains this filly, who comes off a last start second at Sandown over the mile where she chased hard all the way and was strong to the line and through it when second to Jane’s Angel. That run suggested to me that the extra trip here will be ideal and always respect the stable when they travel.

Danger

1 Pateena Arena (Bet Now: $4.20) is the pick of the locals. just have a query on her at the trip. Won the Thousand Guineas impressively last time out but she did clock off late and half turned it up. The Visors are off now so hopefully that allows her to put her mind to it. If she runs the trip out, she goes close to winning.

Long Shot

8 Maheera (Bet Now: $31.00) looks crazy odds for mine because she is one filly who should have qualms at running the distance. She ran in a 1900m maiden last time out at Kilmore and I think she would have gone close to winning the race had she not wanted to lay in for most of the straight when seemingly full of running. Should get a sweet run out the back and finish off nicely. Just has to bring better manners.

Race 8. (17:08) Sky Racing Hobart Cup 2400m

Back Me

I think each way at around $15+, 5 Up Cups (Bet Now: $12.00) can only run well here. Had been out of form for a little while but I thought his Summer Cup effort behind Fastnet Dragon was a beauty. Got back, took some riding to wind up but I liked his final 200m to run third. Won this race in 2016, no luck last year, I think he can run a ripper in 2018.

Danger

7 Andrea Mantegna (Bet Now: $4.20) is a Darren Weir trained five year old who was heavily backed when racing over the 2250m on the Parks track a tick over two weeks back and despite a few nervous moments on the turn, once Harry got him clear, it was all over and he spanked them. Can only like the rise to 2400m and really, he should go close.

Long Shot

4 Fastnet Dragon (Bet Now: $8.00) has to be respected here. Former Singapore galloper who has had a few runs now in Tassie and comes into this off the back of a last start Summer Cup win where he really toughed it out strongly and was strongest to the peg. His racing style will really suit Avdulla because he is a bit one paced and needs hard riding, and you won’t find a better rider for that scenario than B Avdulla.

Race 9. (17:45) Southern Cross TV Handicap (Class 3) 1200m

Back Me

1 By The Pound (Bet Now: $3.20) is a Scott Brunton trained gelding who was a drifter in betting when resuming over 1100m here on January 28 but I really liked his finale, closing off with real purpose to run a close up fifth to Boart. Extra 100m looks ideal, has the run under the belt and I think he has the potential to sit much closer in the run.

Danger

7 Il Regalo (Bet Now: $4.80) finished fourth in that race won by Boart and I thought his effort was okay considering he was ridden upside down. Recent times he has been ridden cold and finishing off with purpose. I think that is the way to ride him, so if Siggy Carr can slot in and get cover off a likely good speed, he’ll take some beating.

Long Shot

3 Westerly Haze (Bet Now: $8.50) is having his first look at Hobart so it’ll be interesting to see how he handles the bigger track. He hasn’t for just under a fortnight since racing over the 1400m at Launceston where he sat on speed and fought on okay when fifth to Cheers Chappy. Think he can get over from the gate comfortably and I like him back to the six furlongs.

Best Bets & Quaddie Tips

BEST BET: Race Six Number 4 Lord Da Vinci

NEXT BEST: Race One Number 10 Levissi

VALUE: Race Eight Number 5 Up Cups

 

Quaddie Tips (Races Six Through To Nine):

Leg One: 1, 2, 4, 9

Leg Two: 1, 3, 4, 8

Leg Three: 1, 4, 5, 7, 8

Leg Four: 1, 2, 7

$50 Investment= 20.83% of the dividend if successful

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All odds are subject to change. Odds listed are correct at the time of the latest update.

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