Saturday racing in Sydney returns to Randwick this weekend, with eight races to be run and won. The weather is fine, the track is good (3) and the rail is in the true position for the entire circuit.
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Race One (1:00pm) : TAB Place Multi Handicap (95) 1400m: Form Guide
Back Me: Pythagorean (Best Odds: $4.00) drifted alarmingly in betting last time out at Rosehill and the flucs were spot on as the horse could only manage fourth to Red Excitement despite opening favourite. Thin race here and back to a track he has won on should spark improvement, but it looks to be a really tough race to have confidence in.
Big Danger: She’s Clean (Best Odds: $3.30) comes back to Sydney after having most of her prep in Melbourne, where she performed well without winning. She is back where she races best and could very well strike a very thin race. She is also accepted for the Belle Of The Turf on Friday at Gosford, as is Commanding Wit.
Roughie: Eigelstein (Best Odds: $11.00) resumes here for Chris Waller after a pretty ordinary Winter prep. He ran okay here and there, but never threatened to win. In saying that, he was contesting harder races than what he faces here, including a sixth to The Cleaner at the Valley. Trials leading up to this have been quiet, nothing spectacular, but he can produce a run fresh and is another that loves the track.
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Race Two (1:35pm) : Hyland Race Colours Handicap 1000m: Form Guide
Back Me: Godolphin I think will win the Sydney two year old race again, this time thanks to Maternal (Best Odds: $3.90), who is a well bred type by Street Cry out of former champion mare Divine Madonna. This filly has only had the one barrier trial, back on December 22 at Warwick Farm, where she looked very impressive in winning under a strangle hold from Sam Clipperton. The time was nothing flash, but as I said, she wasn’t let go. Stable is always flying and John O’Shea has always stated that his best two year olds will be on display after Christmas. Hoping this is one of them.
Big Danger: Counterattack (Best Odds: $6.50) is returning to the track for Chris Waller after a strong debut on his home track at Rosehill back in November where he ran third to Single Gaze. He cruised up to win 250m out, and looked home, but being on debut, I don’t think he had any idea on how to put his rivals away. Recent Randwick trial was excellent and does have the race experience and full preparation under his belt.
Roughie: Upstart (Best Odds: $13.00) is on debut for Paul Messara after a nice trial win recently on his home track at Scone, winning and running slick time. He takes on some smart babies here, but the stable know how to place them, and he is very well bred.
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Race Three (2:15pm) : Drummond Golf Handicap (72) 1150m: Form Guide
Back Me: Meursault (Best Odds: $3.65) on top for me. I thought he was going to be one of the stars of the Spring after a stunning debut win on the Hawkesbury stand alone program, but he had no luck at all when resuming in a drama filled Up And Coming when Liberation proved to be a real nutcase. He was immediately spelled and has since trialled twice, the latest coming on December 30 when third to another potential star stablemate in Sarajevo. If he is anywhere near right, he’ll blow these away.
Big Danger: Kaepernick (Best Odds: $4.80) won brilliantly two back at Wyong, then went to Rosehill a couple of weeks back and was simply dreadful as an odds on pop when seventh of nine to Testashadow. He is beautifully bred and the maiden win at Wyong was stunning, so I can forgive him for one failure.
Roughie: Vandemonian (Best Odds: $15.00) comes to town after putting away an average lot first up in a Newcastle maiden. He did a bit wrong in the run, but he was very strong late. Recent trial was solid and go back to his debut run, he was only four lengths of Hallowed Crown, a subsequent Group l winner.
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Race Four (2:50pm) : J.B. (Barry) Maher Memorial Handicap (80) 1400m: Form Guide
Back Me: This can’t be a Saturday race can it? Dear me…Well we need to find three winning chances, and I think the best of those is Chestnut Road (Best Odds: $3.70), who trialled really well twice prior to his first up run here on Boxing Day when motoring home from the back to run third to Montiro, beaten about a half length. That was his first run in 12 months, so the obvious query is that he might race flat second up, but the first up run was too good to ignore.
Big Danegr: Tarangower (Best Odds: $3.40) is first up since August when running a close up second to Mr Scary over 1800m here. He is a very good first up horse, in fact winning first up last time in, and he has been given two trials to prepare for his return to racing. B Shinn booked is a good lead.
Roughie: Perfect Weapon (Best Odds: $8.00) has been a touch ordinary in three runs back from a spell, including last start when seventh to Red Excitement. He sat outside Red Excitement, who had a picnic in front, so he was entitled to finish off better, but he was the first horse beat. A significant drop in class and a senior rider aboard now could spark improvement.
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Race Five (3:30pm) : TAB Rewards Handicap (80) 1300m: Form Guide
Back Me: In another tricky race, I’m putting Frill Seeking (Best Odds: $8.00) on top. I was on her at a price last time out at Canterbury and she just failed to pick up Cleanse, finishing a 0.7L fourth. That run was on December 17, but she did trial really nicely at Randwick on December 30 when fourth to Role Model. She races best when produced on the fresh side and she strikes a winnable race.
Big Danger: Holy Delusions (Best Odds: $5.50) was very plain last Saturday at Rosehill, sitting out the back and doing zilch when let down. In saying that, the track was favouring leaders, especially her race with the first three out being the first three home. Clenton on board is no disadvantage in replacing Glyn Schofield, and the mare gets in really well at the weights.
Roughie: Medusa’s Miss (Best Odds: $4.20) got galloped on first up when fifth to Single Melody, then she ran at Rosehill and worked home strongly when third to Kristy Lee, who has since run well. Her record at Randwick isn’t great, but she looks to have found form and draws a gun gate for an in form jockey.
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Race Six (4:10pm) : Declaration Of War @ Coolmore Plate 1600m: Form Guide
Back Me: The Alfonso (Best Odds: $2.30) for me here. He sat wide and stuck on well first up behind Commanding Wit, then ran third to the low flying Vashka, beaten three lengths. Third up at the mile against this lot looks ideal and he should take some beating, despite rising in class and only dropping half a kilo from last start.
Big Danger: Big watch on the fresh run from Diametric (Best Odds: $6.50). He hasn’t been seen since the Autumn, where at his Australian debut he was backed as if unbeatable in the Sky High, but did plenty wrong before bumping into wet tracks at his next two. Trials leading up to this have been sharp and can run really well first up. Watch betting moves.
Roughie: Keep a close eye on the new import for Chris Waller here, Gosh (Best Odds: $13.00). She’s a five year old mare having her first run in Australia after a good record in France where she won three of nine and was competitive at blacktype level. Based on her trial, I am tipping whatever she does here she will improve on with added fitness and journey, but these imports should always be respected.
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Race Seven (4:50pm) : James Boag’s Premium Handicap (90) 1000m: Form Guide
Back Me: Despite the hefty impost, I am going to put The Peak (Best Odds: $16.00) on top. He is an injury plagued galloper who hasn’t been seen since August when running a close second to Oakfield Commands at Rosehill. Before that he ran behind the likes of Avoid Lightning and Generalife and performed admirably, plus he looked good winning a recent barrier trial here. Can run well fresh and looks well suited at this level to kick off his prep.
Big Danger: Agent (Best Odds: $8.50) comes back home after doing a national tour which saw him run at Doomben two back when fourth to Whiskey Allround, then going down the Flemington straight when eighth to Play Master. I don’t think he handle the wet track and straight course respectively, so I think he can be forgiven. Back home now, should get a cold ride and a hot speed in front of him. Those two elements can see him win this.
Roughie: Inside Job (Best Odds: $3.80) is absolutely flying this prep without winning and without having much luck. That was typified last start at Rosehill where he lumped 59.5kg, sat three and four wide with no cover yet still hit the line strongly when third to Craftiness, beaten just under three lengths. It’ll be interesting to see what bookies do with him, because I get the feeling he will open up quite short. Nonetheless, he’ll still prove hard to beat now dropping down to 52kg.
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Race Eight (5:30pm) : TAB.com.au Handicap (75) 1800m: Form Guide
Back Me: Going for some value in the last in the shape of Nadacheva (Best Odds: $34.00). She worked home very strongly at Wyong two back behind His Majesty, who ran well here on Boxing Day. Nadacheva then went to Warwick Farm, was well backed at a price and worked home well near the inside when sixth to Great Esteem, beaten four lengths. Nadacheva does get a weight pull on Great Esteem now and I think she will be better suited on a bigger track.
Big Danger: Great Esteem (Best Odds: $4.60) has won three from three since joining Team Snowden, including that Warwick Farm win where he really had to dig deep and overhaul Darci’s Affair right on the peg. He was guilty of being a non winner and not wanting to find the line, but whatever Team Snowden are doing, it’s working a treat. The 3kg claim for Koby Jennings is being perfectly used, no qualms with 1800m and is on his home track.
Roughie: Emerald City (Best Odds: $4.60) worked home strongly for third to Great Esteem at Warwick Farm, without getting a great deal of luck early on in the straight. He is only third up now and her last third up run was over 2000m here and he was only two lengths of Off The Rails. McEvoy rides, drawn the paint…hard to beat.
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BEST BET: Race Two Number 8 Maternal
NEXT BEST: Race Four Number 6 Chestnut Road
VALUE: Race Eight Number 6 Nadacheva
Quaddie Tips (Races Five Through To Eight):
Leg One: 1, 3, 4, 6, 7, 8
Leg Two: 2, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 10
Leg Three: 2, 3, 6, 7
Leg Four: 1, 2, 4, 5, 6, 9
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All odds are subject to change. Odds listed are correct at the time of the latest update.
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