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Nine races will be run and won at Mornington on Monday. The weather forecast is for showers, the track is heavy (8) and the rail is in the true position for the entire circuit.

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Race 1. (11:50) Mornington Nissan Handicap 1000m

Back Me

Like the way that 10 Careless Whisper (Bet Now: $6.00) has looked at the trials and confident she runs well here on debut. Looked decent enough on speed in a Flemington jumpout before trialling at Werribee and was one of the standout performers of the morning, bolting up under Jamie Kah and running sharp time relative to the morning. Looks talented and happy to be with her.

Danger

5 Sizzlefly (Bet Now: $1.55) is the really interesting runner. Talented filly for Phillip Stokes who makes her return to racing after debuting in mid January on the Parks track at Morphettville where she took on three rivals yet won by over eight lengths and ran sizzling late splits. Been given a good break and looks spot on off the back of a Moe jumpout win a couple of weeks ago when on speed and drawing clear late under no pressure. Hard to beat.

Long Shot

Have to give 6 Archery Butts (Bet Now: $5.50) another chance. He trialled up enormous for James Cummings prior to debuting down the straight where on face value, he was awful behind Sebrakate, but was found to have had Mucus post race, so a total forgive. Trialled too well to dismiss off just one poor run and as we’ve seen this season, stable rarely get it wrong with youngsters.

Race 2. (12:25) Stellar Plate 1200m

Back Me

16 Yulong Stride (Bet Now: $15.00) gets the nod for me. The Snowden camp trains this colt, who hasn’t raced since debuting at Bendigo in February when a closing fourth to the above average Yulong Savings, making ground after getting back in the run. Been given a good break, given a quiet trial at Werribee behind a subsequent winner in Skiddaw, but was most impressive in a recent Flemington jumpout. Think he’s ready to go on debut.

Danger

1 Busby (Bet Now: $8.00) is a son of Helmet for Grahame Begg who was kept very safe in betting when debuting at Sale back on May 14 where he was just behind the speed and held up for a few strides but for the most part, had his chance when running fifth, beaten a few lengths. Now on his home track from an inside gate, should take improvement from the debut and prove hard to beat.

Long Shot

14 Delta Grey (Bet Now: $5.00) is a Cindy Alderson trained filly who is bred to get further and that is certainly how it played out on debut at Sandown when back in the run and making ground late behind impressive winner Eclair Breeze. The winkers go on to sharpen her up, which is what’s needed given she remains at 1200m where I think 1400m would be more suitable. One to watch because she does appear to have ability.

Race 3. (13:00) Bentons Square Plate 1200m

Back Me

2 Fight (Bet Now: $3.30) on top in a tricky race. Nikki Burke trains this son of Fighting Sun, who is on the quick back up after racing last Monday on a bottomless Moe surface when near the speed throughout and fought on well when running a close second to Darmasun. Has showed in both career outings that he’ll handle a wet track so with rain on the cards, he looks a relatively safe option.

Danger

5 Rock Tycoon…(Bet Now: $3.70) good luck backing him, because he has burned some serious holes in the pockets of punters in his short career to date. Resumed over 1000m here where he was wide for the most part but looked to be bolting under Dwayne Dunn. The real concern is that when he was asked for the effort, he went backwards and paddled. Wet track is the clear query…that, or he’s a camel. Time will tell.

Long Shot

15 Super Flare (Bet Now: $11.00) is a daughter of Fighting Sun for Pat Carey that resumes. This girl debuted at Pakenham on March 14 when back off the speed and was held up for a period of time but got clear and found the line strongly when second to Alidade in a race which has produced a couple of winners. Home track and gate one, she certainly looks a key chance.

Race 4. (13:35) Mornington Car & Services Plate 2000m

Back Me

Up to 2000m, quite keen here on the Tony McEvoy trained 1 Censored (Bet Now: $6.00). He was a few weeks between runs when racing over 1700m at Geelong where he got too far back in an on pace dominated affair. Was held up early on in the straight also but got out and found the line well. He’ll eat up 2000m and if he doesn’t give away so much of a start this time, he’ll take some beating.

Danger

10 Jungle Jane (Bet Now: $2.80) has been good in two runs back from a spell for the Tolson/Proctor stable. Last run came a tick over two weeks back at Cranbourne over the mile when back in the run but making good ground late to run second to Wild Breeze. Up to 2000m on the home track looks ideal, draws a sweet gate, Maskiell on, has run well on wet ground before and hopefully can take use of the good draw.

Long Shot

8 Fiorena (Bet Now: $10.00) looks to be knocking on the door to break the maiden tag for the David Briedoake stable. Ran over 2000m under the lights at Cranbourne last time out where she was held up for a few strides at a vital stage when looking to build momentum and you could easily make a case that she should have won. Better luck this time around and she’ll go close.

Race 5. (14:10) The Norman Waymouth Handicap (64) 2000m

Back Me

11 Tata Da Goose (Bet Now: $2.80) on top but with a great deal of confidence. Wez Hunter does have this mare flying though, having won over 2200m at Sale last time out, leading all the way under Jess Eaton and was just too tough. Home track with genuine give in the ground and with only 54kg on her back after the claim, she does look one of the safer options in this field.

Danger

9 Shake On It (Bet Now: $6.00) is an Anthony Freedman trained three year old who can bounce back if he brings his best. Ran over the mile at Bendigo last time where he was a fraction keen in the run and couldn’t finish his race off behind the above average galloper Harbour Views. On breeding, the 2000m should be fine and with the blinkers off, hoping he can relax better in the run.

Long Shot

I’m sure Eric Musgrove has jumping in mind for 8 Youl Dash For Cash (Bet Now: $8.00), so interesting to see what he does here. Ran in the Tata Da Goose race mentioned above when wide and doing work in the run. Was entitled to finish near last but fought on well and was one of the better runs in the race to finish fifth. Back to 2000m does look a little negative, but he’ll be strong late if it’s a testing 2000m.

Race 6. (14:45) Clanbrooke - Andrew Doman Handicap (64) 1200m

Back Me

Does look a nice race for 7 Really Swish (Bet Now: $2.30), who has been solid enough in two runs back from a spell. Liked the way he closed off first up at Sandown behind Not Enough Effort before finishing behind that horse down the Flemington straight after getting too far back. Can sit much closer in the run this time around from the good draw and Williams is back on.

Danger

Not sure how good 3 Remastered (Bet Now: $3.70) is. Tony Noonan trains this gelding, who debuted at this track/distance and despite doing work in the run, he was far too strong and was impressive in winning I thought. Clearly more depth this time around but is trained on the track and did look to have improvement condition wise leading up to the debut. Interesting to see how he goes.

Long Shot

12 Ardee (Bet Now: $11.00) is a Robbie Griffiths trained gelding who comes here in solid enough form after racing over 1200m on a bog track at Sale last time when getting the suck run near the speed and tried hard, but was no match for the brilliant finale produced by the well supported Kung Fu Fighter. Tricky draw, but will handle a track with give in it and hopefully can get a drag into the race.

Race 7. (15:20) Progress Signs Handicap (64) 1200m

Back Me

The best version of 8 Fast Fever (Bet Now: $6.00) is certainly better than this lot. Was hot on him when he resumed at Hamilton and on face value, I thought his run was rather ordinary despite running fourth, beaten 0.7L, but was found to be lame post race, so a clear excuse for him. He had trialled up enormous prior to that, so have to give him another chance here.

Danger

4 Uber Ed (Bet Now: $6.00) is a Tassie raider for Scott Brunton who comes here a few weeks between runs after racing over 1100m at Launceston on a day where the track was very tricky, with the outside rail being the best ground. This bloke was wide throughout and stuck on really well in defeat. Needs luck from the draw but think there is enough talent under the hood.

Long Shot

7 Ancient Echoes (Bet Now: $11.00) is a George Osborne trained gelding who had his first run for the stable on the Pakenham Synthetic when just off the speed and tried quite hard when fourth to Aluf. Has run well on wet ground before when trained by Darren Weir and did trial up well on a wet track prior to the resumption. Certainly got the ability to beat these if he’s right.

Race 8. (15:55) The Jack Watson Memorial (70) 1000m

Back Me

11 Divi (Bet Now: $3.50) looks a handy enough filly for the Scott Brunton stable who resumed on the Pakenham Synthetic track when running along at a decent clip in front and fought on very well when second to the well performed sprinter, The Mayor. Looks the leader, 2kg claim for a good rider of front runners in Michael Poy and is 2/2 on wet ground. Very likeable here.

Danger

Back on the turf track, 12 Belzella (Bet Now: $4.00) could easily bounce back here. She resumed on the Ballarat Synthetic where she was an odds on pop and on face value, she was poor, but just don’t think she was 100% happy on the surface. Have to give her another chance on the turf because she had trialled well leading up to that. Also gets the claim for McFarlane.

Long Shot

5 Capannello (Bet Now: $8.50) is a few weeks between runs for the Robbie Griffiths stable. Last raced at Sale on May 14 when just off the speed and trying hard behind Blazejowski, who bolted up at Sandown to frank the form. Does seem to race best with fresh legs and from the inside gate, he’ll get every chance and form on wet ground isn’t too bad. Knockout chance for sure.

Race 9. (16:30) Elevare Consultants Handicap (70) 1500m

Back Me

If he reproduces anything similar to the first up win, 9 Okotoks (Bet Now: $4.50) wins again I feel. The Price/Kent trained four year old resumed at Cranbourne where he was back in the run and was looking unlikely, but he savaged the line late and got up to beat Brutal Power. Does seem to race best early on in a prep and a wet track should be fine, plus Lachie King remains on.

Danger

5 Come On Carl (Bet Now: $9.00) is an absolute beauty for the Tolson/Proctor stable. Resumed over 1200m at Cranbourne where the tempo was just too slow for him to dash and win, with the leader Explicitly getting a picnic in front and dashing too good late. Draws wide, but on the home track, can come over if given a dig in the ribs and was scratched from Flemington in preference for this.

Long Shot

13 Dabiyr (Bet Now: $9.00) is a former Irish galloper making his Australian debut for Chris Waller. This bloke did race over a middle distance range when over there and performed well in three runs. Now with Waller, been given a couple of trials in readiness for his Australian debut and despite being keen on Okotoks, overall, this isn’t a strong race, so he doesn’t have to be a star to figure.

Best Bets & Quaddie Tips

BEST BET: Race Seven Number 8 Fast Fever

NEXT BEST: Race Four Number 1 Censored

LONG SHOT: Race Two Number 16 Yulong Stride

 

Quaddie Tips (Races Six Through To Nine):

Leg One: 3, 7, 8, 12

Leg Two: 8

Leg Three: 3, 5, 11, 12

Leg Four: 5, 7, 9, 13, 19

$50 Investment = 62.50% of the dividend if successful

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