10/3/2021 Horse Racing Tips and Best Bets – Sandown

Eight races have been set down for Sandown Lakeside this Wednesday. The weather is fine, the track is good (4) and the rail is out three metres for the entire circuit.

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Open maiden to kick the meeting off. I’ll go with the first starter 5 Engage (Bet Now: $6.50) for Team Hawkes. Didn’t show a great deal in two Sydney trials during the Spring. Spelled, now at the Flemington stable and her two jumpouts this prep to get ready have been more than enough to my eye to suggest a winning debut is within reach.

2 Prince Of Mercia (Bet Now: $2.50) has talent under the hood, but I feel the Douglas/Kah combination is always overbet due to punters having the very talented Barocha in their mind. Newsflash: Not every horse Clayton Douglas trains has the ability of Barocha, and certainly not this horse given he does plenty wrong, but he’s got enough ability to take this out.

Interesting that 8 Wyld Savanna (Bet Now: $5.50) was scratched from a much easier maiden at Cranbourne last Friday night to be saved for this. Kept safe in betting when resuming in a Kyneton maiden. She was near the speed throughout and battled away well when third. Presses forward here and will give a sight.

Bludger of a staying race this with only two genuine winning hopes to my eye. 1 Field Of Lights (Bet Now: $2.70) is likely on a jumps path, like most here, but he’s done a good job on the flat his past two, winning impressively both times, even though they have been highweight races, which can be fraught with danger as a form reference, but he’s hard fit, in form and strikes a thin race.

2 Guns Ablazing (Bet Now: $1.70) is the one with the best form to win this. Just a query of whether or not he will get a strong 3000m but the lack of depth and J Kah steering are the big ticks. On speed over 2500m at the Valley last time and battled away well when third to Fanciful Toff. That reads well for a race like this.

6 Director’s Cut (Bet Now: $27.00) can fill a first four spot. He ran second to Field Of Lights at Colac last time out. Had a suck run behind the speed and fought on okay in defeat, beaten just over a length. Does get a weight pull on that horse here and though still a maiden, as I said, this race as a whole is thin.

Expecting a ride with intent from Matty Cartwright aboard 6 He’s The Reel Deel (Bet Now: $7.50). The two times this horse has led, he has won each time and has been dominant, including last start at Kilmore under a great front running steer from Logan McNeil. 51kg on his back, hopefully he’ll make sure this is truly run.

1 Shepard (Bet Now: $3.30) is a progressive stayer for Peter Moody that was pretty plain two back at Bendigo. Stable decided to back him up a few days later over 2400m on the Hillside track and Will Price rode a perfect race in front, proving much too good. Even with the weight, he’s hard to beat.

Now 4 Snoano (Bet Now: $6.50) has won a race, can he go on with it? Took him an absolute eternity to break his run of outs in Australia but that all changed at the Valley last time out under a lovely steer from Teo Nugent. Was he lucky to win given how unlucky Lorenzetti was? Perhaps, but with a win on the board, hopefully his confidence is up.

Pretty keen here on 4 Summit Reach (Bet Now: $3.50), who makes his Australian debut for Chris Waller. The overall form around him from the UK is okay without jumping up and down and is one of these imports that has room to work with from a ratings perspective. Looked great in a recent Flemington jumpout when on speed and he was strong through the line. Keen to see how he goes.

3 Pale King (Bet Now: $2.25) is a very interesting runner. Former UK galloper for Team Hawkes that has only had one start in Australia, which came at Kembla back in October when just off the speed throughout and chased strongly late to wear them down and score an impressive win. No trials/jumpouts, so a bit of guessing, but he looks talented.

6 Mrs Sippy (Bet Now: $5.50) can be dangerous at odds if she can take advantage of the inside gate. Was a month between runs when racing over 1400m at Pakenham. Got a fair way back in the run but I liked the way she closed off late in the piece behind Irish Playboy. If Jamie Kah can hold a forward spot, think she’ll only run well.

9 Seguso (Bet Now: $2.40) looks to have his fair share of talent. Resumed for Grahame Begg over 1200m at the Valley where he sat off a genuine speed and didn’t seem entirely happy on the track but once he balanced up, he charged late and got up to win. Progressive and can measure up to these.

Blinkers looks to be last resort with 2 Ice Ice Baby (Bet Now: $4.40). Has had two runs back from a spell, both at the Valley. Resumed in a 955m and was okay late, then stepped up to 1200m where I thought he was pretty plain, but to be fair, most looked plain behind Snapper. Jamie Kah sticks, Blinkers on…last chance territory.

4 Celestial Sol (Bet Now: $6.50) is a Chris Waller trained colt that resumes. This guy hasn’t raced since the Spring where they tried to get him to a Victorian Derby but failed in the Caulfield Classic and spelled after. Jumped out okay at Flemington and though 1300m is short of his best, he does have a touch of quality.

I’m with 2 Agreeable (Bet Now: $2.50) for the Freedman camp. She ran well at Stakes level in the Spring, including the Thousand Guineas, but just didn’t quite measure up when it mattered. Been given a good break with two jumpouts to get ready. Latest jumpout she was given a nudge late to find the line and win. Think she’s the one to beat.

1 Thunder Peak (Bet Now: $8.00) is a key winning chance. Michael Moroney trained filly that has been freshened up since finishing down the track in the Vanity behind Zou Dancer, but she was back near last in the run and did make up headway late in the piece. Draws well, 3kg claim and has quality.

4 Madame Boitier (Bet Now: $31.00) is a Simon Morrish trained filly that resumes. Thus girl hasn’t raced since December when winning over the mile on the Hillside course, leading throughout under Olly. Looked to go about her business nicely in a recent Burrumbeet jumpout and can press forward from the wide gate.

9 Zousonic (Bet Now: $5.00) is a talented mare that was formerly with the Ellerton/Zahra camp but now finds herself with Matt Cumani. Only had a three run prep in the Spring, but did win impressively first up in a 70 race before down the track at Caulfield, then bumped into Cordilla on Cranbourne Cup. No trials/jumpouts, so guessing where she is at re fitness levels, but clearly the one to beat if she’s anywhere near right.

7 Faretti (Bet Now: $2.80) can be a hard horse to trust but when he gets conditions to suit, which was the case when racing over 1300m on the Hillside last start, he can be very effective. The set up he needs is a dry track and a race with not much pressure, which is what he is likely to get this time around.

12 Te Ata (Bet Now: $23.00) is a knockout chance. Declan Maher trained mare that was big odds when racing over 1300m on the Hillside course two weeks ago. She was wide and doing work but kept finding and surged hard late to just miss. Draws well and is a knockout hope if she’s within range on the turn.

2 Garvoc (Bet Now: $2.60) deserves another chance. Talented mare that has had two runs for the Price/Kent team. Produced good change up speed to win fresh at Geelong before going to the Valley where it was an ugly, ugly watch if you were on, going to the line like it was a barrier trial behind Cielo D’Oro. Better luck this time around and she can take this out.

1 Rathlin (Bet Now: $6.00) finds a very winnable race to bounce back into positive form. Resumed four weeks ago over 1400m on the Hillside course. Was near the speed throughout and thought he had his chance when fourth to Moeen. $5.50-$4 late suggested he was ready to go as well. Back to 1200m, with the claim, he’s likeable if he brings something near his best.

Keen to see 8 Hydro Star (Bet Now: $9.50) as a gelding. John McArdle has always had big wraps on this guy, so much so that start two saw him contest the Vain Stakes, where it was too much too soon. Hasn’t really gone on with it since his debut, but freshened up, gelded, and Jamie Mott is riding super in town at the moment.

BEST BET: Race Four Number 4 Summit Reach

NEXT BEST: Race Five Number 9 Seguso

LONG SHOT: Race Three Number 6 He’s The Reel Deel

Quaddie Tips (Races Five Through To Eight):

Leg One: 9

Leg Two: 1, 2

Leg Three: 7, 8, 9, 12

Leg Four: 1, 2, 3, 7, 8

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All odds are subject to change. Odds listed are correct at the time of the latest update.

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