10/3/2018 Horse Racing Tips and Best Bets – Randwick, Randwick Guineas day

Group l racing continues at Randwick this Saturday where we will see a double header, most notably the Randwick Guineas (1600m), supported by a crack field that has assembled for the Canterbury Stakes (1300m). The weather is overcast, the track is good (4) and the rail is out six metres from the 1600m-Winning Post; Out four metres for the remainder.

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4 Nettoyer (Bet Now: $3.80) looks an outstanding bet to my eye. Wendy Roche has this girl absolutely flying. Resumed and closed off well behind Prompt Response in the Breeders Classic before racing in the Guy Walter last Saturday and sticking on really well in the quicksand behind Dixie Blossoms. If she handles the seven day back up, she wins.

6 The Pinnacle (Bet Now: $3.20) looks set to peak third up for Team Snowden. Looked to have every chance three weeks back at this track/distance but just ran out of puff second up when third to Quick Defence, who ran well last Friday night, so the form reads okay and being third up, she should be hard fit, so no excuses.

3 Karavali (Bet Now: $5.00) is a Kris Lees trained mare who was confidently supported when resuming over the 1550m at Canterbury and she tried hard but was no match for the sustained speed of Jemadar. She is a mare who goes really well second up, has good stats at the mile and is a proven Randwick performer. Likeable.

Specking 9 Shudabeen (Bet Now: $61.00) each way. Tim Martin trains this filly and she really should have bolted in last Saturday at Wyong, but she bungled the start, last in the run before being forced to come right around the field and running just over 32 for her final 600m. If she jumps cleanly, I think she’ll run a huge race at odds.

One thing we do know is that 3 Houtzen (Bet Now: $2.70) will make sure this is a brutal 1100m. She did that last start in The Everest when attempting to lead all the way at a furious pace but 1200m at that level at that tempo, not her go. The 1100m looks ideal and she has trialled up to suggest she’s ready to rock and roll first up.

2 One More Honey (Bet Now: $26.00) is a talented filly that resumes for the John Thompson team. This girl ran some cracking races in the Spring behind star fillies like Alize and Champagne Cuddles, but after failing in the Ethereal, she was tipped out. Interesting she resumes at 1100m, suggesting she might be trained this prep as a sprinter/miler.

I’m very keen to see how 1 Outback Barbie (Bet Now: $7.50) measures up. Scored a great win on debut in the Calaway Gal before going to the Magic Millions where she made up a stack of ground behind Sunlight, beaten 2.3L. Trialled up last week at the Gold Coast and looked outstanding to my eye, winning in fast time. I think she is the knockout chance and she will be very strong late.

Taking nothing away from 2 Estijaab (Bet Now: $1.28) and the Silver Slipper. The run was huge. Neutrality did put the heat on her in the middle stages and he put up the white flag pretty quickly while this girl was kicking and fighting, only to be narrowly beaten. I do have reservations about her at 1200m, but she has that lovely racing pattern, and keep in mind I was risking She Will Reign at 1200m last year and look what she did.

I think that pair have a margin on the rest, which I think is headed by 3 Gongs (Bet Now: $12.00). She resumed in the Silver Slipper and I thought she did a really good job in defeat behind the two star fillies. Clearly no match for them but stuck to the task well. Highly doubt she turns the tables but should run well again.

2 Performer (Bet Now: $1.95) does look the one to beat. He was the popular elect when resuming in the Canonbury and visually, it was nothing flash, but when you look at the late splits, it was outstanding, and he did it with plenty of room for improvement. The worry I have is that he looks a thinker, so I’d love some form of head gear on him to sharpen him, but the recent trial suggests he’s good to go.

10 Aylmerton (Bet Now: $21.00) looks a great place bet, but the price is gone now thanks to scratchings. I’m not sure he beat much on debut at the Canterbury midweeks but it was the way in which he won that was impressive. When Overmeire asked for something, the horse responded and his stride looked outstanding. He’ll have no issue at a strong 1200m.

I’m wary of 7 Plague Stone (Bet Now: $12.00) returning to Sydney. Just forget the Blue Diamond campaign. Four wide throughout in the Prelude yet ran a game second to Written By before finishing well behind in the big one behind that horse after copping severe interference in the run and not looking 100% in his action. If he runs up to anywhere near his trial before resuming, he’s in the game.

All things being equal, it should be a procession for the star sprinter 1 Redzel (Bet Now: $1.55). Thought he was outstanding when resuming in the Lightning. Looked the winner, given every chance by McEvoy but just no match for the stunning finale of Redkirk Warrior. Back to his favourite track, should be controlling things on speed and proving too classy.

6 English (Bet Now: $5.50) is a classy mare first up for the Hayes/Dabernig team. She ran as well as expected in The Everest behind Redzel before going to the Manikato where she probably shouldn’t have run after playing up in the gates. Resumes with two trials under the belt and is three for three at 1000m. She’ll be the closer.

Very interested to see how 9 Viridine (Bet Now: $6.50) goes. Three year old resuming for James Cummings after a fruitful Spring, where he was so dynamic i the Heritage and Roman Consul before going to the Coolmore where he ran a credible fifth to Merchant navy. Just the one soft 700m trial is a concern for a hard 1000m, but he has class/quality and shouldn’t be underestimated.

Jury was out on 2 Clearly Innocent (Bet Now: $5.50) after some poor efforts at the trials but you only had to have seen the resumption in the Southern Cross to know that he’s back in a big way. Just no luck at all when appearing to be bolting and you could have made a case he should have won had he got clear air. 1300m second up at WFA looks absolutely perfect for him.

5 Foxplay (Bet Now: $8.00) had fair dinkum trialled up like a country maiden prior to resuming in the Millie Fox but she proved she was a race horse with an excellent close up third to Daysee Doom. She is a gun mare who will improve big time off that run and is a proven big time WFA performer. Definite threat for sure.

8 Showtime (Bet Now: $6.50) is the three year old with the runs on the board against the older horses and that is always a big tick when it comes to the Autumn riches. Lost no admirers I thought last time out in the Futurity. Yes, he controlled things on speed nicely, but still had to kick on, which he did, and it took Brave Smash and Tosen Stardom to get past him. Back home and back to 1300m, he should take some beating.

Looking for the horse that will run the mile strongly and has a turn of foot. Horse that ticks those boxes is 5 Pierata (Bet Now: $6.50), so I’ll go his way. I was a bit suss on him when it came to the Hobartville. Yes, he was brilliant in Brisbane during the Summer, but admittedly beat nothing. The Hobartville was his big test and he passed with flying colours. I think he has more upside than those around him, and yes, Kementari is brilliant, but don’t think this bloke isn’t brilliant.

If 3 Kementari (Bet Now: $2.45) ticks the 1600m box, he probably wins. But I can’t back him at that short quote because of that. Ridden upside down last time out in the Hobarvtille but gee he found plenty late when challenged and on the line was holding his rivals. I think he will need to improve to hold them off, and can he stretch his brilliance to the mile. Keep in mind that there is no tougher mile than the Randwick 1600m.

I’m very cautious about 12 Kaonic (Bet Now: $17.00). Jury was out after an inglorious resumption behind Don’t Give A Damn, but I thought he bounced back to form last Wednesday at Rosehill with a narrow second behind Onslaught after doing all the work out wide to reel them in whereas the winner had the suck run behind the speed. Blinkers on…will they sharpen him to be the high class three year old he promised to be in the Spring?

9 Sugar Bella (Bet Now: $2.70) has been very good to me throughout her career and I ain’t jumping off. Kris Lees trains this mare, who faces her toughest test to date but every time she has been asked to step up, she has responded. Thought she went great in a recent trial behind Invincible Gem and appears ready to go fresh.

1 Ravi (Bet Now: $8.00) is a gun mare that resumes for the Snowden team. She had a three run Spring prep, highlighted by her dynamic first up win in the Sheraco where it was no betting in the run after she jumped cleanly and landed a forward spot. That is her great downfall- tardy beginnings. If she jumps cleanly here, she’ll take some beating.

4 Perizada (Bet Now: $7.50) is just an absolute beauty for the Weston/Nisbet team. Weighted to win a fortnight back at Rosehill and the punters got it spot on as she charged home from off the pace under Tim Clark to score. Clearly more depth, but did place behind Ravi in the Sheraco, so we know she can measure up to this level.

8 Alward (Bet Now: $2.70) looks extremely hard to beat here. Chris Waller trains this galloper, who resumed a fortnight back over 1500m at Rosehill where he was a real hard luck story behind stablemate Cellarman. He should have won but just didn’t get proper clear air in the straight. Up to 2000m is ideal and has the speed in the legs.

12 Emperor’s Way (Bet Now: $6.50) is a Team Snowden trained stayer who is racing so well and deserves a crack at this level. He ran at this track/distance three weeks ago where he should have won outright, but pilot error via Glyn cost him in a split second decision, which was the wrong one. Hard fit, in form, in the right stable.

7 Liapari (Bet Now: $6.50) is absolutely flying for Chris Waller. Thought he did an excellent job in the Parramatta Cup a fortnight back where he charged home from near last to run a narrow third to More Energy. Unknown at 2000m, but he does give the impression he will eat it up, and he loves racing at Randwick.

BEST BET: Race One Number 4 Nettoyer

NEXT BEST: Race Eight Number 9 Sugar Bella

VALUE: Race Two Number 9 Shudabeen

Quaddie Tips (Races Six Through To Nine):

Leg One: 2, 5, 7, 8

Leg Two: 1, 3, 5, 10, 12

Leg Three: 9

Leg Four: 7, 8, 12, 14

$50 Investment= 62.50% of the dividend if successful

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