1/5/2021 Horse Racing Tips and Best Bets – Morphettville, Robert Sangster Stakes day

Group l racing returns to Morphettville this Saturday for a Group l double header. The weather is fine, the track is good (4) and the rail is in the true position for the entire circuit.

Robert Sangster Stakes 🏆: View the Field and Odds for the Robert Sangster Stakes

Australasian Oaks 🏆: View the Field and Odds for the Australasian Oaks

WATCH LIVE RACING AT

tab

5 See You In Spring (Bet Now: $2.80) is a key threat. Busuttin/Young trained filly that was an impressive debut winner over 1000m at Cranbourne and while she was fence in run, which is dynamite for those night meetings, she was impressive and ran time. This race looks weak and she has early toe to produce sustained speed.

4 Translation (Bet Now: $2.60) is a speed demon for James Cummings that will look the winner for a long way. That was the case a few weeks ago in the Dequetteville where she looked all over a winner. Just couldn’t quite finish it off and was nabbed late by stablemate Cloudy, who won again last Saturday, so the form has been ticked off.

9 Totally Discreet (Bet Now: $7.00) is a Phillip Stokes trained filly that is on debut. This girl looked sharp in a recent jumpout and went about her business in good order to my eye. Potentially, this race is strong, but it could be very thin and left wide open for a first starter. Market will be your guide to her chances.

1 Lord Vladivostok (Bet Now: $1.85) has the right form around him to be winning this. Michael Hickmott trained gelding that has been kept on ice since contesting the CS Hayes Memorial on Adelaide Cup Day when a game third to Ironclad, who looks a potential Group l talent, so I think that form has to read well for this. Just want a push from the market.

4 Hasta La War (Bet Now: $5.00) is a quality galloper for Sue Murphy that should be suited up to the mile. Resumed over 1200m three weeks ago here, a trip clearly short of his best, but like the way he found the line late behind Magna Bella. Might need one more, but has a touch of class about him.

9 Roselli Sting (Bet Now: $19.00) lacks the class of some of these but can sneak a first four spot without surprising. He did a good job here two weeks ago behind Surreal Image after getting back and then run off his legs when the eventual winner put the foot down. He’s racing well and is a must for multiples.

I’m keen on 5 Pandemic (Bet Now: $2.80) to bounce back and stamp himself as a Goodwood contender. His two runs back from a freshen up, I would just pen. It was a barrier trial at the Valley behind Ancestry before going to the Star Kingdom at Rosehill where he was back on a day where on speed/rail was dynamite. Fast run 1100m, can see him sitting back and finishing over the top.

2 Sword Of Mercy (Bet Now: $4.20) is an absolute beauty for the Ellerton/Zahra camp. Toughed it out strongly to win two back at Caulfield. Raced there again in the Bel Esprit and was brave in defeat when a close up third to Sisstar. Don’t think she’s a Group l horse but this looks well within reach.

4 Shamino (Bet Now: $11.00) is capable if he brought anything near his best. Thought he was plain two back in the Manihi but was much better in the Irwin when fourth to Kemalpasa, who is a Goodwood contender for sure, so the form reads well for this, and we know he can be explosive when he gets the right set up.

5 Wyclif (Bet Now: $3.60) picks himself I think. Danny O’Brien trained former UK galloper that is slowly putting it together down under. Heavily backed when racing at Caulfield three weeks ago. Was there to win but couldn’t quite put them away when third to Independent Road. Up to 2500m, hard fit, he’ll do me.

2 Silent Sovereign (Bet Now: $2.35) is a Team McEvoy mare that is racing really well at the moment. Ran over 2400m at Caulfield three weeks back and in a real staying test, she fought on so bravely, but was nabbed late by Mohican Heights. I think that form reads quite well for a race like this.

8 Canford (Bet Now: $11.00) can fill a first four spot. Survival of the fittest when racing at this track/distance two weeks ago and in the end, he was the fittest, just holding off stablemate Lostarc, who fought back really well. This is harder, but he’s a hard fit horse who has now found winning form.

3 Lunakorn (Bet Now: $6.00) deserves another chance. Was keen on this mare in the Distaff two weeks ago but given the race shape, she just had no luck the way it was set up and from the back, she just had too much to do, but was a still a pass mark and good in defeat. Fitter and up in trip, she appeals.

10 Don’ttelltheboss (Bet Now: $16.00) can prove to be a threat. Resumed in the Distaff where she was given a beaut steer by Yendall. Sliced her way through the field and just missed out on picking up Thousand Wishes. With natural improvement off that, she has the upside to be dangerous.

Mick Kent loves to target a Mares race so not dismissing 5 Kiss And Cry (Bet Now: $51.00). The resumption at Pakenham looked more of a prep run, in a 64, 61kg after a 3kg claim. She was just there for a hit out, but she was only beaten 0.6L. On form, needs to improve, but in the right camp to do so.

6 Litchfield County (Bet Now: $14.00) has a decent engine under the hood. Good in defeat two back behind Minhaaj before going to the Redelva and I thought he was excellent in defeat without a whole lot of luck behind Muntaseera. Like him back up to 1200m and he should appreciate a genuine tempo.

I’m giving respect to 9 Malicorne (Bet Now: $11.00). Talented filly for Matt Laurie that resumes, having not raced since the Angus Armanasco where she was beaten a lip by Yes Baby Yes in a tight go. I reckon 1400m sees her out and is more effective at 1200m, so think this is a winnable race for a genuine filly. She’s a leading chance.

5 Outlaws Revenge (Bet Now: $41.00) can cause problems at a price. He’s been a rising local that has gone through the grades nicely. His first real test came in the Redelva and I don’t think it all went to plan for him behind Muntaseera so I want to be forgiving of that. I think he is up to this level.

11 Rubisaki (Bet Now: $15.00) is back on track. No idea what happened in the Spring but she was given a good break, resumed in the Bel Esprit, and I loved the way she finished her race off behind Sisstar in what was a return to what she produced as a 3YO filly, where she was second to Loving Gaby as the best of her generation. Any hint of improvement off that and I think she’ll take a power of beating.

2 Mizzy (Bet Now: $5.00) is the map horse and will be dangerous with class on her side. Back to back Group l placings before being outclassed in the George Ryder. Tick over trial was a good piece of work and she loves dry ground. Should settle in the first few and I’m sure will look the winner at some stage.

4 Pretty Brazen (Bet Now: $27.00) is certainly capable. I was keen on this mare when she ran in the Victoria Handicap last time out but I was disappointed with her effort. Seemed to get every chance but didn’t finish it off at all. Blinkers back on to sharpen her up and a fast run 1200m is ideal.

13 Steinem (Bet Now: $3.50) was a beaten odds on pop last time but I am keen to butter up with her. Her effort in the Auraria was enormous. Back near last from the wide gate, she just had too much to, especially when forced to the extreme outside. Gate one, she settles in the first half of the field and yes, will need luck, but I think she’s the best filly in the race.

Scott Brunton rarely gets it wrong when brings one to the main land from Tassie so 4 Hela (Bet Now: $4.20) does command enormous respect, not allowing for the fact she’s 7/7 to start her career. She has been carefully managed and placed to perfection. Clearly her hardest test to date here, but I am confident she measures up.

I think they are the two to beat. If there is to be a mini upset, I think 10 Flexible (Bet Now: $11.00) is the one to cause that. I thought she ahd her chance in the Adrian Knox but the winner of the race backed up a week later and was excellent in defeat in the ATC Oaks behind Hungry Heart, which is the best 3YO filly form in Australia, so I think Flexible, with fresh legs, appeals.

Very tricky race to close out the meeting. 2 Star Status (Bet Now: $26.00) is better suited over further, but he can sprint well fresh and a dry Morphettville deck usually means rails in run will be dynamite, which is the spot he’ll be. Has trialled well leading in, he’ll do no work and be strong late.

Pike in the last with 13 My Prince Charming (Bet Now: $6.00) will be popular. His form is in weaker benchmark races in Victoria, but we have seen recently that form line has been successful when coming over here. He gets the Blinkers back on and with his racing style, he is a perfect ride for Pike.

12 Annika (Bet Now: $15.00) is racing well for Mick Huxtable. This mare ran at Strathalbyn last time out where she had a suck run on the fence, doing no work, and worked home pretty well without threatening behind Ranger Cee Jay, a track specialist there. Karl Zechner is riding in good form at the moment and this mare can be dangerous at odds.

BEST BET: Race Three Number 5 Pandemic

NEXT BEST: Race Four Number 5 Wyclif

LONG SHOT: Race Seven Number 11 Rubisaki

Quaddie Tips (Races Six Through To Nine):

Leg One: 2, 5, 6, 9

Leg Two: 1, 2, 3, 4, 11

Leg Three: 4, 13

Leg Four: 2, 10, 12, 13

$50 Investment = 31.25% of the dividend if successful

Bookmaker	Why Bet	Sign Up	Full Review
	Back Yourself with Ladbrokes!	Join	Review
	Back a Winner with Neds!	Join	Review
	Sign up to Unibet and start betting in minutes!	Join	Review
	Sign up to swiftbet and start betting in minutes!	Join	Review
	Sign up to Unibet and start betting in minutes!	Join	Review