The Goodwood Carnival wraps up on Saturday night with a seven race card, and while there are no Group l races, the depth is pretty strong.
Race 1. (22:50) Sprint Hcp 1200m
I’m sure 2 Rewaayat (Bet Now: $4.20) tested the patience of Shadwell and Charles Hills but that faith has been rewarded this time in with a couple of sparkling wins from as many outings. Won fresh at Lingfield before being even more impressive at Salisbury when winning by over seven lengths. Rises in weight, but he’s just going too well.
17 Tommy G (Bet Now: $5.50) has a good record in this race having won it in 2018 (De Sousa rode) and then running third last year. Form around him reads well, especially last start when second to Prompting, and we saw what that horse did here last night, so the form has been ticked off, De Sousa is on and draws soft.
11 Batchelor Boy (Bet Now: $13.00) is one I’ll be keeping tabs on. Marco Botti trains this colt, who comes here off the back of what I thought was a solid effort at Yarmouth when beaten two lengths into fourth spot. The rise to 1200m looks ideal for him and I think the booking of Ryan Moore is significant, so watch the market.
Race 2. (23:25) Summer Hcp 2800m
3 Laafy (Bet Now: $3.25) is the most obvious. Sir Michael Stoute trains this son of Noble Mission, who was gelded prior to the start of this campaign and it seems to have switched him right on. Gave them a spanking to win first up at Newbury before proving it was no fluke with a game second at Haydock. Ryan Moore, who rode first up, is back on.
2 The Maxwecan (Bet Now: $6.00) can be an improver here. Far from disgraced two back at Royal Ascot in a strong race and then last time out at Newbury, yes, on face value it was poor. But I think you have to just pen that run because the race wasn’t run to suit his pattern at all. He’s better than that, so have to give him another chance.
1 King’s Advice (Bet Now: $7.50) is the unknown. He was so impressive last year when transferred to Mark Johnston, and did win this race last year. 2020 though, his efforts have been really poor so not sure how well he’s going, but any hint of what he produced last year and he’s certainly in this. Would want double figures.
Race 3. (00:00) Langtry Stakes 2800m
It’s a race in two, but on top, clearly, is 2 Enbihaar (Bet Now: $1.40). She stamped herself high class when racing as a 3YO last season. Had a good long spell and resumed over 2400m at Newmarket when solid enough in defeat on testing ground behind Dame Malliot. Won this race last year and looks like she’ll repeat the dose.
1 Manuela De Vega (Bet Now: $5.50) looks the only serious threat. She’s 2/2 this time in, the latest seeing her bolt up in the Lancashire Oaks in impressive fashion. Well held when second to Enbihaar in this race last year and actually meets her worse off at the weights. But, she does have the fitness edge and that could be a big advantage.
4 Snow (Bet Now: $4.20) is a relation to stablemate Kew Gardens who should love the rise to 2800m. Impressive winner two back at Cork before going to the Irish Oaks and I thought she was far from disgraced in defeat behind Even So. Not sure she beats these, but is suited up in trip and should run third. A surprise if she finished closer.
Race 4. (00:35) Stewards Cup 1200m
Going with 8 Nahaarr (Bet Now: $4.75), who was backed with confidence last time out at Newbury with Tom Marquand jumping back aboard and the bets were landed, showing good change up speed to win well. He’s got the makings of a pretty good sprinter this guy and is better than this level. Happy to be in his corner against this lot.
10 Meraas (Bet Now: $6.00) is heading in the right direction for Mark Johnston. He won the Scottish Stewards Cup at Hamilton Park last time out and what I liked is the way he knuckled down because he could have thrown it away, but just kept finding and was too good. Harder here, but I like the way he goes about it.
Can 5 Hey Jonesy (Bet Now: $21.00) repeat last start? Blinkers were applied in the Wokingham, he was ridden positively from the outset and was able to get a result and win, breaking a long run of outs. How will he take to Goodwood is interesting, but with a repeat effort of the Wokingham and he’ll give you a sight for your money.
Race 5. (01:10) Qatar Hcp 1400m
8 Society Lion (Bet Now: $2.50) for me here. Thought he was a little unlucky not to win over 1400m at Doncaster last time out. Just had to wait to get clear and cut towards the inside of the pack, costing him ground and while he was there to win, I think he just didn’t get going at the right time. Ryan Moore takes over, draws wide to get clear air…keen.
5 Mister Snowdown (Bet Now: $3.75) has got more to come for the Richard Hughes team. Outclassed first up at Royal Ascot before going to Yarmouth where he was a bit tardy to begin with but picked up and was good late when second to Mr Kiki. Showed good promise early on in his career and is starting to get back to that level.
4 Corvair (Bet Now: $12.00) is a fascinating runner. Team Crisford trains this three year old, who is around seven weeks between runs and since that outing has been gelded. Far from disgraced last time out at Pontefract behind Meraas, who franked the form next time out. Been gelded is interesting, so I’d watch the market.
Race 6. (01:40) Maiden Stakes 1400m
11 Titian (Bet Now: $2.25) is bred to get over further but given the lack of exposed form, and how well he ran on debut, he’s the one to beat for sure. Debuted over 1200m at Newmarket and I just loved the way he found the line late, beaten two lengths in finishing fourth. Tom Marquand takes over, eats up 1400m…think it’ll take a good one to beat him.
5 Golden Flame (Bet Now: $3.75) is the one with the right race day form. Narrow second on debut at Haydock before going to the Chesham at Royal Ascot when fourth to Battleground, who bolted up here earlier this week and is destined for better things. Overall depth here isn’t strong and Ryan Moore takes over. Leading chance.
2 Dingle (Bet Now: $8.00) could be an improver at odds. He debuted in the Newmarket race that Titian contested, won by Youth Spirit. Dingle showed really good early toe but on that testing track, just knocked up late. Track won’t be as testing this time around, should land near the speed and give plenty of cheek at a price.
Race 7. (02:10) LG App Hcp 1820m
8 Alfred Boucher (Bet Now: $9.00) for me in the get out. He’s had three runs this time in, all of which have come at the mile, with the latest being at York when starting favourite and working to the line pretty well behind Jalaad. He’s crying out for further, which he gets here, and with the claim, I think he’s really well in. Good odds too.
1 Muraad (Bet Now: $4.75) looks the one to beat on exposed form. Owen Burrows trains this son of Dark Angel, who has had two runs back from a spell, each at the mile. Latest effort was at York on July 9 when a strong second to Orbaan, beaten just over a length. His lone win did come at 1700m, so 1800m here should be fine.
6 Hats Off To Larry (Bet Now: $11.00) is better suited over a bit further, but he will be strong late if they decide to go hard in front. Resumed over 2000m at Ripon and was a definite pass mark in defeat when second to Benadalid. Back in trip is the concern, but the resumption was encouraging and overall this isn’t a strong race.
Best Bets & Quaddie Tips
BEST BET: Race Six Number 11 Titian
NEXT BEST: Race Three Number 2 Enbihaar
LONG SHOT: Race Seven Number 8 Alfred Boucher
All odds are subject to change. Odds listed are correct at the time of the latest update.
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