The quality racing continues this weekend in Australia, most notably at Rosehill with the Expressway Stakes (1200m) highlighting what should be a good afternoon of racing down under. Down below are ten runners that should be backed and backed with confidence this Saturday:
Ascot Race Four Number 1 Delicacy:
The famous Pink and White colours have been absolutely lethal in Perth for the Summer, and it looks set to continue on Saturday at Ascot, and I think this is the pick of them. She showed really good potential during the Carnival, winning the Champion Stakes (1600m) before coming to the end of it when fifth to Rommel in the W.A. Guineas (1600m). She’s been freshened up and went very nicely at the Belmont trials a couple of weeks back. Maps beautifully drawn outside danger Mr Mankini, and that horse has only won a benchmark 3YO yet gets only a kilo weight advantage over a Stakes winner. $2.30 looks an absolute gift IMO because I think she deserves to be much shorter.
Doomben Race Nine Number 6 Eight’s A Party:
I’ve always been a fan of this son of Clang, and after a somewhat disappointing Winter prep, he looks to have come back in much better order. He reeled off some unbelievable sectionals to win first up over 1200m at the Sunshine Coast, then ran there again a fortnight later over the mile when again steaming home to run a close second to Lock’s Legend. His lone unplaced run came during the Winter when he was no closer than three deep the whole in the Chairman’s Handicap (2000m). Drawn wide again, but there looks to be very good speed engaged and his lone wet track run was a beauty.
Flemington Race Five Number 1 Akzar:
He’s the best bet in my meeting preview, and he could well be the best bet across Australia this weekend. His two runs back from a break have been outstanding. It started off with a closing fifth to Jacquinot Bay in the Lord Stakes on Boxing Day before running second to the same horse over the mile. Up in distance tick, fitter tick, Flemington tick…looks the winner, and appears to be a good price at around the $2.80 mark.
Gold Coast Race Six Number 1 Cantbuybetter:
Cantbuybetter is an unbeaten Toowoomba runner trained by Ben Currie who has won both of his career starts on his home track. Granted he hasn’t beaten much, but the way he has done it has been impressive given he has had to do work at each outing. Biggest test to date, but the important 2kg claim for Jake Hull really just assures that he is the clear horse to beat, and he should improve fitness wise given that second win was over two months since the debut win.
Kembla Race One Number 8 English:
Big watch on the debut of English for Gai Waterhouse. This daughter of Encosta De Lago out of former handy mare Court has only had the one trial, back on January 15 at Randwick, winning by nearly five and running the second quickest time of the morning, faster than the likes of Plucky Belle and Panzer Division. She was nominated for the Widden, but Gai has elected to come here and tackle the easier option, perhaps to get easy prizemoney to make the Golden Slipper path a touch easier. Nonetheless, she’ll take a power of beating based on the trial.
Kyneton Race Two Number 7 Layla’s World:
This mare looks the clear stand out at Kyneton. She was well tried first up at Cranbourne and just didn’t have the best of luck when third to Boys Entertainment. The winner had all the momentum out wide and in the clear while Layla’s World was cluttered up between runners and wasn’t allowed to go through her gears, and for a mare who is suited at the mile, it wasn’t ideal for her. Give her a clear run here, and natural improvement off her first up performance, and she’ll take some stopping.
Lismore Race Seven Number 1 Friskiness:
On what looks to be a tough program at Lismore, I think the best chance comes in the lucky last courtesy of Friskiness. She last ran at Ballina on January 18 and was enormous in defeat, copping pressure on the speed before looking the winner with about 100m to go but was nabbed right on the peg. Big drop in class here, which means she does rise in weight, but given her racing pattern of rolling along in front, the Lismore track will definitely suit her given leaders are hard to beat there. If she can overcome the wide barrier, I think she’ll go very close to winning.
Morphettville Parks Race Eight Number 6 Edit:
On an each-way scale, this looks a great bet. He had only been seen once in public, back in January 2014, before making his debut a couple of weeks back at Gawler where he was put straight into the sweet spot from Matthew Nielson, pushed into the clear and really let down strongly to win and win convincingly. On face value, the time wasn’t great, but in the Stewards Report, it says that this horse pulled up with heat stress despite winning. If he was ok with the heat, how better could he have gone? Looks a tricky race, but he looks outstanding value.
Rosehill Race Five Number 2 Sarajevo:
Sarajevo is a potential superstar, but he hasn’t quite put it together on race day. All three runs in the Spring were outstanding, starting off in the Rosebud, then the Run To The Rose before a game sixth in the Golden Rose to Hallowed Crown. Two trials leading up to this have been sharp, and he did handle the wet track okay in the Run To The Rose. If he handles the wet track, he’ll beat his rivals, and comfortably.
Rosehill Race Seven Number 6 Georgey Aeroplane:
Pretty keen here on Georgey Aeroplane to bounce back to the winners list after a really good effort off a freshen up at Randwick, attempting to chase down Koroibete and running that horse to within two lengths, with Casino Dancer, a stakes performer, splitting the pair. Back to his home track where is three from four, loves the sting out of the ground and is fitter. Ticks plenty of boxes.