The Group l racing for the 2016/17 season is nearly complete, with the Tatts Tiara the lone major left. So, the attention turns to the majors for the next season and Sportsbet.com.au for a while now have had markets open on the rest of the Group l races for 2017. I’ve gone through them and come up with 10 bets to consider.
Golden Rose – Trekking ($26 Win/$7.25 Place):
I think of all the Godolphin youngsters we have seen this season, he is the one I’m most keen to see as a three year old and where he can get to. Won like a star on debut last year and was set immediately for a Slipper prep where nothing went right in two runs, plus he wasn’t entirely happy on the shifty tracks. He’ll have another prep under the belt, hopefully he comes back stronger and more furnished, then we will see the real Trekking.
She won’t win all three, or contest all three, but all bases need to be covered with this girl. I can’t remember the stable talking up Winx at the stage of her career like they have been with Egg Tart. The physical and racing improvement was never evident with Winx. It is clear to see with Egg Tart. I think once Winx finishes, Egg Tart will take over as the best horse in Australia. Got complete confidence in her and what I’ve seen to date.
Underwood Stakes – Black Heart Bart ($9 Win/$3 Place):
Won this race last year and was dominant and I can see him following a similar path to 2016, so the $9 on offer right now does appeal, especially considering that Hartnell is $5 and I’d suspect he will stay in Sydney like he did last year, which leaves Humidor, and Humidor is not as comfortable around Caulfield as he is at Flemington.
Thousand Guineas – So Far Sokool:
Price isn’t up yet for this filly but I’ll get onto them ASAP. I believe Australian interests have purchased this filly with the Spring Carnival their aim, and this race. She has only had the three starts in NZ but has been very good at each occasion, especially last start in a Stakes race where she looked hopeless on the heavy yet still ran a beauty. I’ll be very interested to see what price they put up.
Toorak Handicap – Theanswermyfriend ($26 Win/$7.25 Place):
Got a similar profile to the winner of the race last year, He’s Our Rokkii. Progressive horse on the up with a good winning strike rate, proven at the mile, upside and is of course in the right stable, Robert Smerdon. I can’t believe he is $26 here. Should be half that, at least.
Caulfield Cup – Bonneval ($21 Win):
Understandable why she is at the top of the betting. High class filly/mare for the Baker/Forsman team who has staying brilliance written all over her after doing the NZ/Australian Oaks double, and both times she was dominant, especially at Randwick. Stable did say Cox Plate post race, but this looks a more ideal assignment.
Victoria Derby – Mighty Quinn ($41 Win/$11 Place):
This horse does look one of good promise who could develop into a real Derby contender in the Spring. Given the prep run in March at Pakenham over 1400m where he got back in the run and closed off with real purpose to run second. Tipped out with an eye towards the Derby. He appeals big time at that price.
Coolmore Stud Stakes – Jukebox ($26 Win/$7.25 Place):
He is the colt that is the question mark. Will he get the mile of the Caulfield Guineas or is he a sprinter, or will he fail in the Guineas and freshen up? Whatever the case, I’m willing to have a speck at that price. Every man and his dog was telling you that he was the Blue Diamond winner but injury stopped him there and in the Slipper. He is a very good colt who should be followed with confidence in the Spring.
Melbourne Cup – Kilimanjaro:
Sportsbet don’t have a price up on him, but I am sure that will change after his first run for the Williams camp at Flemington. Yes, the field was terrible, but his effort was unbelievable considering where he was in the run and he was first up after nearly two years off. He is around $35 with betting agencies. That is a good early play.
VRC Oaks – Aloisia ($21 Win/$6 Place):
I’ll declare her this far out as the Oaks winner. She has left a big impression on me in two Australian runs. Brilliant effort to win first up at Flemington before going to the JJ Atkins where she was unlucky not to win when second to Capital Gain. She was purchased with the Oaks in mind and given the upside/improvement she’ll take from the Winter prep, I can’t believe she is $21.