A strong field has been assembled for the final Group l of the 2021 calendar year in Sydney, the Spring Champion Stakes (2000m). The track will be firm and with the rail out, it usually can play towards those on speed so keep that in mind when betting.
Down below is a speed map, runner preview and $100 betting strategy for the 2021 Spring Champion Stakes.
2021 Spring Champion Stakes Speed Map
I think Inverell will press forward. They rode him positive on debut and drawn wide, I think they have to roll the dice and be positive, and they have the right jockey to do that in Nash Rawiller. Never Been Kissed will hold a forward spot, like she did last Saturday in the Flight. Chill has shown early speed in the past and drawn an inside, might use that to advantage. Patton can sit handy from the pole.
2021 Spring Champion Stakes Runner Preview
1.Head Of State: He is the one to beat if Profondo still shows signs of being raw and new to the racing game. That was why he won the Gloaming IMO. His professionalism and race sense was on display whereas the runner up couldn’t put it together. That said, it was still a strong win and he commands respect.
2. Profondo: He has no idea what he is doing, but no doubting he is the best horse in the race. No doubt he was going to win the Gloaming until he shied at the whip use from Robbie Dolan and he threw the race away. 6-12 months time, he’ll make a lovely horse, but I think he still has the scope to be taking this out.
3. Alegron: He has looked a 2000m+ horse for some time and gets to that trip here. Got too far back in the Gloaming but caught the eye and was good late. I think if he can sit a pair or two closer in the run, he’ll take beating. But. I do think he will eat up 2500m at Flemington more so than 2000m here.
4. Benaud: Gee he’s a progressive horse heading in the right direction. Nowra debut win, then an excellent run from the back in the Gloaming. Is it too soon? Potentially, but he could just improve out of sight again, win, then the Derby, and stamp himself a rising star. The key word is potentially.
5. French Emperor: I was really keen on him in the Gloaming and in the run, he was the one that looked to be trucking. But as soon as pressure was applied, he found nothing. Nice horse, but too soon for him.
6. Raging Bull: Still a working progress for David Payne but the stable won this race last year and the guy knows a thing or two about a progressive younger stayer. He beat nothing at Wyong last time, but he ran good late splits for a stayer and did it being eased down late. This horse has always looked a Spring Champion/Derby horse since day one, so keen to see how he goes.
7. Inverell: He’s the sleeper at odds. Impressive debut winner at Sale before going to the Derby Trial at Flemington where he nearly fell and lost all momentum at a vital stage. He’s a good horse heading in the right direction and wouldn’t shock me at all if he won.
8. Patton: He has improved since the Blinkers have been applied. Had a good run in transit in the Gloaming and worked to the line pretty well but was beaten comprehensively. Runs an honest race. Just don’t think he’s good enough to win.
9: Clyde: Was good late last start albeit in a Class 1 at Newcastle. He’s a nice horse that will be winning races. Just don’t think it will be here and things are made more difficult from the draw.
10: Satirical Glory: 2000m will be no issue for him. The problem he has is that he has no turn of foot. That was evident in the Gloaming. I think his best chance will be if this becomes a slog. To my eyes, he’s a Derby horse that wants a trip.
11. Never Been Kissed: What a super winner of the Flight on Saturday. Hindsight is a wonderful thing, but you could have made a case for her after the Tea Rose run, which was full of merit. She’s bred to get further and if she does win this, they may as well hand her the VRC Oaks as well. Hard to beat.
12. Chill: I think she struggles. Had a suck run behind the speed in the Flight last Saturday and seemingly had every chance when fifth to Never Been Kissed. I highly doubt she can improve enough to measure up here.
13: Bulloo: I think she is in with a shout here for Stuart Kendrick. They rode her too warm two back and tired late behind Startantes. They rode her with cover in the Toowoomba Guineas and really, it was an absolute peach from Mallyon from the gate and she was the winner a long way out. Off that and those tactics, 2000m is fine and in a race where there is a long tail, she is the one I’m respecting with different form.
2021 Spring Champion Stakes $100 Betting Strategy:
Hard to separate the 1-2 from the Gloaming so having $50 each on Head Of State and Profondo. Profondo has the upside and scope to improve out of sight while Head Of State is the professional doing everything right.
Group l Strategy Outlay: $1180
Group l Strategy Return: $820
