Group l racing returns to Eagle Farm this Saturday, with one of the features across the program being the Queensland Derby (2400m), with a big field assembled for the contest for three year olds.
Down below is a speed map, runner preview and $100 betting strategy for the 2022 Queensland Derby.
Market 💰: View the Odds for the Queensland Derby
2022 Queensland Derby Speed Map
2022 Queensland Derby Runner Preview
1. Tutukaka: Got a mile back in the Rough Habit and was solid late without threatening. His very best is good enough and as a whole, this isn’t a strong Derby. Needs luck, but capable of winning if he gets it.
2. Dark Destroyer: Thought he was given a peach in the Rough Habit and duly saluted, just getting the win. 2400m is a slight query with him but gate one should somewhat offset that. He’s one of the key winning hopes.
3. Caboche: Caboche has the Waller polish and we know he loves to target this race. This guy ran two weeks ago at Scone against the older horses and looked all over a winner, but was outgunned late by Bonny Ezra in a tight finish. He was a few weeks between runs and jumping up in trip, so you’d like to think there is good improvement to come.
4. Menazzi: Worth a throw at the stumps and while he ran well in the Rough Habit, I do feel 2400m is a bridge too far, so happy to look elsewhere.
5. Pinarello: I’m really keen on Pinarello. He brings fresh legs into this and his last start win at Pukekohe was classy. Change up speed despite doing a bit wrong was sharp, running a tick over 34 for the last 600m. That is the key to him. He can stay, but he has change up speed, something that the majority of these do not have.
6. Red Wave: He was very disappointing last Saturday at Toowoomba in a weak race so cannot entertain him here.
7. Southern Stock: If this becomes a brutal 2400m, I think he’s in the mix as a knockout hope. He lacks the class, but 2400m should be ideal given he’s a one batter who will stay all day. Not dismissing him.
8. Balmaurice: Nice horse, will win races, but not at this level. Outclassed in the Rough Habit and suspect that will be the case once again.
9. Sea Treasures: Didn’t do a bad job last Saturday at Rosehill but has been up a while and this clearly looks a stronger race. Not for me.
10. Ting Tong: Ran second in the same race Sea Treasures contested. He’s going really well and knocking on the door to win…just don’t think that win will come here.
11. Satirical Glory: Bred to eat up the trip but the body of work suggests that beyond a mile, he’s a query, and he was terrible in the Rough Habit. Would be a stunning form reversal.
12. Paternal: He’s the one from the Rough Habit. He was a month between runs and finished off his race with real purpose to just miss. Got good upside to come, draws soft, gets Bowman…very likeable.
13. Dark Rebel: He’s not up to this level despite 2400m looking like it will be okay. Needs to find an easier race.
14. Global Ausbred: Got the racing style to give himself every chance. His best chance of being in the finish will be if there is an on speed pattern, and I doubt that will eventuate.
15. Impel Gazelle: First real test for him came in the Rough Habit and he ran alright. But, I can’t see him improving enough to turn the tables.
16. Anythink Goes: He gets an okay map from the gate. Game effort behind Global Ausbred at Newcastle last time and the form around him reads okay. Doubt he wins, but could pinch a first four spot.
17. Nest Egg: Nest Egg is one I am not dismissing. His NZ form certainly sees him run well but just hasn’t quite put it together in Australia. Needed the run fresh on Anzac Day. Went to Gosford and I thought he was okay late behind Hameron. Third up, hard fit, Waller camp, must for multiples.
18. Villaden: Ran over 2000m last Saturday at Flemington and was good in defeat behind a smart one in Natural Mystic. Off that, 2400m is no issue and he has the Waller polish. First four threat.
19. Turn Me Over (First Emergency): Nice horse, but not here.
20. Velvet Lady (Second Emergency): Could be a sneaky Oaks chance if they head down that path. Promising staying filly. If she got a start here, I could include her in wider exotics.
21. Kipling’s Journey (Third Emergency): He’s not up to this level.
2022 Queensland Derby $100 Betting Strategy:
Group l Strategy Outlay: $6670
Group l Strategy Return: $10546.6
