Over The Odds – 12/1/2019

Sportsbet have got their markets out for racing this Saturday, and we have tried to find four runners that appears overs in betting.

Gold Coast Race Three Number 15 Tokoriki Lad ($12):

Got a slice of $26 all in so that’s my ticket but I still think $12 is a touch of overs. Tony Gollan trains this gelding, who was good without luck in town in the first two runs this time in but dropped back to the provincials over 1400m here a fortnight ago and his class was too much for them, winning impressively. The talent has been there since day one and hopefully that last start will do his confidence the world of good.

Gold Coast Race Five Number 2 Kaepernick ($13):

Concede Houtzen is hard to beat but $13+ for this bloke seems crazy. He’s really yet to run a bad race since joining John O’Shea and appears ready to rock and roll for this. Ran at Flemington during Cup Week where he looked home when Tye pushed the button but was bloused on the peg by Thermal Current. The Canterbury trial looked outstanding, bomb fresh horse and the speed in front will be hot, so he’ll get his chance.

Gold Coast Race Seven Number 8 Outback Barbie ($2.50):

You might be thinking “$2.50 overs…wtf?” but really, there is no depth to this field and I think she should be odds on. I think with Native Soldier out, she’s the best horse in the race, by a few lengths, and has been specifically set for this race after a short Sydney Spring. Forget the Vo Rogue run last time. Just got too far back and was never really in clear air at any stage to build the revs. Hopefully that can eventuate here and she can showcase her brilliance.

Gold Coast Race Eight Number 14 Movie Role ($15):

Could easily have something on her each way. The Hayes/Dabernig team trains this filly, who debuted down the straight behind Yes Yes Yes and was sound before going to Randwick a fortnight ago where she got a lovely run nearer the inside before getting the split and showing a nice turn of foot to win, beating Hightail, who franked that form last Saturday. Looks a filly with real upside and I think she’ll run well.