Resident tipster Adam gives his Lays for Saturday (8/8/2020) racing. Note that the prices quoted, thanks to Sportsbet.com.au, were at the time of writing, which was 5pm Saturday.
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Rosehill Race Four Number 5 Heart Of The Oak ($2.35): She might well be better than them, but if this is a testing Rosehill track, which I think it will be, then $2.35 for a horse fresh off one soft trial? No thanks. Admittedly, has that very strong 3YO Fillies form, and the trial form has been ticked off, but there is hard fit/in form mares engaged here and I think she’s a risk at the price.
Rosehill Race Seven Number 4 Melody Belle ($3.90): She’s a gun mare, but she’s not a 1200m horse and likely will be eased back to last from the wide gate, so for mine, she’s a false favourite. Lit up the track in work and in the trial, so she’s going well, but she gets better as the prep goes on and with Jamie Edwards telling Stewards she has developed a skin rash, I suspect she’ll drift to $5+ and will need the run.
Rosehill Race Eight Number 10 Tailleur ($2.15): Class may well get her home, but at $2.15, and given she struggled to see out a strong 1100m last time, I think she’s way too short. Ability wise, the best horse in the race, and if it was on a good track, she would be a deserving $2.15 favourite, but last start was testing ground and she struggled into second spot. Has to drift.
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