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Resident tipster Adam gives his Lays for Saturday (22/8/2020) racing. Note that the prices quoted, thanks to Sportsbet.com.au, were at the time of writing, which was 10.40am Thursday.

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Moonee Valley Race Four Number 5 High Emocean ($3.20): She looks a progressive stayer on the rise, but there are some likely types engaged here who have hard fitness under the belt while she is four weeks between runs. I do question as well, overall, what she has beaten to date, and I’d say not much she has beaten, so with that in mind, I think $3.20 is rock bottom.

Moonee Valley Race Five Number 3 Global Gift ($4.20): I’m really keen to take this guy. Yes, visually an impressive winner last time out at Bendigo, but Melham got complete control in front, setting a near barrier trial speed, and nothing was going to beat him. Highly doubt he gets that here with more pressure on paper, so think he’s a clear risk at the price.

Doomben Race One Number 3 Eelloh ($2.25): The price gap between her and Bellissimi Amici is far too great IMO. Eelloh had everything fall into place for her two weeks ago whereas the other filly was definitely going to be in the finish but got chopped out of a run and lost all hope. IMO, it’s a race in two between that pair and $6.50 v $2.25, the gap is too big.

 
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