Resident tipster Adam gives his Lays for Saturday (19/12/2020) racing. Note that the prices quoted, thanks to Sportsbet.com.au, were at the time of writing, which was 5pm Wednesday.
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Flemington Race One Number 3 Bartholemeu Dias ($2.80): Egg on the face potentially, but I think he’s the risk of the month. The saving grace is the amazing strike rate the stable has in 2000m+ races, but I just don’t think this horse is any good. Yes, wide and stuck on well last time at the Valley, but that race rated poorly and the overall form around him this prep is suspect. I couldn’t get anywhere near him at the price.
Flemington Race Two Number 3 Written Miss ($2.80): Caroline Jennings has done a great job with this filly, winning 2/2. I just question how strong that form from Pakenham is. The horse that ran second, a closing second, was a first starter, so that straight away sends off alarm bells and her time was slow relative to the meeting. If they run here with Real Feeling, I suspect that filly will nearly start favourite.
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