The path towards the Stradbroke continues this Saturday at Eagle Farm where we will see the running of the Kingsford-Smith Cup (1300m), where three year old Paulele heading the market.
Down below is a speed map, runner preview and $100 betting strategy for the 2022 Kingsford-Smith Cup.
2022 Kingsford-Smith Cup Speed Map
2022 Kingsford-Smith Cup Runner Preview
1. Private Eye: Private Eyeis a fascinating runner. Forget the Doncaster where things didn’t fall into place and he couldn’t get involved from the back, plus was found to be lame post race. Tick over trial was a good piece of work to suggest he’s back on track and he did thrive in Queensland last year.
2. Laws Of Indices: Laws Of Indices will love getting to firmer footing. High quality animal for Annabel Neasham that comes here with relative fresh legs, having not raced since the All Aged when a game fourth to Cascadian. He’s been plagued by bottomless tracks this time in. Back on firmer footing, with class, he’s hard to beat.
3. Ellsberg: He’s a lead/soft run horse or bust. He could lead, but will have to spend a serious amount of petrol tickets and that will bring him undone.
4. Eleven Eleven: Eleven Eleven is a great each way gamble IMO. Greg Hickman trained gelding that saves his best for when he comes to Queensland and brings fresh legs. Resumed two weeks ago in the Ortensia at Scone and warmed to the task nicely late when fourth in a big tick for a first up run given he gets better as the prep goes on. Maps to get a soft run in transit and will be strong late.
5. Apache Chase: Apache Chase races best when leading and rolling. I thought Byrne rode him a touch cute fresh in The Archer. Led but absolutely crawled in front, which worked against him I felt when pipped late by Emerald Kingdom. He loves to lead and roll, making those from behing chase from the outset. If that eventuates, he’ll run a bold race.
6. Wild Planet: His very best coukd see him in the finish. Just been a while since he has shown that. Been kept on ice for this and the Stradbroke, dodging the 10,000. First four at best.
7. Rothfire: The Victory Stakes run suggested he was gone and the 10,000 effort didn’t hose down that theory. Looking elsewhere.
8. Olmedo: I reckon Annabel is working him out. Much improved effort in the Luskin Star and he will do no work sitting off a hot speed. Another I could entertain for exotics.
9. Signore Fox: He’s my early Stradbroke pick despite not really being well weighted. He was one of the runs of the 10,000 and firmer footing here, gee I think he’ll run a big race. Wouldn’t shock if he won.
10. Sierra Sue: 1400m at WFA is her go in life. Horror draw to contend with, but with luck from the gate, she is capable. Just rather watch her go around than back her.
11. September Run: She was good late in the Sangster, but was flattered by hugging the inside, where there was a clear bias towards. She’ll get the speed on in front here but will need luck from a tricky draw and 1300m is a little query.
12. Entriviere: Surprise starter. She was dodging this and going to the Stradbroke but after being given a harsh weight according to connections, they are running here. Her 10,000 effort was outstanding. Just needs luck from the gate.
13. Paulele: Contender or pretender? I thought he was going to put Mazu away in the 10,000 but couldn’t quite get there. That leaves me with a question mark on him at a hard 1300m. I think he’s a risk.
14. Isotope: Never a factor in the 10,000 after spotting them way too much head start. Draws tricky again but you’d like to think will get a drag into the race and be within range. Dangerous if that eventuates.
15. Away Game: Bonny mare that is bursting to win a Group l. Game second in the Sangster albeit helped by the track pattern. So honest so can’t pen her despite a wide gate.
16. Brooklyn Hustle: She’ll be the flashing light run as she always is. In saying that, she is getting more genuine as she gets older, and gets J Kah, but will need a 12/10 steer to win I’d suggest.
17. Scallopini (First Emergency): Scallopini is in for a good prep. O’Dea/Hoysted trains this classy gelding, who resumed in the Victory Stakes several weeks back and tried his guts out from just off the speed, just missing out on the win when second to Count De Rupee. That form didn’t stack up at all in the 10,000 but I do feel that fitter, up in trip, he’s hard to beat.
18. Niccanova (Second Emergency): Total forgive in The Archer given the race shape. He had no chance. One to keep an eye on with the Stradbroke in mind.
19. Jamaea (Third Emergency): Brave effort in the Victory Stakes after getting a suck run in transit, coming home strongly late. Doubt she runs here given she’s third emergency, but she’s a talented filly.
20. Ranch Hand (Fourth Emergency): Ranch Hand…is he back? Jury was out on him but he turned up two weeks ago here at this trip and he made a mess of them after getting a good sit off the speed with cover. He’s always promised to be a really good horse…is the Brisbane Winter where he can shine?
21. Alpine Edge (Fifth Emergency): Defied a big SP in the 10,000 and ran a super race in defeat I thought behind Mazu. Not sure he’s up to this lot, but last start was a big improvement from the resumption.
2022 Kingsford-Smith Cup $100 Betting Strategy:
Group l Strategy Outlay: $6670
Group l Strategy Return: $10546.6