This weekend’s Golden Rose looks set to be one of the highlights of the spring. In recent years, the Golden Rose has been light on numbers but has still been a top class race. This year features a large field and looks to be high on quality. It’s an open race, with every runner looking to have some chance, and with the two prominent lead ups – the Run to the Rose at Rosehill and the McNeil Stakes at Caulfield – marred by interference and bad luck, big turnarounds in form wouldn’t surprise.
Late entry Prince Harada ($4.80) is the favourite after a luckless second to Fast ‘n’ Rocking ($5.50), who he meets again, in the McNeil Stakes at Caulfield two weeks ago. Despite severe interference near the finish, Prince Harada got going again and despite a beaten margin of two lengths, he was a length in front just metres past the post. The inside barrier could pose a problem, because he could end up in the same position as two weeks ago. He’s also going the Sydney way the first time, which may be where Fast ‘n’ Rocking (fifth in the Golden Slipper and Champagne Stakes) may have his measure.
Some astute Luxbet punters took $201 about Cluster ($8.50) in early August. The son of Fastnet Rock is still a maiden, but he has caught the eye at two starts this preparation. From a kinder draw here, he should be right in the race.
Zoustar ($11) looked a good chance before the barrier draw, but with the carpark alley, he’s going to need every bit of luck if he’s to win on Saturday.
The value in the race looks to lie with Eurozone ($21). He has been specifically set for this race, compared to some of his rivals who have targets further down the track. He lost his unbeaten tag in the Run to the Rose, but he was three wide the trip and he struggled to come on. The track that day favoured horses near the rail, so it would pay to forgive that effort.
In a demonstration of how open this year’s Golden Rose is, Luxbet punters have targeted a number of runners at longer odds. Criterion has been $51 into $41 after a number of bets rolled in. War has been $31 to $26, Aussies Love Sport $26 to $18 and Drago $13 to $11, and while Prince Harada has drifted from $4.20 to $4.80, you can see him coming in for support on raceday.
Remember, this Saturday sees the start of Luxbet’s Spring Carnival Winning Bonus. Simply back the winner of the Golden Rose, and you’ll get a bonus bet to match your stake up to $200!
And make sure you take advantage of Luxbet’s Best of the Best, available on every metropolitan horse race on Saturday. Best of the Best pays out more every Saturday, because you get the best price of the Top Fluc, the Starting Price and the three totes. You can take Best of the Best up until 30 minutes before the jump, for a maximum stake of $250.
The other four major races in Melbourne and Sydney:
GROUP 2 STOCKS STAKES: Atlantic Jewel looks a moral on paper, and she’s been backed as if so. This unbeaten mare was electrifying in the Memsie Stakes, first up in almost 18 months. She meets a far inferior field here, and if she was meeting them in a true handicap, she’d be giving Oasis Bloom 9.5kg and Fibrillation 10kg. She meets them at level weights. One Luxbet customer is extremely confident of her success, with a bet of $250,000 at $1.10.
GROUP 2 MCEWEN STAKES: If Moment of Change runs to his first up performance last preparation, when he finished fourth to Black Caviar, then he’ll be hard to beat here at weight for age. However, he looks rather short at $2.10, and perhaps a case can be made for Platelet at $4. This flying mare hit her straps earlier this year, winning the Robert Sangster Stakes and The Goodwood in Adelaide. She should get a good run behind the speed and can upset the favourite. A case can also be made for Moonee Valley specialists General Truce, Freereturn and Snitzem.
GROUP 2 DATO TAN CHIN NAM STAKES: Super Cool beat It’s A Dundeel in the Mitchelton Wines Vase on Cox Plate day last year, and if he runs to that form, he should be hard to beat here. He was brilliant in the Memsie Stakes, and he was so burly that he is sure to have taken improvement. He looks the one to beat and he’s steady at $3. Fiorente should have finished closer in the Memsie, and he’s on trial for the Cox Plate. I’m not sure whether he might be looking for further at this stage of his preparation though. Happy Trails beat Green Moon in this race last year, while the rank outsider Hornet’s Nest ($151) creates interest – he was the last horse before Foreteller to beat Puissance de Lune!
GROUP 2 THEO MARKS STAKES – SEBRING SPRINT: A race that has been won by some top gallopers over the years, Rain Affair has opened up a short priced favourite in a race that looks weaker than his last assignment. However, with a good track expected, he may be some risk. Solzhenitsyn ran third in the Canterbury Stakes behind Pierro and More Joyous, and if he were to run to that, he’d be awfully hard to beat here. And at odds, Your Honour could be one to surprise. He only stepped up to metropolitan class last start in a 0-78 at Sandown, where he finished a tremendous fourth. He looks to have plenty of upside, and while this may be a step too far, he’s one worth watching for the future.
Here’s Luxbet’s look at Golden Rose day:
LUXBET’S GOLDEN ROSE TIP – Eurozone – I’ve been a fan for a while and I’m reluctant to jump off the bandwagon. Had excuses when three wide in the Run to the Rose, which favoured the rails. Any rain would help. Looks over the odds.
LUXBET’S BEST – Prince Cheri – Rosehill R8 No. 11 – Every spring, there seems to be a horse who comes through the ranks. This spring, it’s Prince Cheri. He looks a live Caulfield Cup chance, but will need to win here.
LUXBET’S VALUE – Reflectance – Rosehill R3 No. 2 – Promising Brisbane horse now coming south of the border. First up last preparation, finished fifth to Your Song in the BTC Cup. That form looks strong in a Benchmark 79.
LUXBET’S LAY – Moment of Change – Moonee Valley R5 No. 1 – First time to Moonee Valley, and he looks no value opposed to Platelet, who beat him in The Goodwood, as well as Moonee Valley specialists like Freereturn and General Truce.
LUXBET’S BEST BACKED – Peron – Rosehill R6 No. 12 – We opened her up $10, and punters haven’t missed her, backing her into $6.50. She probably opened too big a price in the first place, and is now about her right price.