Resident tipster Adam gives his betting strategy for Wednesday’s (29/5/2019) racing. Note that the prices quoted were available at the time of writing, which was 4pm Tuesday.
Betting Strategy Outlay: $36615
Betting Strategy Return: $39892
Futures Outlay: $2270
Futures Return: $1871
Warwick Farm
$40 Win High Shine R4 (Tote)
$10 Win/$30 Place Andaz R7 (Tote)
$20 Early Quaddie = 62.50% (1-3/6-7-13-15/2-3/6-12)
Warwick Farm Overview: Tricky program but High Shine does look the good thing. Very promising mare for John Sargent who is 2/2 this time in, the latest coming at Scone where she defied a betting drift and was much too good. Was a few weeks between runs, so room to improve for sure, up to the mile a big tick and I know J Mac is very keen to stick with this mare wherever she goes. Just the price is a tad skinny. Hopefully gets $3+. In the last I can make a little case for Andaz at big odds. He’s been a bit of a bludger for a while now but not much went his way last time at the track over the 1400m when across heels and not really getting a chance to build the revs. Hoping the tempo is genuine so he can sit with cover and launch late.
Sale
$50 E/W Credible Witness R7 (Tote)
Sale Overview: Credible Witness is a son of Star Witness resuming for the Cameron stable. This bloke can be a real tease at times but when he is on, he’s a city class horse for sure and can clearly win this. Hasn’t raced since November 14 at Bendigo when a close up fourth to Got The Moves after attempting to lead all the way, not his go at all. He’s better when ridden off the speed and chasing. Hopefully that eventuates here because his recent trials have been really sharp, and the wet track is a massive tick for him.
Belmont
$20 Parlay 3,4 = $100 Cost
Holy Ghost R1 Win
Gessato R4 Place
British Bessy R6 Win
Devoted Star R7 Win
Belmont Overview: Could be a nice few days for the Williams/Peters/Pike combo with Galaxy Star on the weekend the highlight. First things first is Wednesday and they have Devoted Star in the seventh. Made Devoted Star the best of the day. Bumped into a good one in Flower Of War first up at Ascot, who won again on the weekend to tick that form. Normal luck and she’ll be winning but no spoils re price. The Parlay begins with Holy Ghost in the first and I think the market will tell you who will win this because it looks a race in two between it and Amelia Bedelia. Just think Holy Ghost has been the touch more impressive at the trials and stable has had a good season with their juveniles. Gessato just found the tempo too strong last time where he was near it throughout and tired late. I think with a more economical run, he can run top three. I was against British Bessy last start at Northam given she has no turn of foot but once the race was survival of the fittest, she was always going to win. Give this Parlay strength.
