Resident tipster Adam gives his betting strategy for Sunday’s (23/6/2019) racing. Note that the prices quoted were available at the time of writing, which was 5pm Saturday.
Betting Strategy Outlay: $43410
Betting Strategy Return: $45438
Futures Outlay: $2665
Futures Return: $2391
$25 Win/$75 Place Ribands R5 @ $13/$4 (BetEasy)
I am hoping this track can dry out to a Soft5 and hopefully nudge into the Good4 range. This horse is a dead set dry tracker and I think he’s silly odds here. Resumes for Tash Burleigh after doing some nice things when last in work, his last run seeing him run a game second at Hawkesbury (Metro) behind Skyray, who ran well earlier today at Randwick. Loved the way he went when winning a trial at Kembla and with a stack of speed engaged, he will be strong late provided he gets a bit of luck from the draw.
$25 E/W Turf Man R7 @ $17/$4.33 (Bet365)
Port Augusta Overview:
Note that 365 was the only bookie with odds up at the time of writing. Why is this bloke $17? I think if he runs up to his dirt form, he wins. Two runs back from a spell have come at Morphettville and has been outclassed each time, but this horse is no doubt being aimed at the Darwin Cup and this time last year, when he went to the dirt, he really turned his form around. Stable has the in form Trooper’s Ploy engaged but Sairyn Fawke, regular rider, goes with Turf Man. Crazy odds.
$50 Win Multi (Tote)
The Sword R2 Devonport Synthetic
Taraki R9 Rockhampton
Made The Sword the best of the day. Was very well backed when resuming over 1100m here three weeks ago but just found the trip too short, hitting a flat spot but finding the line strongly late. Up to 1350m looks perfect for this bloke and if he can sit a bit closer in the run from the draw, clearly hard to beat and the likely winner. Taraki is absolutely flying this time in for Graeme Green and barring bad luck, she should get another win on the board. Had the sweet sit over 1300m here last time and when asked for the effort by Bubba, she found and put them away easily. 1400m no issue IMO, likewise the weight rise and I think she should be winning.