Resident tipster Adam gives his betting strategy for Friday’s (14/6/2019) racing. Note that the prices quoted were available at the time of writing, which was 4pm Thursday.
Betting Strategy Outlay: $40380
Betting Strategy Return: $42265
Futures Outlay: $2565
Futures Return: $2391
Promesa should start the day off on the right note and I think the $1.90 is a touch of overs considering the depth engaged looks thin. This gelding had two runs in the Autumn to start his career. Should have won at this track on debut when having no luck before racing on Canberra Cup Day in a maiden and just gave away much start but his late splits were great. If he’s right, he’s probably a $1.30-$1.40 chance. Second fav Lucky Siren had every chance first up over 1000m at the track but could only manage third. Promesa should win. The horse that appears good value comes in the last in the shape of Refire for Danny Williams, who comes through the same maiden that Lucky Siren contested. He was one of the runs of the day given he was back near last in a very slowly run affair and really had no chance, but produced some of the better late splits of the meeting over an unsuitable trip. Now out to 1300m with the run under the belt, he’s well and truly over the odds IMO. Just hope he can make use of the good barrier.
$100 Win Expellable R2 @ $3 (Sportsbet)
Was keen to back this bloke when he resumed and gee he finds a very winnable maiden. First run for Cameron Crockett after formerly being with Bjorn Baker where he ran well without winning. Has had one trial leading in, which came over 900m at Scone and made him to follow via ‘From The Trials’. He bolted in and ran good time relative to the morning despite not being fully extended. Looks to be good speed engaged, so hoping Clenton can take a sit off it and finish over the top.
$100 Win English Gambler R6 (Tote)
Well done if you got a slice of the $7 they put up. He’s the good thing of the day. This bloke was with Darren Weir, then the Gelagotis stable, but is now with Paul Preusker and though his recent form says no, he had a jumpout at Hamilton a couple of weeks back and went like an absolute jet in a clear standout performance of the morning. His best form has come on wet ground, which he gets here, and if he runs up to that, he should be winning. $3 at the time of writing to lock in is too short, so hopefully gets out to $4+ come jump time.