Follow And Forget – 19/8/2017

Resident tipster Adam Page takes a look at each of Saturday’s feature meetings around the country and lists his horses to follow and horses to forget at their next run/runs.

Have Your Say: Who will you be following/forgetting from Saturday’s racing? – Leave a comment below.

Randwick

Follow:

Champagne Cuddles – She’s the best filly out of the Silver Shadow. She was outsprinted when the front two dashed but her last 100m was excellent. She’s the one to follow.

Life Less Ordinary – He’s the one to follow from the meeting. Outstanding return I thought given the tempo and the fact he looked big in condition. He’s set for a very good Spring.

Calculated/Dracarys – Calculated was $2.5-$4 and ran accordingly but did pull up with a tracing of blood in one nostril. Dracarys was outstanding and more so given he had a puncture wound to a hoof via a shifted plate.

Foxplay – Gee her run was outstanding and if she is heading to the Myer Classic, its game over. Had the dream, sprinted, looked home but it took the GOAT to nail her.

Sweet Redemption – Euro Angel was the flashing light but I think the winner was just as good. It was very difficult to lead all the way at Randwick and this girl burnt the candle at both ends.

Omei Sword – Not an Everest horse. For punter who launched in, she was bad, but to the eye, she raced like a horse who wants a mile. I wouldn’t drop off…yet.

Blake Shinn on Super Too – Still think she is a one trick pony but the trick worked yesterday. Confident ride from Shinn. Just let her roll along and with the aid of the tailwind down the straight, she was far too good. Still, I’d be wary of her on a normal day.

Forget:

Hugh Bowman’s ride on Sayed – I’m staggered that the Stewards let him off. Bowman stated that he was vigorously riding hands and heels. I’ve seen him punch them out harder than that. He coasted and thought he had the race won. Simple.

Inference – I know he was wide no cover into the breeze, but there were others who faced the breeze and went better. Jury is out for mine, not just with the horse but the stable too.

Caulfield

Follow:

Oregons Day – Pulled up with a slow recovery, so an excuse there. Her effort late was still very good. Big tick for mine despite going down as favourite.

Fursa – Market said she only had three legs and while she didn’t win, I thought her effort was very good in the quicksand. Keen to see her on top of the ground.

Seannie – The jump outs weren’t as good as what the stable had said, but this fresh run was a ripper. I was a big fan of her in WA. Can’t wait to see her at Flemington.

Jukebox – Outstanding return from this boy, who I think could well be the best 3YO in Melbourne. Looked in a bit if trouble but surged hard late to win. Excited to see where he goes.

Hartnell – Would he have beaten Winx yesterday? Under those circumstances, yes. He was brilliant and it’s a scary thought how much improvement he has left. Also a big tick to Abbey Marie.

Brave Smash – The one to follow big time from the meeting. Got into a nasty spot and Lane had to go to the quicksand near the rail and that beat him. He’s a in for a huge Spring.

Forget:

Sea The Sparkle – Was no betting 200m out. She was home. I think she might have turned it up a bit there. Disappointing if you were on.

Onpicalo/Amovatio – Two very good campaigners. But for this prep, they are done with for sure. Both plain.

Black Heart Bart – He has been the best horse Victoria has had post Black Caviar but his effort was average, admittedly on a track rating he doesn’t like. But the races will only get harder.

Doomben

Follow:

Jetsonic – Continued his very good fresh record. Just got a touch lost around the turn but balanced up and savaged the line late.

Rancho Montoya – First up off a little freshen up, his run was very good. Got a little lost around the turn and attacked the line when balancing up.

Passionflower – This girl was a sneaky one to watch for the future. Ran last but was never clear at any stage and went around as if it was a trial.

Forget:

Impregnable – He was awful as a heavily backed odds on pop. Just never looked like winning at all in what was a very, very thin race.

Steel Zip – He’s been a great campaigner, but surely retirement beckons. That was ugly to watch.

Morphettville

Follow:

Alamonteel – Market said she’d run poorly and she did. Don’t sack her off that. She’s done a great job this prep.

Kellstorm – Country Cups looks his go. Not sure he can reach blacktype but he’s absolutely toying with them in SA right now.

Nodoubtaboutit – That was her best and gee she was impressive. That win could be the making of her.

Colonel Custer – Pulled up lame so a clear excuse. Trial prior was too good to ignore off one forgive run.

Forget:

Jaclyn – Market said she was wound up to win. She was awful. Beaten a long way and was gone on the turn.

Correct Call – She’s honest, tries hard. Just doesn’t win. Becoming quite the costly conveyance.

Kentucky Flyer – Had some market support here and was terrible. Never looked like winning at stage and let the supporters down.

Lankan Rupee – He’s been one of the best sprinters in recent years, but the retirement paddock looms. Hopefully nothing is wrong with him.

Infinity Queen – Another that tries hard but in terms of winning, she’s a hard one to trust for punters. Midweek grade is probably her mark.