The Brisbane Winter Carnival kicks off big time this Saturday at Eagle Farm, headlined by the Group l Doomben 10,000 (1200m) which shapes up to be such an intriguing contest.
Down below is a speed map, runner preview and $100 betting strategy for the 2022 Doomben 10,000.
Market 💰: View the Odds for the Doomben 10,000
2022 Doomben 10,000 Speed Map
Couple of speed demons engaged here with Zoustyle and Rothfire, both who race best when dominating from the front, so the tempo could be quite solid. Generation can slide across and get an ideal drag up. Mazu could potentially land 1/1 or even box seat.
2022 Doomben 10,000 Runner Preview
1. Kementari: Kementari is big odds. Nash magic got him the win fresh in the Hall Mark at Randwick, taking a very narrow gap nearer the inside and in a driving go, finished best. Count De Rupee ticked that form off in the Victory Stakes and really liked his recent tick over trial. He’s here to rock and roll.
2. Vega One: Needed the run fresh in the Victory Stakes and I dare say will need another run before finding his best, with eyes towards the Kingsford Smith/Stradbroke path. Happy to look elsewhere.
3. Count De Rupee: Lovely ride from Brock Ryan saw him win the Victory Stakes. He would love this track to be dry-ish, because I do feel he is better on top of the ground. If the track is heavy, genuine heavy, then I say he will struggle.
4. Zoustyle: I think he’s gone as a top liner. Plain finale in the Ascot Handicap fresh and 1200m at this level, I think he will struggle.
5. Rothfire: He is #MaxGawn. Every chance on speed in the Victory Stakes and was very weak late when fifth. It would be a great training effort to get him back to Group l winning form, but I doubt he will get there.
6. Shelby Sixtysix: 3/5 lame on a Soft7 last Saturday says it all. He’s a very unsound horse that needs racing, and bottomless tracks. He would have got that at Doomben. Not at Eagle Farm. Pass.
7. Signore Fox: Signore Fox is close to D-Day I feel. Expected more from him fresh in the Hareeba at Mornington, then didn’t fire in the Hall Mark, but with excuses given the track rating and how it played. He’s got the talent to win this race. Just wants a drying track. If he gets that, he can win.
8. Baller: IMO, he was ridden too warm fresh in the Victory Stakes and failed to finish it off. He’s better with a sit but I don’t think he’s good enough to measure up at this level.
9. Mazu: With a heavy track on the cards, you have to lean towards Mazu. He’s been so well placed by Team Snowden. 4/4 during the Sydney Autumn, the latest being during The Championships at Randwick when a dominant winner of the Arrowfield Sprint. The query is the form around, as a whole, stinks, but he’s a wet tracker with a good racing style and is trained by Grand Final specialists.
10. Paulele: Lovely ride from J Allen saw him win against the older horses at Geelong last start. Just question what he beat that day and his efforts prior. Didn’t scream out of being a Derby horse.
11. Generation: Generation looks one of the hardest to beat for the Maher/Eustace camp. He has been given a mini break since the William Reid where he ran very well in defeat when fourth to September Run after being well supported leading. Trialled up super at Rosehill and to me he looks an ideal three year old heading towards the Stradbroke.
12. Alpine Edge: 3/3 at the track, but in far easier races than this. He did absolutely nothing in the Mick Dittman so I can’t see him threatening this lot.
13. Entriviere: Weather and the track will determine her chances. I feel she is a dynamite dry track horse so if this track can sponge the deluge, and she gets a Soft5/6, she’s in the finish. Worse, and I’d treat her as a scratching.
14. Isotope: Dry track specialist. She was legless on wet ground in The Galaxy so like Entriviere, if this track is genuinely wet, she will well and truly struggle.
15. Minhaaj: Dynamite mare when she is on top of the ground. But, rinse and repeat from the two mentioned above. Wet track and she struggles. Soft5/6, knockout chance.
2022 Doomben 10,000 $100 Betting Strategy:
Group l Strategy Outlay: $6370
Group l Strategy Return: $10216.6
