The carrot of a secured stud deal awaits 16 colts in the Group l Coolmore Stud Stakes (1200m) at Flemington on Saturday, with just one filly to tackle the 16 boys, with the straight track to be in outstanding order.
Down below is a speed map, runner preview and $100 betting strategy for the 2021 Coolmore Stud Stakes.
2021 Coolmore Stud Stakes Speed Map
The last 12-18 months of straight racing, they find their spot and drop anchor but with a Group l and potentially a stud deal on the cards for a colt, I think the tempo will be genuine. In The Congo, Home Affairs and Kallos look the main three speed horses and are drawn wide, so if the track is suiting the outside section, they’ll be advantaged.
2021 Coolmore Stud Stakes Runner Preview
1. Shaquero: Suck run and battled on okay in the Moir, then was plain in the Schillaci. He’s hit and miss, so happy to let him go through to the keeper.
2. Artorius: His barrier manners are a real issue. Cost him dearly in the Caulfield Guineas when a fast finishing fourth. Freshened back to 1200m, if he’s within range 400m out, he’s got the finale to win.
3. Ingratiating: Backing up from the Manikato where he ran a solid third. Form against older horses is usually a big tick, but I do question how strong that Manikato was. Proven performer down the straight, he’s a first four threat at best.
4. In The Congo: Blinkers first time for a massive race is a big risk. But he did win the Golden Rose, beating Anamoe, which is A1 form. His jumpout down the straight here was okay without raving so do I think he deserves to be as short as he is? I’m saying no.
5. Home Affairs: Won’t be the first and won’t be the last horse to get his heart broken by Nature Strip. He was inside the gun sprinter on speed in The Everest and he just couldn’t go with him late. Off the first up win, he’s right in this and does come through the hottest sprint race in the world.
6. Paulele: He’s a quality colt. Enormous in defeat behind Home Affairs two back before a dominant win in the Roman Consul. If there is a knock on him, it’s that he saves his best for Randwick. Can he do it away from that track?
7. Kallos: Smashed the clock when winning fresh in a Hawkesbury maiden. He then went to the Danehill at this track and gee he was impressive, dashing clear late. Was it a strong race? Overall, I’m saying no, but hard to knock a horse that’s unbeaten this prep.
8. Ranch Hand: Big win first up, beating Ingratiating, before an okay effort in the Danehill. Drawn the right part of the track to get clear air and is in the right camp. Not sure he wins, but one for multiples.
9: Extreme Warrior: He’s the one to beat. Got the maiden win out of the way first up before giving them a galloping lesson in the Blue Sapphire. He’s got upside, timing, change up speed…plenty to like and is hard to beat I’d suggest.
10: Extreme Flight: Unbeaten since the Blinkers have been applied. Just held on to win the Gothic and comes back 200m in trip. Stable are great Grand Final trainers but I doubt he’s up to this level.
11. Sword Of State: I was kicking up for him to be an Everest horse and a Group l winner in Australia at the start of the Spring but injury has really messed his campaign around and he hasn’t done enough in two runs to suggest he can trouble these.
12. Bruckner: He was 1200m back to 1100m in the Danehill and battled on really well when third to Kallos. If the pack comes towards the inside and he can hold up from the gate, be in the first half a dozen, I can see him sneaking a first four spot.
13: Overpass: I think he is one at a big price I could entertain. Loved the way he found the line behind Paulele in the Roman Consul. I’d love to see him at 1400m but a fast run 1200m, he will be strong at the end and a win wouldn’t shock.
14. Marine One: Nice horse, strong win last Friday night. But didn’t beat a great deal and this looks a bridge too far.
15. Minsk Moment: Loved the first up win at the Valley but he was beaten nearly seven lengths in the Blue Sapphire behind Extreme Warrior. Can’t see him turning the tables.
16. Battleton: He’s a line chaser. Good last Saturday in the Brian Crowley but I can’t entertain him here.
17 Gimmie Par: She would be a near good thing in the 1100m on Oaks Day for 3YO Fillies. But given her pedigree, they have to have a crack at a Group l. Job done if she runs a place. I doubt she can do that.
2021 Coolmore Stud Stakes $100 Betting Strategy:
This looks a dart board job. So I’m going to have a throw at the stumps via a $100 Boxed First Four with eight runners for 5.95% and hope for a big result. Numbers are 2-5-6-7-8-9-12-13.
Group l Strategy Outlay: $2080
Group l Strategy Return: $1646.5
