Resident tipster Adam gives his betting strategy for Wednesday’s (8/5/2019) racing. Note that the prices quoted were available at the time of writing, which was 5pm Tuesday.
Betting Strategy Outlay: $31215
Betting Strategy Return: $32471
Futures Outlay: $1945
Futures Return: $1871
$30 Win Waruna R4 (Tote)
$20 Win/$50 Place Matowi R6 (Tote)
When I first did the form for the fourth, I thought Waruna was a good thing. Then saw the markets and saw $4, which can be seen as okay, but for mine, just a tad short. $5+ I could easily entertain so hopefully gets to that quote. Should have won last time out on the Kensington track but just got too far back in the run and was wide. Has run well at Canterbury before and hopefully Clenton can punch forward from the barrier. Matowi looks a great gamble in the sixth. Resumes for Chris Waller and while he might need the run, early market flucs say he does, I thought his recent trial here was very good. He can get the suck run behind Kolding and follow every move of that horse, then hopefully get out and have last look. Can see him starting $12+ and running a beauty.
$30 Win Cape Richards R6 @ $7.5 (BetEasy)
$20 Win/$50 Place Leelavadee R8 @ $14/$4.6 (TAB)
Made Cape Richards the best of the day. Yes, he’ll things to go his way given his racing pattern and the seemingly lack of early pressure here, but I thought his resumption at Pakenham under a similar scenario was very good, getting back, peeling out, surging, just missed. I’d love to see him take advantage of the gate and sit a pair or two closer. If he does, I reckon he’s a $3.50-$4 chance, and the stable is flying at the moment. Got a slice of the $21 first put up for Leelavadee and I still think $14 is acceptable. Sarash Zschoke trains this mare, who was well backed when resuming at Moe but unfortunately for her fans, she bungled the start, back near last at 1000m at Moe is a recipe for disaster, but she somehow managed to get within a lip of a win, and you can easily make a case she should have won given she didn’t get clear. Second up last prep ran well behind a city performed horse in Queen Anabel, and now, she gets a good gate and the big tick is blinkers first time. If she can take advantage of that barrier, she’ll take some beating IMO.