Resident tipster Adam gives his betting strategy for Wednesday’s (27/2/2019) racing. Note that the prices quoted were available at the time of writing, which was 5pm Tuesday.
Outlay: $13500
Return: $14089
Rosehill
$10 E/W Molten Rock R3 @ $19/$5 (TAB)
$40 Win Kolding R7 (Tote)
$30 Win Regal Stage R8 @ $3.7 (Sportsbet)
$10 Place Multi @ $11.6 (TAB)
Latin Light R4
McCormack R5
Frankely Awesome R6
Rosehill Overview:
The 1800m race for the three year olds looks a tricky one, but I can’t believe that near $20 is on offer for Molten Rock. Mark Newnham trains this filly, and I’m not sure she was 100% happy on the tight track last time at Gosford but she chased hard and got the win. Form has been franked via Eugenio and while she doesn’t have the change up speed, she’ll stay and draws soft. Looks to be two good things in the last two races, starting with Kolding. He should have won comfortably last Wednesday but had no luck getting clear when Bowman was probing. Already $3.70-$2.50 so I’m hoping he gets to $3+ come jump time. Should win. Made Regal Stage the best of the day. I thought there was a lot to like about the debut win at Gosford. Don’t think he beat much, but he did it on speed, not sure he was happy around the tight track but was never getting beat and did it with something in hand. This isn’t a strong city race and he won’t need to improve too much to be winning. Anticipating a track where those on speed and/or rail will be advantaged.
Sandown
$10 E/W The Wrangler R3 @ $71/$11 (TAB)
$50 Win N Drama Darci R5 @ $2.15 (BetEasy)
$10 Win/$20 Place I Can Stay All Day R6 @ $13/$3.6 (BetEasy)
Sandown Overview:
Posted on Twitter on Monday night that I could have something very small on The Wrangler at $101 and he has been nibbled. He might run last and on face value, you could see why he was $101. Didn’t do much in two runs to start the career, but in saying that, those two maidens have turned out to be strong form races. Been given a spell, the blinkers went on and he went very nicely I thought in a recent Kyneton jumpout. Expecting Stocktaka to win, but at odds on, I’d just watch and instead have something on this bloke. No Drama Darci just has to hold his form and he’s probably a $1.50 chance against this field. Not much last time when a closing second to Age Of Chivalry, who of course came out and ran a beauty in the CS Hayes. Just wins with normal luck. I think the double figures on offer is more than acceptable for I Can Stay All Day. Kylie Vella has worked her out now and she’s won his past two, bolting up at Colac before repeating the dose at Werribee. The depth in those races was thin, but you could say the same here. Draws out so gets clear and is a stayer so a solid 2400m no issue.
