Resident tipster Adam gives his betting strategy for Wednesday’s (20/2/2019) racing. Note that the prices quoted were available at the time of writing, which was 10am Tuesday.
$10 Win/$25 Place Almerheri R1 @ $17/$4.6 (TAB Win, Sportsbet Place)
$65 Win Classique Legend R2 @ $3 (BetEasy)
Think there are two really good bets here on the card, in the first two races. Starting with Almerheri in the first. Ran at the track/distance last time in a maiden where she got a fair way back off a fast speed after drawing wide and while she was never winning given the start she was giving, she did work home well to run fourth to Final Award and with that horse they were the lone pair to break 34 for the final 600m in the race. She can take advantage of gate one and box seat, three back at worst, she’ll be strong late and she beat home Mr Dependable in that maiden yet he is $3.40 favourite while this girl is $17/thereabouts. Can’t work that out. The good thing of the day comes in the second in the shape of first starter Classique Legend, trained by Les Bridge. I think he could start odds on. The trial was as good as you’ll see from a first starter. Sat off them before being presented at the top of the straight and once clicked up, he gapped them. The negative is that Les Bridge runners can be produced big in condition first up with improvement. The positives are that the time was comfortably the quickest of the three 1000m trials that morning, McEvoy went to Hawkesbury to ride him only, which is a tip in itself, and the raced brigade don’t look much good. Might be a potential blacktype class horse.
Skelm for the job done at double figures for us last time and we’re happy to butter up again. This horse is on an upward spiral for Terry Kelly and he was dominant in winning at Sandown last time under a lovely steer from Olly, beating Vellaspride, who won last week to frank the form. Most of these have found their mark with not much upside, whereas Skelm is the opposite. Olly sticks, does no work from gate one…he can win again. Looks to be a stack of speed in the fourth, which is why I think Downloads is worth an each way ticket. Resumes for Anthony Freedman after a mixed campaign. Did win first up at Sale to break the maiden tag but was hot and cold in a few subsequent runs. Been given a good break and trialled well alongside Miss Toorak Flyer last week, so hoping she sits off a fast tempo and has last look. Winning Partner does look hard to beat in the fifth, but each way, Tee Train will do me. Market said he’d need the run first up at the Bool and though unlucky not to finish closer, he did look big in condition when just behind the handy galloper Mumbles. Williams jumps back on, fitter, draws well…could easily entertain him at near double figures.