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Resident tipster Adam gives his betting strategy for Wednesday’s (15/5/2019) racing. Note that the prices quoted were available at the time of writing, which was 3pm Tuesday.

Betting Strategy Outlay: $32835

Betting Strategy Return: $35854

Futures Outlay: $2045
Futures Return: $1871

Sunshine Coast

$100 Carrera To The Max R3 @ $2.5 (TAB)

Sunshine Coast Overview:

Pinning my faith pretty much entirely on trial form is fraught with danger, but I think it’s the way to go for this race day. Best of the day for mine is Carrera To The Max, a Snitzel filly from NZ for Nigel Tiley on debut. Couple of other first starters are hard in the market as well, but this girl does look pretty good. Trialled late last month back home in NZ and looked very good when second to Ata Rangi, who was outstanding in defeat on debut at Matamata last week, so that trial form/depth gets a big tick, she gets gate one…looks the winner.

Sandown

$20 Win/$50 Mister Belvedere R4 @ $14/$3.5 (Sportsbet)
$10 Win/$20 Place Prince Alby R5 (Tote)

Sandown Overview:

Huge watch on Mister Belvedere, a former UK stayer making his Australian debut for the Maher/Eustace stable. Off what I’ve seen of his UK replays, he looks as if 2400m+ will be his go in life, but did have a jumpout at Kyneton last Wednesday and gee he looked sharp for a stayer, winning the trial under little riding. Have to be on him at the odds in case he’s above average. The other throw at the stumps is Prince Alby in the following race. Was really keen on him running a bold race first up at Pakenham but unfortunately the slow tempo was against him but loved the way he found the line. Big tick for him is blinkers are back on, and they really sparked him up towards the end of the Spring, seeing him win on Geelong Cup Day in a much stronger race than this. Can see him starting $30+ and I think he’ll run a beauty, albeit with a stack of improvement and upside to come after this run.

Warwick Farm

$100 Win Smart Horse R2 @ $4.4 (TAB)

Warwick Farm Overview:

Well done if you got the $8 for this horse on Monday arvo. At first look, six weeks between runs, would have been happy to just watch…that was until seeing an April 30 jumpout at Bendigo and it was just so impressive the way he looked to travel. On speed all the way and was absolutely bolting when winning. Time was nothing flash relative to the morning, but the way he was going, he could have run much faster. Debut win was sharp and far from disgraced in what looked a decent edition of the Bendigo Guineas. Think he starts near fav IMO.

 
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