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Resident tipster Adam gives his betting strategy for Thursday’s (14/2/2019) racing. Note that the prices quoted were available at the time of writing, which was 7pm Wednesday.

Outlay: $10050
Return: $10719

Wagga

$40 Win Zelago R1 @ $2.5 (Sportsbet)
$10 E/W Tudor Rules R2 (Tote)
$40 Win Supalux R3 @ $3.7 (BetEasy)

Wagga Overview:

Hopefully get Wagga out of the way early in a positive way. Zelago is on debut for the Joseph/Jones team and he looked to trial up really well when winning over 900m at Canberra in okay time. All bar two of the runners are on debut, so a bit of guessing work, but he looks the pick of the first starters. I think the value is Tudor Rule in the second. He ran over 1800m here last time where he got a fair way back in the run and was never really likely but did make up good ground late. Back in trip a little query, but small field should ensure he won’t be far away and will be strong late. Supalux is the best of the day for mine. I think he’s been quite good in three runs for Gary Colvin with wide barriers probably beating him his past couple. Would love to see Jake Duffy take advantage of the inside gate to sit in the first half dozen or so, and get a head start on the main and only threat Spinher.

Warrnambool

$10 E/W Hanaki Warrior R1 @ $13/$5 (BetEasy)
$30 Foxy’s Star R3 @ $4.8 (BetEasy)
$50 Win Strategic Force R4 (Tote)

Warrnambool Overview:

Bryce…can he get a winner? It’s an absolute bludger of staying race and I think of his three runners, this is clearly his best chance. Placed at Pakenham last Thursday night and looked to work home okay. I’ve had enough of Heading North, so she can win without me. The double figures, decent double figures, for Hanaki Warrior will do me. Symon Wilde is batting at 16% with first up runners last 12 months and I think he’ll win one or two races with first starters. First of which is Foxy’s Star in race three, who trialled well at Camperdown. Inside gate, Winkers on for the debut tells me there is intent and there’s already been market support. But there has been much stronger market support for Strategic Force in the fourth. Normal luck and he’ll be winning. His Warrnambool jumpout on January 30 was outstanding to the eye, leading all the way under no pressure at all. Already $3-$2.10, but hopefully gets out to $2.50/thereabouts.

 
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