Resident tipster Adam gives his betting strategy for Thursday’s (13/9/2018) racing around the country. Note that the prices quoted were available at the time of writing.
Wednesday Results: $160 Loss
Last 10 Days: LWLLLWLLWL
Overall Results (Since June 7): $4656 Profit
Bet One- Win- Grafton Race Two Number 2 Longtga:
Tricky card at Grafton but I think he’s the pick of them. Heavily backed when resuming at the track/distance and to my eye I thought he had his chance but was just no match for impressive winner Vacate. Ben Looker jumps on and he rides Grafton better than most. Dry track at Grafton means being on speed is the A1 spot, and that is where he’ll be.
Suggested Bet: $20 Win at $5.5 (Bet365)
Bet Two- Win- Grafton Race Five Number 2 Mother To Race Her:
Little query at the trip, but ability wise, she’s the one. Ran on Murwillumbah Cup Day last time where she attempted to lead all the way and for the most part looked home but stablemate Vivid Pink kept surging under hard riding and eventually got her on the peg. Was 1400-1350 that day so up to 1700m should be a positive and Gallagher has plenty of options from the draw.
Suggested Bet: $30 Win at $3.6 (BetEasy)
Bet Three- Each Way- Mornington Race Six Number 8 Osmium:
I think he’s the best horse in the race. Hopefully he can produce it. Resumed over 1400m at Sandown and to the eye, was a flop behind La Chambie, with Fighting Harada being unlucky, but the horse did have heart murmers post race. His two runs in the Autumn were very good and if he’s anywhere near that kind of form here, he’ll be winning.
Suggested Bet: $25 E/W at $7.5/$2.6 (BetEasy)
Bet Four- Win- Rockhampton Race Two Number 2 The Tax Accountant:
There is the query of a second up flat spot after a brilliant resumption, but I can’t get away from that first up win. Trialled enormous, backed as if he was unbeatable and won accordingly, leading all the way and absolutely bolting in. Can he repeat the dose is the question, because there is a bit of depth here. But happy to be with him.
Suggested Bet: $50 Win (Tote)
Bet Five- Win- Rockhampton Race Four Number 1 Malkara:
Confident this bloke goes close. He was a few weeks between runs when racing over 1300m at Mackay where he just got a fraction too far back off a slow tempo but I liked the way he closed off behind an in form horse in Warwick Avenue. Fitter and on the bigger track looks ideal, plus senior jock on. Back to 1200m the niggle but I’ll go his way.
Suggested Bet: $30 Win (Tote)
Total Spend: $180
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